Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11.1% |
| 1-2 | Villa win | 8.9% |
| 2-1 | Ipswich win | 7.8% |
| 0-1 | Villa win | 6.6% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 6.6% |
| 0-2 | Villa win | 6.0% |
| 1-0 | Ipswich win | 5.7% |
| 1-3 | Villa win | 5.0% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 4.8% |
| 2-0 | Ipswich win | 4.6% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 63% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% |
| Ipswich clean sheet | 18% |
| Villa clean sheet | 23% |
The most likely score in Ipswich vs Villa is 1-1, a 11% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-2 at 9%. The Premier League game kicks off at 17:30 UK time on Saturday 28 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Ipswich 1.48 - 1.69 Villa in goals for Ipswich vs Villa, with over 2.5 goals 61% likely and both teams to score 63%.
Statz projects 22 players for Ipswich vs Villa on Saturday 28 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 17:30 UK time kick-off.
Ipswich host Villa at Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich on 28 November 2026 at 17:30 in the Premier League. Ipswich's last five results: W L D D L (1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses). Villa's last five: W L D L D (1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses). In their last 2 meetings, Ipswich have won 0, Villa 0, with 2 draws.
Ipswich vs Villa kicks off at 17:30 UK time on Saturday 28 November 2026 in the Premier League, at Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich. Portman Road Stadium holds 29,673 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 17:30.
Ipswich vs Villa is being played at Portman Road Stadium in Ipswich on Saturday 28 November 2026, the home ground of Ipswich, which holds 29,673 people. Kick-off is at 17:30 UK time, and the match is part of the Premier League.
Ipswich have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 9, with results reading W L D D L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-2 defeat at home to B'mouth in the Premier League on 8 November.
Villa have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 8, with results reading D W W D D from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 4-4 draw away to Man Utd in the Premier League on 8 November.
Across the last 2 meetings Ipswich have won 0, Villa have won 0 and 2 were drawn, with Ipswich scoring 3 goals to Villa's 3. The most recent was Aston Villa 1-1 Ipswich Town on 15 February 2025 in the Premier League.
Julio Enciso leads Ipswich with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games, 0.3 a game, the most of any Ipswich player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Ipswich player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Nicolas Jackson leads Villa with 6 goals across their last 10 games, 0.6 a game, the most of any Villa player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Villa player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Until the team news for Ipswich vs Villa is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Ipswich's XI from their 1-2 defeat v B'mouth at home on Sun 8 Nov 2026, and Villa's XI from their 4-4 draw at Man Utd on Sun 8 Nov 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Villa the favourite with a 42% chance of winning, against 33% for Ipswich and 24% for the draw. Projected goals are Ipswich 1.5 - 1.7 Villa.
The most likely score in Ipswich vs Villa is 1-1, a draw, at 11%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 63% likely and over 2.5 goals 61%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Ipswich vs Villa, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2025 | Premier League | Aston Villa vs Ipswich Town | 1-1 |
| 29 Sep 2024 | Premier League | Ipswich Town vs Aston Villa | 2-2 |
Statz's projection model expects Ipswich 1.5 - 1.7 Villa in goals. It gives Ipswich a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Villa 42%. Both teams to score is 63% likely, over 1.5 goals 83% and over 2.5 goals 61%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 0-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 1-2 | Villa win | 9% |
| 2-1 | Ipswich win | 8% |
| 0-1 | Villa win | 7% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 7% |
Predicted lineups for Ipswich vs Villa are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Ipswich's XI from their 1-2 defeat v B'mouth at home on Sun 8 Nov 2026, and Villa's XI from their 4-4 draw at Man Utd on Sun 8 Nov 2026.
| # | Ipswich | Fouls committed | Villa | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Lukić | 14 | B. Kamara | 20 |
| 2 | I. Fatawu | 11 | M. Cash | 16 |
| 3 | Z. Flemming | 9 | J. McGinn | 10 |
| 4 | E. Palacios | 9 | J. Gomes | 8 |
| 5 | I. Diop | 8 | Alysson | 8 |
| # | Ipswich | Shots | Villa | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Enciso | 32 | N. Jackson | 23 |
| 2 | Emersonn | 18 | J. Manzambi | 18 |
| 3 | I. Fatawu | 8 | E. Buendía | 15 |
| 4 | Z. Flemming | 8 | R. Barkley | 11 |
| 5 | J. Clarke | 7 | J. McGinn | 9 |
| # | Ipswich | Shots on target | Villa | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Enciso | 9 | N. Jackson | 10 |
| 2 | Z. Flemming | 5 | J. Manzambi | 5 |
| 3 | J. Philogene | 4 | J. McGinn | 4 |
| 4 | J. Clarke | 4 | R. Barkley | 3 |
| 5 | Emersonn | 4 | Alysson | 3 |
| # | Ipswich | Goals | Villa | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Clarke | 2 | N. Jackson | 6 |
| 2 | J. Enciso | 2 | J. McGinn | 2 |
| 3 | Z. Flemming | 2 | Alysson | 2 |
| 4 | L. Davis | 2 | J. Manzambi | 2 |
| 5 | Emersonn | 2 | L. Goretzka | 1 |
| # | Ipswich | Yellow cards | Villa | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Enciso | 3 | M. Cash | 5 |
| 2 | I. Fatawu | 3 | E. Buendía | 2 |
| 3 | Z. Flemming | 2 | J. Gomes | 2 |
| 4 | I. Diop | 2 | Alysson | 2 |
| 5 | L. Davis | 2 | N. Jackson | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Ipswich vs Villa: Nicolas Jackson 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.25); Leon Goretzka 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.40); Taylor Harwood-Bellis 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.62). Combined odds 2.84 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.5 | 9 of 20 |
| Goals against | 2 | 19 of 20 |
| Shots | 10.9 | 19 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 3.9 | 11 of 20 |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 13 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15.8 | 12 of 20 |
| Passes | 438.2 | 9 of 20 |
| Corners | 2.8 | 20 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 7 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.7 | 16 of 20 |
| Shots | 11.9 | 16 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 3.3 | 18 of 20 |
| Fouls | 11.1 | 12 of 20 |
| Tackles | 18.1 | 3 of 20 |
| Passes | 402.3 | 13 of 20 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 18 of 20 |