| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | Palmeiras win | 10.0% |
| 2-1 | Palmeiras win | 9.2% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8.7% |
| 2-0 | Palmeiras win | 8.4% |
| 0-1 | Flamengo win | 7.0% |
| 1-2 | Flamengo win | 6.7% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 5.0% |
| 3-1 | Palmeiras win | 4.6% |
| 0-2 | Flamengo win | 4.5% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Palmeiras clean sheet | 34% |
| Flamengo clean sheet | 22% |
The most likely score in Palmeiras vs Flamengo is 1-1, a 13% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-0 at 10%. The Campeonato Brasileiro game kicks off at 19:30 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Palmeiras 1.50 - 1.09 Flamengo in goals for Palmeiras vs Flamengo, with over 2.5 goals 48% likely and both teams to score 53%.
Statz projects 21 players for Palmeiras vs Flamengo on Saturday 21 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 19:30 UK time kick-off.
Palmeiras host Flamengo at Allianz Parque, São Paulo on 21 November 2026 at 19:30 in the Campeonato Brasileiro. Palmeiras's last five results: W L W D W (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). Flamengo's last five: W D W W W (4 wins and 1 draw). In their last 6 meetings, Palmeiras have won 1, Flamengo 3, with 2 draws.
Palmeiras vs Flamengo kicks off at 19:30 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro, at Allianz Parque, São Paulo. Allianz Parque holds 43,713 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 19:30.
Palmeiras vs Flamengo is being played at Allianz Parque in São Paulo on Saturday 21 November 2026, the home ground of Palmeiras, which holds 43,713 people. Kick-off is at 19:30 UK time, and the match is part of the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Palmeiras have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 2, with results reading W W W D W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 6-1 win at home to Remo in the Campeonato Brasileiro on 5 November.
Flamengo have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 4, with results reading W W W W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 3-1 win at home to Grêmio in the Campeonato Brasileiro on 4 November.
Across the last 6 meetings Palmeiras have won 1, Flamengo have won 3 and 2 were drawn, with Palmeiras scoring 6 goals to Flamengo's 9. The most recent was Flamengo 0-3 Palmeiras on 24 May 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Mauricio leads Palmeiras with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Palmeiras player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Palmeiras player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Pedro leads Flamengo with 5 goals across their last 10 games, 0.5 a game, the most of any Flamengo player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Flamengo player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Until the team news for Palmeiras vs Flamengo is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Palmeiras's XI from their 6-1 win v Remo at home on Thu 5 Nov 2026, and Flamengo's XI from their 3-1 win v Grêmio at home on Wed 4 Nov 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Palmeiras the favourite with a 45% chance of winning, against 26% for Flamengo and 28% for the draw. Projected goals are Palmeiras 1.5 - 1.1 Flamengo.
The most likely score in Palmeiras vs Flamengo is 1-1, a draw, at 13%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 53% likely and over 2.5 goals 48%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Palmeiras vs Flamengo, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 2026 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo vs Palmeiras | 0-3 |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo vs Palmeiras | 3-2 |
| 25 May 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras vs Flamengo | 0-2 |
| 11 Aug 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo vs Palmeiras | 1-1 |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras vs Flamengo | 0-0 |
| 9 Nov 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo vs Palmeiras | 3-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Palmeiras 1.5 - 1.1 Flamengo in goals. It gives Palmeiras a 45% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Flamengo 26%. Both teams to score is 53% likely, over 1.5 goals 74% and over 2.5 goals 48%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%), 2-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 1-0 | Palmeiras win | 10% |
| 2-1 | Palmeiras win | 9% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 9% |
| 2-0 | Palmeiras win | 8% |
Predicted lineups for Palmeiras vs Flamengo are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Palmeiras's XI from their 6-1 win v Remo at home on Thu 5 Nov 2026, and Flamengo's XI from their 3-1 win v Grêmio at home on Wed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Palmeiras | Fouls committed | Flamengo | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Giay | 14 | E. Pulgar | 16 |
| 2 | Murilo | 12 | L. Paquetá | 11 |
| 3 | A. Barboza | 11 | E. Royal | 10 |
| 4 | V. Roque | 11 | A. Sandro | 9 |
| 5 | G. Gómez | 9 | J. Carrascal | 8 |
| # | Palmeiras | Shots | Flamengo | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. López | 31 | Pedro | 30 |
| 2 | V. Roque | 25 | S. Lino | 30 |
| 3 | Mauricio | 17 | L. Paquetá | 21 |
| 4 | J. Arias | 16 | G. Arrascaeta | 19 |
| 5 | M. Freitas | 15 | J. Carrascal | 15 |
| # | Palmeiras | Shots on target | Flamengo | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Arias | 9 | Pedro | 16 |
| 2 | J. López | 9 | S. Lino | 15 |
| 3 | V. Roque | 8 | J. Carrascal | 10 |
| 4 | Mauricio | 7 | L. Paquetá | 8 |
| 5 | A. Pereira | 6 | G. Plata | 6 |
| # | Palmeiras | Goals | Flamengo | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mauricio | 4 | Pedro | 5 |
| 2 | A. Giay | 3 | S. Lino | 4 |
| 3 | J. Arias | 2 | L. Paquetá | 4 |
| 4 | J. López | 2 | J. Carrascal | 3 |
| 5 | F. Anderson | 1 | G. Plata | 2 |
| # | Palmeiras | Yellow cards | Flamengo | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Giay | 5 | E. Pulgar | 3 |
| 2 | J. Piquerez | 4 | S. Lino | 2 |
| 3 | A. Barboza | 3 | L. Pereira | 2 |
| 4 | G. Gómez | 3 | J. Carrascal | 2 |
| 5 | M. Freitas | 2 | L. Paquetá | 2 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.1 | 1 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.7 | 1 of 20 |
| Shots | 15.6 | 4 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5.3 | 6 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13 | 10 of 20 |
| Tackles | 14.9 | 11 of 20 |
| Passes | 446.2 | 8 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 4 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.1 | 2 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.9 | 2 of 20 |
| Shots | 16.1 | 3 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5.8 | 1 of 20 |
| Fouls | 11.6 | 17 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15.2 | 7 of 20 |
| Passes | 563.6 | 1 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 5 of 20 |