| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Egypt win | 17.3% |
| 0-2 | Egypt win | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 10.1% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 10.1% |
| 1-2 | Egypt win | 8.6% |
| 0-3 | Egypt win | 8.4% |
| 1-0 | Malawi win | 5.9% |
| 1-3 | Egypt win | 4.9% |
| 0-4 | Egypt win | 3.6% |
| 2-1 | Malawi win | 2.9% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 36% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% |
| Malawi clean sheet | 18% |
| Egypt clean sheet | 56% |
The most likely score in Malawi vs Egypt is 0-1, a 17% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 0-2 at 15%. The Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications game kicks off at 13:00 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Malawi 0.58 - 1.71 Egypt in goals for Malawi vs Egypt, with over 2.5 goals 40% likely and both teams to score 36%.
Statz projects 41 players for Malawi vs Egypt on Tuesday 17 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 13:00 UK time kick-off.
Malawi host Egypt at Bingu National Stadium, Lilongwe on 17 November 2026 at 13:00 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications. Malawi's last five results: L D W L L (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses). Egypt's last five: D L D W W (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). In their last 3 meetings, Malawi have won 0, Egypt 3, with 0 draws.
Malawi vs Egypt kicks off at 13:00 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, at Bingu National Stadium, Lilongwe. Bingu National Stadium holds 41,100 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 13:00.
Malawi vs Egypt is being played at Bingu National Stadium in Lilongwe on Tuesday 17 November 2026, the home ground of Malawi, which holds 41,100 people. Kick-off is at 13:00 UK time, and the match is part of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.
Malawi have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 11, with results reading L D W L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-5 defeat away to Egypt in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on 13 November.
Egypt have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 4, with results reading D L D W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 5-0 win at home to Malawi in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on 13 November.
Across the last 3 meetings Malawi have won 0, Egypt have won 3 and 0 were drawn, with Malawi scoring 0 goals to Egypt's 11. The most recent was Egypt 5-0 Malawi on 13 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.
Babatunde Adepoju leads Malawi with 7 shots across their last 10 games, 0.7 a game, the most of any Malawi player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Malawi player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Mostafa Mohamed Zaki Abdelraouf leads Egypt with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Egypt player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Egypt player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Predicted lineups for Malawi vs Egypt appear on this page once the team news is in, usually the day before the 13:00 UK time kick-off on Tuesday 17 November 2026. The confirmed XIs follow about an hour before kick-off, with each player's recent form beside them.
Statz's projection model makes Egypt the favourite with a 65% chance of winning, against 12% for Malawi and 23% for the draw. Projected goals are Malawi 0.6 - 1.7 Egypt.
The most likely score in Malawi vs Egypt is 0-1, a Egypt win, at 17%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 36% likely and over 2.5 goals 40%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Malawi vs Egypt, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2026 | Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications | Egypt vs Malawi | 5-0 |
| 28 Mar 2023 | Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications | Malawi vs Egypt | 0-4 |
| 24 Mar 2023 | Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications | Egypt vs Malawi | 2-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Malawi 0.6 - 1.7 Egypt in goals. It gives Malawi a 12% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Egypt 65%. Both teams to score is 36% likely, over 1.5 goals 67% and over 2.5 goals 40%. The most likely scorelines are 0-1 (17%), 0-2 (15%), 0-0 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Egypt win | 17% |
| 0-2 | Egypt win | 15% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 10% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 10% |
| 1-2 | Egypt win | 9% |
| # | Malawi | Fouls committed | Egypt | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Petro | 5 | M. Ateya | 15 |
| 2 | W. Mpinganjira | 4 | M. Abdelraouf | 9 |
| 3 | Y. Singo | 2 | M. Lasheen | 8 |
| 4 | B. Adepoju | 2 | Y. Ibrahim | 7 |
| 5 | P. Mwaungulu | 2 | H. Abdelmaguid | 6 |
| # | Malawi | Shots | Egypt | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Adepoju | 7 | O. Marmoush | 18 |
| 2 | R. Mbulu | 7 | M. Salah | 17 |
| 3 | C. Petro | 3 | M. Abdelraouf | 17 |
| 4 | L. Njaliwa | 2 | E. Ashour | 16 |
| 5 | F. Madinga | 2 | M. Trezeguet | 10 |
| # | Malawi | Shots on target | Egypt | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Adepoju | 4 | M. Salah | 9 |
| 2 | L. Njaliwa | 2 | M. Abdelraouf | 8 |
| 3 | R. Mbulu | 2 | O. Marmoush | 7 |
| 4 | F. Madinga | 1 | M. Trezeguet | 3 |
| 5 | A. Fatouh | 3 |
| # | Malawi | Goals | Egypt | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Malango | 1 | M. Abdelraouf | 4 |
| 2 | L. Njaliwa | 1 | M. Salah | 3 |
| 3 | B. Adepoju | 1 | O. Marmoush | 3 |
| 4 | E. Ashour | 2 | ||
| 5 | Y. Ibrahim | 1 |
| # | Malawi | Yellow cards | Egypt | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Lameck | 1 | M. Ateya | 3 |
| 2 | F. Madinga | 1 | Y. Ibrahim | 2 |
| 3 | G. Chokooka | 1 | M. Lasheen | 2 |
| 4 | C. Petro | 1 | H. Hassan | 1 |
| 5 | B. Mpokera | 1 | H. Fathy | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.9 | 37 of 58 |
| Goals against | 1 | 25 of 58 |
| Shots | 7.4 | 31 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 2.8 | 36 of 58 |
| Fouls | 10.8 | 44 of 58 |
| Passes | 0.7 | 37 of 58 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 29 of 58 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.2 | 10 of 58 |
| Goals against | 0.2 | 3 of 58 |
| Shots | 11.2 | 5 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 5 | 6 of 58 |
| Fouls | 13.5 | 16 of 58 |
| Passes | 1 | 27 of 58 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 10 of 58 |