Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Greece win | 12.6% |
| 2-0 | Greece win | 12.1% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 10.2% |
| 2-1 | Greece win | 9.7% |
| 3-0 | Greece win | 7.7% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 6.6% |
| 3-1 | Greece win | 6.2% |
| 0-1 | Serbia win | 5.3% |
| 1-2 | Serbia win | 4.1% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 3.9% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Greece clean sheet | 45% |
| Serbia clean sheet | 15% |
The most likely score in Greece vs Serbia is 1-0, a 13% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 2-0 at 12%. The UEFA Nations League game kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Monday 16 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Greece 1.92 - 0.81 Serbia in goals for Greece vs Serbia, with over 2.5 goals 51% likely and both teams to score 47%.
Statz projects 22 players for Greece vs Serbia on Monday 16 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 19:45 UK time kick-off.
Greece host Serbia at Dimotiko Stadio Neapolis Volou, Volos on 16 November 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Greece's last five results: W W D D L (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). Serbia's last five: L L L L L (5 losses). In their last 1 meetings, Greece have won 1, Serbia 0, with 0 draws.
Greece vs Serbia kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Monday 16 November 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Dimotiko Stadio Neapolis Volou, Volos. Dimotiko Stadio Neapolis Volou holds 22,700 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 19:45.
Greece vs Serbia is being played at Dimotiko Stadio Neapolis Volou in Volos on Monday 16 November 2026, the home ground of Greece, which holds 22,700 people. Kick-off is at 19:45 UK time, and the match is part of the UEFA Nations League.
Greece have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 10, with results reading W W D D L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-7 defeat away to Netherlands in the UEFA Nations League on 13 November.
Serbia have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 11, with results reading L L L L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-3 defeat at home to Germany in the UEFA Nations League on 13 November.
Across the last 1 meetings Greece have won 1, Serbia have won 0 and 0 were drawn, with Greece scoring 2 goals to Serbia's 1. The most recent was Serbia 1-2 Greece on 24 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Panagiotis Retsos leads Greece with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games, 0.3 a game, the most of any Greece player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Greece player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Luka Jović leads Serbia with 10 shots across their last 10 games, 1.0 a game, the most of any Serbia player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Serbia player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Until the team news for Greece vs Serbia is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Greece's XI from their 0-7 defeat at Netherlands on Fri 13 Nov 2026, and Serbia's XI from their 1-3 defeat v Germany at home on Fri 13 Nov 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Greece the favourite with a 64% chance of winning, against 15% for Serbia and 21% for the draw. Projected goals are Greece 1.9 - 0.8 Serbia.
The most likely score in Greece vs Serbia is 1-0, a Greece win, at 13%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 47% likely and over 2.5 goals 51%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Greece vs Serbia, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Serbia vs Greece | 1-2 |
Statz's projection model expects Greece 1.9 - 0.8 Serbia in goals. It gives Greece a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Serbia 15%. Both teams to score is 47% likely, over 1.5 goals 76% and over 2.5 goals 51%. The most likely scorelines are 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Greece win | 13% |
| 2-0 | Greece win | 12% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 10% |
| 2-1 | Greece win | 10% |
| 3-0 | Greece win | 8% |
Predicted lineups for Greece vs Serbia are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Greece's XI from their 0-7 defeat at Netherlands on Fri 13 Nov 2026, and Serbia's XI from their 1-3 defeat v Germany at home on Fri 13 Nov 2026.
| # | Greece | Fouls committed | Serbia | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Retsos | 11 | S. Pavlović | 9 |
| 2 | C. Zafeiris | 10 | S. Lukić | 8 |
| 3 | D. Kourbelis | 6 | S. Babic | 5 |
| 4 | L. Rota | 6 | N. Maksimovic | 5 |
| 5 | K. Karetsas | 6 | A. Terzic | 4 |
| # | Greece | Shots | Serbia | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Tzolis | 20 | L. Jović | 10 |
| 2 | V. Pavlidis | 12 | S. Pavlović | 7 |
| 3 | K. Mavropanos | 9 | V. Birmancevic | 6 |
| 4 | K. Karetsas | 8 | M. Cvetkovic | 6 |
| 5 | C. Zafeiris | 6 | S. Milinkovic-Savic | 5 |
| # | Greece | Shots on target | Serbia | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Tzolis | 5 | L. Jović | 4 |
| 2 | K. Tsimikas | 3 | V. Birmancevic | 4 |
| 3 | V. Pavlidis | 3 | A. Mitrović | 3 |
| 4 | F. Ioannidis | 3 | F. Kostić | 3 |
| 5 | K. Mavropanos | 3 | S. Pavlović | 2 |
| # | Greece | Goals | Serbia | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Masouras | 2 | S. Pavlović | 1 |
| 2 | F. Ioannidis | 1 | A. Mitrović | 1 |
| 3 | D. Kourbelis | 1 | S. Babic | 1 |
| 4 | A. Douvikas | 1 | M. Cvetkovic | 1 |
| 5 | C. Tzolis | 1 | L. Jović | 1 |
| # | Greece | Yellow cards | Serbia | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Retsos | 3 | A. Zivkovic | 2 |
| 2 | M. Saliakas | 2 | N. Maksimovic | 2 |
| 3 | C. Zafeiris | 2 | S. Lukić | 2 |
| 4 | K. Koulierakis | 1 | V. Dragojevic | 2 |
| 5 | L. Rota | 1 | S. Babic | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Greece vs Serbia: Mihajlo Cvetkovic 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.20); Aleksandar Mitrović 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.36); Lazaros Rota 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.33); Vangelis Pavlidis 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.25). Combined odds 2.31 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.3 | 27 of 54 |
| Goals against | 2 | 46 of 54 |
| Shots | 11.2 | 35 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 3.4 | 41 of 54 |
| Fouls | 8.2 | 52 of 54 |
| Tackles | 18 | 5 of 54 |
| Passes | 361.4 | 47 of 54 |
| Corners | 4 | 32 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.8 | 41 of 54 |
| Goals against | 2.2 | 48 of 54 |
| Shots | 8 | 48 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 3.6 | 40 of 54 |
| Fouls | 11.4 | 33 of 54 |
| Tackles | 17.4 | 8 of 54 |
| Passes | 299.2 | 51 of 54 |
| Corners | 2 | 52 of 54 |