Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | France win | 10.8% |
| 3-0 | France win | 9.6% |
| 2-1 | France win | 8.9% |
| 1-0 | France win | 8.1% |
| 3-1 | France win | 8.0% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 6.7% |
| 4-0 | France win | 6.4% |
| 4-1 | France win | 5.3% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 3.7% |
| 5-0 | France win | 3.5% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46% |
| France clean sheet | 44% |
| Turkey clean sheet | 7% |
The most likely score in France vs Turkey is 2-0, a 11% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 3-0 at 10%. The UEFA Nations League game kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Sunday 15 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects France 2.68 - 0.83 Turkey in goals for France vs Turkey, with over 2.5 goals 68% likely and both teams to score 52%.
Statz projects 22 players for France vs Turkey on Sunday 15 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 19:45 UK time kick-off.
France host Turkey at Stade Matmut-Atlantique, Bordeaux on 15 November 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. France's last five results: W W D W L (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). Turkey's last five: L L L L L (5 losses). In their last 1 meetings, France have won 1, Turkey 0, with 0 draws.
France vs Turkey kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Sunday 15 November 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Stade Matmut-Atlantique, Bordeaux. Stade Matmut-Atlantique holds 42,115 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 19:45.
France vs Turkey is being played at Stade Matmut-Atlantique in Bordeaux on Sunday 15 November 2026, the home ground of France, which holds 42,115 people. Kick-off is at 19:45 UK time, and the match is part of the UEFA Nations League.
France have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5, with results reading W W D W L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-3 defeat away to Italy in the UEFA Nations League on 12 November.
Turkey have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 13, with results reading L L L L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-2 defeat at home to Belgium in the UEFA Nations League on 12 November.
Across the last 1 meetings France have won 1, Turkey have won 0 and 0 were drawn, with France scoring 1 goals to Turkey's 0. The most recent was Turkey 0-1 France on 25 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Kylian Mbappé leads France with 7 goals across their last 10 games, 0.7 a game, the most of any France player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every France player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Barış Alper Yılmaz leads Turkey with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Turkey player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Turkey player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Chris Kavanagh is the referee for France vs Turkey, averaging 26.9 fouls and 4.7 yellow cards per game across 7 games this season. That is 0.29 red cards a game, and the referee card on this page sets the record beside both teams' fouls and cards.
Statz predicts France vs Turkey with 11 starters a side: France line up 4-3-3 and Turkey 4-2-3-1, ahead of the 19:45 UK time kick-off on Sunday 15 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes France the favourite with a 77% chance of winning, against 9% for Turkey and 14% for the draw. Projected goals are France 2.7 - 0.8 Turkey.
The most likely score in France vs Turkey is 2-0, a France win, at 11%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 52% likely and over 2.5 goals 68%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for France vs Turkey, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Turkey vs France | 0-1 |
Statz's projection model expects France 2.7 - 0.8 Turkey in goals. It gives France a 77% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Turkey 9%. Both teams to score is 52% likely, over 1.5 goals 86% and over 2.5 goals 68%. The most likely scorelines are 2-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%), 3-1 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | France win | 11% |
| 3-0 | France win | 10% |
| 2-1 | France win | 9% |
| 1-0 | France win | 8% |
| 3-1 | France win | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for France vs Turkey, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | France | Fouls committed | Turkey | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Rabiot | 12 | İ. Yüksek | 13 |
| 2 | M. Koné | 10 | Z. Çelik | 12 |
| 3 | D. Upamecano | 9 | B. Yılmaz | 10 |
| 4 | M. Olise | 8 | A. Güler | 10 |
| 5 | M. Gusto | 6 | O. Kabak | 10 |
| # | France | Shots | Turkey | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Mbappé | 27 | A. Güler | 34 |
| 2 | M. Olise | 26 | H. Çalhanoğlu | 15 |
| 3 | O. Dembélé | 24 | K. Yıldız | 14 |
| 4 | D. Doué | 19 | B. Yılmaz | 12 |
| 5 | B. Barcola | 17 | K. Aktürkoğlu | 11 |
| # | France | Shots on target | Turkey | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Mbappé | 15 | A. Güler | 14 |
| 2 | M. Olise | 11 | B. Yılmaz | 6 |
| 3 | D. Doué | 9 | Y. Akgün | 5 |
| 4 | O. Dembélé | 8 | Z. Çelik | 3 |
| 5 | B. Barcola | 7 | H. Çalhanoğlu | 3 |
| # | France | Goals | Turkey | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Mbappé | 7 | B. Yılmaz | 4 |
| 2 | M. Olise | 5 | A. Güler | 2 |
| 3 | B. Barcola | 2 | K. Ayhan | 1 |
| 4 | O. Dembélé | 2 | A. Şimşir | 1 |
| 5 | R. Cherki | 1 | O. Kökçü | 1 |
| # | France | Yellow cards | Turkey | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Koné | 2 | O. Kabak | 2 |
| 2 | D. Upamecano | 2 | A. Bardakcı | 2 |
| 3 | M. Olise | 1 | A. Güler | 2 |
| 4 | B. Barcola | 1 | Y. Akgün | 1 |
| 5 | K. Mbappé | 1 | E. Elmalı | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for France vs Turkey: Rayan Cherki 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.40); Ibrahima Konaté 1+ tackles (80% hit rate at 1.30); Michael Olise 1+ tackles (80% hit rate at 1.30); Adrien Rabiot 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.20). Combined odds 2.84 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 21 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1 | 21 of 54 |
| Shots | 17.8 | 6 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 6.4 | 6 of 54 |
| Fouls | 11 | 39 of 54 |
| Tackles | 15.4 | 20 of 54 |
| Passes | 666.6 | 2 of 54 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 13 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.6 | 45 of 54 |
| Goals against | 2.6 | 51 of 54 |
| Shots | 14.8 | 19 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 5.2 | 18 of 54 |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 27 of 54 |
| Tackles | 17.2 | 9 of 54 |
| Passes | 489.2 | 22 of 54 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 14 of 54 |