Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 9.8% |
| 2-1 | Germany win | 9.7% |
| 1-0 | Germany win | 7.8% |
| 2-0 | Germany win | 7.6% |
| 3-1 | Germany win | 6.3% |
| 1-2 | Netherlands win | 6.2% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 6.1% |
| 0-1 | Netherlands win | 5.0% |
| 3-0 | Germany win | 5.0% |
| 3-2 | Germany win | 4.0% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 62% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% |
| Germany clean sheet | 28% |
| Netherlands clean sheet | 14% |
The most likely score in Germany vs Netherlands is 1-1, a 10% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 2-1 at 10%. The UEFA Nations League game kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Monday 16 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Germany 1.96 - 1.27 Netherlands in goals for Germany vs Netherlands, with over 2.5 goals 63% likely and both teams to score 62%.
Statz projects 22 players for Germany vs Netherlands on Monday 16 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 19:45 UK time kick-off.
Germany host Netherlands at Olympiastadion Berlin, Berlin on 16 November 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Germany's last five results: D L W D W (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). Netherlands's last five: D W D W W (3 wins and 2 draws). In their last 5 meetings, Germany have won 2, Netherlands 0, with 3 draws.
Germany vs Netherlands kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Monday 16 November 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Olympiastadion Berlin, Berlin. Olympiastadion Berlin holds 74,649 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 19:45.
Germany vs Netherlands is being played at Olympiastadion Berlin in Berlin on Monday 16 November 2026, the home ground of Germany, which holds 74,649 people. Kick-off is at 19:45 UK time, and the match is part of the UEFA Nations League.
Germany have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 3, with results reading D L W D W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 3-1 win away to Serbia in the UEFA Nations League on 13 November.
Netherlands have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 5, with results reading D W D W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 7-0 win at home to Greece in the UEFA Nations League on 13 November.
Across the last 5 meetings Germany have won 2, Netherlands have won 0 and 3 were drawn, with Germany scoring 7 goals to Netherlands's 5. The most recent was Netherlands 1-1 Germany on 24 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Kai Havertz leads Germany with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Germany player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Germany player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Cody Gakpo leads Netherlands with 6 goals across their last 10 games, 0.6 a game, the most of any Netherlands player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Netherlands player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Until the team news for Germany vs Netherlands is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Germany's XI from their 3-1 win at Serbia on Fri 13 Nov 2026, and Netherlands's XI from their 7-0 win v Greece at home on Fri 13 Nov 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Germany the favourite with a 54% chance of winning, against 25% for Netherlands and 22% for the draw. Projected goals are Germany 2.0 - 1.3 Netherlands.
The most likely score in Germany vs Netherlands is 1-1, a draw, at 10%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 62% likely and over 2.5 goals 63%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Germany vs Netherlands, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Netherlands vs Germany | 1-1 |
| 14 Oct 2024 | UEFA Nations League | Germany vs Netherlands | 1-0 |
| 10 Sep 2024 | UEFA Nations League | Netherlands vs Germany | 2-2 |
| 26 Mar 2024 | Friendly International | Germany vs Netherlands | 2-1 |
| 29 Mar 2022 | Friendly International | Netherlands vs Germany | 1-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Germany 2.0 - 1.3 Netherlands in goals. It gives Germany a 54% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Netherlands 25%. Both teams to score is 62% likely, over 1.5 goals 83% and over 2.5 goals 63%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%), 2-0 (8%), 3-1 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 10% |
| 2-1 | Germany win | 10% |
| 1-0 | Germany win | 8% |
| 2-0 | Germany win | 8% |
| 3-1 | Germany win | 6% |
Predicted lineups for Germany vs Netherlands are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Germany's XI from their 3-1 win at Serbia on Fri 13 Nov 2026, and Netherlands's XI from their 7-0 win v Greece at home on Fri 13 Nov 2026.
| # | Germany | Fouls committed | Netherlands | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Pavlovic | 16 | D. Dumfries | 14 |
| 2 | J. Tah | 12 | R. Gravenberch | 8 |
| 3 | W. Anton | 7 | J. Hecke | 7 |
| 4 | J. Musiala | 7 | F. Jong | 7 |
| 5 | F. Nmecha | 7 | V. Dijk | 7 |
| # | Germany | Shots | Netherlands | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Wirtz | 25 | T. Reijnders | 24 |
| 2 | K. Havertz | 16 | C. Gakpo | 18 |
| 3 | F. Nmecha | 14 | C. Summerville | 18 |
| 4 | D. Scherhant | 14 | D. Dumfries | 12 |
| 5 | L. Sané | 10 | M. Meerdink | 12 |
| # | Germany | Shots on target | Netherlands | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Havertz | 9 | C. Gakpo | 11 |
| 2 | F. Wirtz | 6 | T. Reijnders | 10 |
| 3 | F. Nmecha | 5 | C. Summerville | 9 |
| 4 | D. Undav | 4 | D. Dumfries | 5 |
| 5 | L. Sané | 3 | M. Meerdink | 5 |
| # | Germany | Goals | Netherlands | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Havertz | 4 | C. Gakpo | 6 |
| 2 | D. Undav | 3 | T. Reijnders | 4 |
| 3 | L. Sané | 2 | B. Brobbey | 3 |
| 4 | F. Nmecha | 2 | C. Summerville | 3 |
| 5 | F. Wirtz | 2 | V. Dijk | 2 |
| # | Germany | Yellow cards | Netherlands | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Havertz | 1 | C. Summerville | 2 |
| 2 | J. Musiala | 1 | M. Depay | 1 |
| 3 | A. Pavlovic | 1 | M. Ven | 1 |
| 4 | B. Gruda | 1 | T. Reijnders | 1 |
| 5 | M. Thiaw | 1 | N. Lang | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Germany vs Netherlands: Niclas Füllkrug 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.25); Donyell Malen 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.40); Noa Lang 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.25); Joshua Kimmich 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.33). Combined odds 2.91 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.5 | 24 of 54 |
| Goals against | 0.6 | 8 of 54 |
| Shots | 20.2 | 2 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 5 | 20 of 54 |
| Fouls | 13.2 | 15 of 54 |
| Tackles | 14.4 | 25 of 54 |
| Passes | 663.8 | 3 of 54 |
| Corners | 6 | 8 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.8 | 3 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1 | 20 of 54 |
| Shots | 21 | 1 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 8.6 | 1 of 54 |
| Fouls | 9.4 | 47 of 54 |
| Tackles | 13.6 | 34 of 54 |
| Passes | 564 | 9 of 54 |
| Corners | 7 | 3 of 54 |