| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Gabon win | 17.7% |
| 0-2 | Gabon win | 13.5% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 11.6% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 11.1% |
| 1-2 | Gabon win | 8.5% |
| 1-0 | Lesotho win | 7.3% |
| 0-3 | Gabon win | 6.9% |
| 1-3 | Gabon win | 4.3% |
| 2-1 | Lesotho win | 3.5% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 2.7% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 37% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% |
| Lesotho clean sheet | 22% |
| Gabon clean sheet | 53% |
The most likely score in Lesotho vs Gabon is 0-1, a 18% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 0-2 at 14%. The Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications game kicks off at 13:00 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Lesotho 0.63 - 1.53 Gabon in goals for Lesotho vs Gabon, with over 2.5 goals 36% likely and both teams to score 37%.
Statz projects 35 players for Lesotho vs Gabon on Tuesday 17 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 13:00 UK time kick-off.
Lesotho host Gabon at Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium, Atteridgeville on 17 November 2026 at 13:00 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications. Lesotho's last five results: D L L L L (1 draw and 4 losses). Gabon's last five: L D L W W (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). In their last 3 meetings, Lesotho have won 0, Gabon 2, with 1 draw.
Lesotho vs Gabon kicks off at 13:00 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, at Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium, Atteridgeville. Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium holds 45,500 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 13:00.
Lesotho vs Gabon is being played at Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium in Atteridgeville on Tuesday 17 November 2026, the home ground of Lesotho, which holds 45,500 people. Kick-off is at 13:00 UK time, and the match is part of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.
Lesotho have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 11, with results reading D L L L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-2 defeat away to Gabon in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on 13 November.
Gabon have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7, with results reading L D L W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-0 win at home to Lesotho in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on 13 November.
Across the last 3 meetings Lesotho have won 0, Gabon have won 2 and 1 was drawn, with Lesotho scoring 0 goals to Gabon's 4. The most recent was Gabon 2-0 Lesotho on 13 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.
Sera Motebang leads Lesotho with 9 shots across their last 10 games, 0.9 a game, the most of any Lesotho player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Lesotho player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Denis Bouanga leads Gabon with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Gabon player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Gabon player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Predicted lineups for Lesotho vs Gabon appear on this page once the team news is in, usually the day before the 13:00 UK time kick-off on Tuesday 17 November 2026. The confirmed XIs follow about an hour before kick-off, with each player's recent form beside them.
Statz's projection model makes Gabon the favourite with a 59% chance of winning, against 15% for Lesotho and 26% for the draw. Projected goals are Lesotho 0.6 - 1.5 Gabon.
The most likely score in Lesotho vs Gabon is 0-1, a Gabon win, at 18%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 37% likely and over 2.5 goals 36%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Lesotho vs Gabon, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2026 | Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications | Gabon vs Lesotho | 2-0 |
| 15 Oct 2024 | Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications | Lesotho vs Gabon | 0-2 |
| 11 Oct 2024 | Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications | Gabon vs Lesotho | 0-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Lesotho 0.6 - 1.5 Gabon in goals. It gives Lesotho a 15% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gabon 59%. Both teams to score is 37% likely, over 1.5 goals 63% and over 2.5 goals 36%. The most likely scorelines are 0-1 (18%), 0-2 (14%), 0-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Gabon win | 18% |
| 0-2 | Gabon win | 14% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 12% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 1-2 | Gabon win | 8% |
| # | Lesotho | Fouls committed | Gabon | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Motebang | 5 | D. Bouanga | 14 |
| 2 | R. Mokokoane | 5 | D. Ndong | 7 |
| 3 | N. Mokhachane | 5 | A. Poko | 7 |
| 4 | T. Malane | 5 | G. Kanga | 7 |
| 5 | T. Lesaoana | 4 | J. Ekomié | 6 |
| # | Lesotho | Shots | Gabon | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Motebang | 9 | D. Bouanga | 24 |
| 2 | N. Mokhachane | 6 | G. Kanga | 12 |
| 3 | L. Lesako | 4 | M. Lemina | 8 |
| 4 | T. Makhele | 3 | D. Ndong | 5 |
| 5 | L. Fothoane | 1 | P. Aubameyang | 4 |
| # | Lesotho | Shots on target | Gabon | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Lesako | 3 | D. Bouanga | 12 |
| 2 | S. Motebang | 2 | G. Kanga | 5 |
| 3 | T. Makhele | 1 | M. Lemina | 3 |
| 4 | N. Mokhachane | 1 | R. Openda | 2 |
| 5 | P. Aubameyang | 2 |
| # | Lesotho | Goals | Gabon | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Motebang | 1 | D. Bouanga | 4 |
| 2 | M. Lemina | 2 | ||
| 3 | A. Moucketou-Moussounda | 1 | ||
| 4 | P. Aubameyang | 1 | ||
| 5 | G. Kanga | 1 |
| # | Lesotho | Yellow cards | Gabon | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Mokokoane | 2 | D. Ndong | 2 |
| 2 | T. Makhele | 2 | B. Manga | 1 |
| 3 | M. Mkwanazi | 1 | A. Poko | 1 |
| 4 | L. Fothoane | 1 | A. Moucketou-Moussounda | 1 |
| 5 | N. Mokhachane | 1 | P. Aubameyang | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.6 | 42 of 58 |
| Goals against | 1.4 | 39 of 58 |
| Shots | 5.9 | 41 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 2.1 | 45 of 58 |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 38 of 58 |
| Tackles | 14 | 5 of 58 |
| Passes | 138.3 | 8 of 58 |
| Corners | 2.1 | 51 of 58 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.3 | 9 of 58 |
| Goals against | 1.2 | 28 of 58 |
| Shots | 8.5 | 19 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 3.8 | 18 of 58 |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 47 of 58 |
| Passes | 3 | 15 of 58 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 9 of 58 |