Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Slovenia win | 16.2% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 12.2% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 11.5% |
| 0-2 | Slovenia win | 11.4% |
| 1-0 | North Macedonia win | 8.7% |
| 1-2 | Slovenia win | 8.6% |
| 0-3 | Slovenia win | 5.4% |
| 2-1 | North Macedonia win | 4.6% |
| 1-3 | Slovenia win | 4.0% |
| 2-0 | North Macedonia win | 3.3% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 40% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% |
| North Macedonia clean sheet | 24% |
| Slovenia clean sheet | 47% |
The most likely score in North Macedonia vs Slovenia is 0-1, a 16% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-1 at 12%. The UEFA Nations League game kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Monday 16 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects North Macedonia 0.75 - 1.41 Slovenia in goals for North Macedonia vs Slovenia, with over 2.5 goals 37% likely and both teams to score 40%.
Statz projects 22 players for North Macedonia vs Slovenia on Monday 16 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 19:45 UK time kick-off.
North Macedonia host Slovenia at Toše Proeski Arena, Skopje on 16 November 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. North Macedonia's last five results: L L L L L (5 losses). Slovenia's last five: D W L W D (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). In their last 1 meetings, North Macedonia have won 0, Slovenia 1, with 0 draws.
North Macedonia vs Slovenia kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Monday 16 November 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Toše Proeski Arena, Skopje. Toše Proeski Arena holds 33,011 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 19:45.
North Macedonia vs Slovenia is being played at Toše Proeski Arena in Skopje on Monday 16 November 2026, the home ground of North Macedonia, which holds 33,011 people. Kick-off is at 19:45 UK time, and the match is part of the UEFA Nations League.
North Macedonia have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 12, with results reading L L L L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-2 defeat away to Scotland in the UEFA Nations League on 13 November.
Slovenia have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3, with results reading D W L W D from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-0 draw at home to Switzerland in the UEFA Nations League on 13 November.
Across the last 1 meetings North Macedonia have won 0, Slovenia have won 1 and 0 were drawn, with North Macedonia scoring 0 goals to Slovenia's 2. The most recent was Slovenia 2-0 North Macedonia on 29 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Enis Bardhi leads North Macedonia with 12 shots across their last 10 games, 1.2 a game, the most of any North Macedonia player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every North Macedonia player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
David Zec leads Slovenia with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games, 0.3 a game, the most of any Slovenia player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Slovenia player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Serdar Gözübüyük is the referee for North Macedonia vs Slovenia, averaging 31.3 fouls and 5.0 yellow cards per game across 3 games this season. That is 0.00 red cards a game, and the referee card on this page sets the record beside both teams' fouls and cards.
Statz predicts North Macedonia vs Slovenia with 11 starters a side: North Macedonia line up 4-2-3-1 and Slovenia 5-4-1, ahead of the 19:45 UK time kick-off on Monday 16 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Slovenia the favourite with a 53% chance of winning, against 20% for North Macedonia and 27% for the draw. Projected goals are North Macedonia 0.8 - 1.4 Slovenia.
The most likely score in North Macedonia vs Slovenia is 0-1, a Slovenia win, at 16%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 40% likely and over 2.5 goals 37%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for North Macedonia vs Slovenia, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Slovenia vs North Macedonia | 2-0 |
Statz's projection model expects North Macedonia 0.8 - 1.4 Slovenia in goals. It gives North Macedonia a 20% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Slovenia 53%. Both teams to score is 40% likely, over 1.5 goals 64% and over 2.5 goals 37%. The most likely scorelines are 0-1 (16%), 1-1 (12%), 0-0 (12%), 0-2 (11%), 1-0 (9%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Slovenia win | 16% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 12% |
| 0-2 | Slovenia win | 11% |
| 1-0 | North Macedonia win | 9% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for North Macedonia vs Slovenia, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | North Macedonia | Fouls committed | Slovenia | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Elmas | 13 | J. Bijol | 8 |
| 2 | V. Musliu | 9 | E. Janza | 8 |
| 3 | A. Elezi | 7 | S. Lovrić | 8 |
| 4 | B. Ilievski | 5 | A. Cerin | 8 |
| 5 | A. Stojcevski | 5 | D. Zec | 8 |
| # | North Macedonia | Shots | Slovenia | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Bardhi | 12 | D. Sturm | 18 |
| 2 | J. Atanasov | 5 | Z. Vipotnik | 13 |
| 3 | B. Miovski | 4 | A. Cerin | 8 |
| 4 | A. Elezi | 4 | Z. Karnicnik | 6 |
| 5 | A. Stojcevski | 3 | A. Matko | 6 |
| # | North Macedonia | Shots on target | Slovenia | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Bardhi | 3 | Z. Vipotnik | 5 |
| 2 | B. Miovski | 1 | D. Sturm | 4 |
| 3 | E. Rastoder | 1 | A. Sporar | 3 |
| 4 | H. Maleski | 1 | Z. Karnicnik | 2 |
| 5 | P. Acebal | 1 | T. Elsnik | 2 |
| # | North Macedonia | Goals | Slovenia | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Miovski | 1 | Z. Vipotnik | 3 |
| 2 | E. Rastoder | 1 | D. Sturm | 2 |
| 3 | A. Matko | 2 | ||
| 4 | T. Elsnik | 1 | ||
| 5 | A. Sporar | 1 |
| # | North Macedonia | Yellow cards | Slovenia | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Dimitrievski | 2 | D. Zec | 3 |
| 2 | E. Bardhi | 2 | Z. Karnicnik | 2 |
| 3 | J. Atanasov | 2 | V. Drkusic | 2 |
| 4 | D. Velkovski | 1 | A. Cerin | 2 |
| 5 | T. Kostadinov | 1 | J. Bijol | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for North Macedonia vs Slovenia: Benjamin Verbic 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.50); Adam Gnezda Cerin 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.29). Combined odds 1.72 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.2 | 51 of 54 |
| Goals against | 2.4 | 50 of 54 |
| Shots | 6 | 52 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 0.6 | 53 of 54 |
| Fouls | 12.6 | 21 of 54 |
| Tackles | 14 | 28 of 54 |
| Passes | 424 | 38 of 54 |
| Corners | 2.4 | 49 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.7 | 19 of 54 |
| Goals against | 0.6 | 9 of 54 |
| Shots | 9.6 | 45 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 2.8 | 46 of 54 |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 23 of 54 |
| Tackles | 13.4 | 36 of 54 |
| Passes | 390.8 | 44 of 54 |
| Corners | 5 | 21 of 54 |