Updated 9 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12.4% |
| 1-0 | MK Dons win | 11.3% |
| 2-0 | MK Dons win | 10.2% |
| 2-1 | MK Dons win | 9.6% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8.2% |
| 0-1 | Burton win | 6.1% |
| 3-0 | MK Dons win | 5.7% |
| 1-2 | Burton win | 5.5% |
| 3-1 | MK Dons win | 5.4% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 4.6% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| MK Dons clean sheet | 39% |
| Burton clean sheet | 19% |
The most likely score in MK Dons vs Burton is 1-1, a 12% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-0 at 11%. The League One game kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 14 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects MK Dons 1.67 - 0.95 Burton in goals for MK Dons vs Burton, with over 2.5 goals 49% likely and both teams to score 51%.
Statz projects 19 players for MK Dons vs Burton on Saturday 14 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 15:00 UK time kick-off.
MK Dons host Burton at Stadium mk, Milton Keynes on 14 November 2026 at 15:00 in League One. MK Dons's last five results: L W W W W (4 wins and 1 loss). Burton's last five: D D W L W (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). In their last 4 meetings, MK Dons have won 2, Burton 0, with 2 draws.
MK Dons vs Burton kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 14 November 2026 in League One, at Stadium mk, Milton Keynes. Stadium mk holds 30,500 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 15:00.
MK Dons vs Burton is being played at Stadium mk in Milton Keynes on Saturday 14 November 2026, the home ground of MK Dons, which holds 30,500 people. Kick-off is at 15:00 UK time, and the match is part of League One.
MK Dons have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 5, with results reading W L W W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 6-1 win at home to Doncaster in the League One on 31 October.
Burton have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6, with results reading L D D W L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-2 defeat away to Wycombe in the League One on 31 October.
Across the last 4 meetings MK Dons have won 2, Burton have won 0 and 2 were drawn, with MK Dons scoring 3 goals to Burton's 1. The most recent was Burton Albion 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons on 7 May 2023 in the League One.
A. Collins leads MK Dons with 11 goals across their last 10 games, 1.1 a game, the most of any MK Dons player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every MK Dons player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
C. Vickers leads Burton with 4 assists across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Burton player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Burton player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Until the team news for MK Dons vs Burton is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: MK Dons's XI from their 6-1 win v Doncaster at home on Sat 31 Oct 2026, and Burton's XI from their 0-2 defeat at Wycombe on Sat 31 Oct 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes MK Dons the favourite with a 53% chance of winning, against 21% for Burton and 26% for the draw. Projected goals are MK Dons 1.7 - 1.0 Burton.
The most likely score in MK Dons vs Burton is 1-1, a draw, at 12%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 51% likely and over 2.5 goals 49%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for MK Dons vs Burton, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2023 | League One | Burton Albion vs Milton Keynes Dons | 0-0 |
| 3 Dec 2022 | League One | Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion | 1-1 |
| 25 Jan 2022 | League One | Burton Albion vs Milton Keynes Dons | 0-1 |
| 20 Nov 2021 | League One | Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion | 1-0 |
Statz's projection model expects MK Dons 1.7 - 1.0 Burton in goals. It gives MK Dons a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Burton 21%. Both teams to score is 51% likely, over 1.5 goals 75% and over 2.5 goals 49%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 0-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 1-0 | MK Dons win | 11% |
| 2-0 | MK Dons win | 10% |
| 2-1 | MK Dons win | 10% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8% |
Predicted lineups for MK Dons vs Burton are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: MK Dons's XI from their 6-1 win v Doncaster at home on Sat 31 Oct 2026, and Burton's XI from their 0-2 defeat at Wycombe on Sat 31 Oct 2026.
| # | MK Dons | Fouls committed | Burton | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Nombe | 23 | C. Tilt | 17 |
| 2 | A. Gilbey | 21 | C. Vickers | 12 |
| 3 | A. Collins | 13 | T. Sibbick | 10 |
| 4 | C. Nelson | 10 | R. Rodrigues | 10 |
| 5 | M. Ekpiteta | 9 | W. Collar | 8 |
| # | MK Dons | Shots | Burton | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Collins | 37 | C. Webster | 21 |
| 2 | S. Nombe | 23 | C. Vickers | 15 |
| 3 | A. Gilbey | 18 | R. Rodrigues | 13 |
| 4 | C. Goode | 12 | G. Arubi | 13 |
| 5 | C. Paterson | 10 | M. Dennis | 12 |
| # | MK Dons | Shots on target | Burton | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Collins | 15 | G. Arubi | 5 |
| 2 | S. Nombe | 8 | C. Webster | 4 |
| 3 | A. Gilbey | 5 | C. Vickers | 4 |
| 4 | C. Paterson | 3 | M. Dennis | 4 |
| 5 | C. Goode | 3 | C. Tilt | 3 |
| # | MK Dons | Goals | Burton | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Collins | 11 | F. Delap | 2 |
| 2 | C. Paterson | 2 | J. Armer | 2 |
| 3 | A. Gilbey | 2 | K. Chauke | 1 |
| 4 | M. Ekpiteta | 1 | W. Collar | 1 |
| 5 | S. Nombe | 1 | C. Webster | 1 |
| # | MK Dons | Yellow cards | Burton | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Gilbey | 5 | S. Krubally | 3 |
| 2 | A. Collins | 2 | T. Sibbick | 2 |
| 3 | J. Sanders | 2 | C. Tilt | 2 |
| 4 | R. Wintle | 2 | R. Rodrigues | 2 |
| 5 | M. Ekpiteta | 2 | M. Dennis | 2 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 5 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 16 of 24 |
| Shots | 15 | 7 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 4.1 | 14 of 24 |
| Fouls | 12.7 | 6 of 24 |
| Tackles | 15 | 14 of 24 |
| Passes | 317 | 23 of 24 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 15 of 24 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.4 | 16 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 15 of 24 |
| Shots | 11.3 | 22 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 3.6 | 17 of 24 |
| Fouls | 12.6 | 7 of 24 |
| Tackles | 17.6 | 2 of 24 |
| Passes | 369.6 | 12 of 24 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 20 of 24 |