Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13.3% |
| 1-2 | Palmeiras win | 8.6% |
| 0-1 | Palmeiras win | 8.1% |
| 2-1 | Cruzeiro win | 7.9% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 7.7% |
| 1-0 | Cruzeiro win | 7.3% |
| 0-2 | Palmeiras win | 6.6% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 5.6% |
| 2-0 | Cruzeiro win | 5.6% |
| 1-3 | Palmeiras win | 4.1% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 57% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Cruzeiro clean sheet | 24% |
| Palmeiras clean sheet | 27% |
The most likely score in Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras is 1-1, a 13% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-2 at 9%. The Campeonato Brasileiro game kicks off at 23:30 UK time on Wednesday 18 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Cruzeiro 1.31 - 1.42 Palmeiras in goals for Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras, with over 2.5 goals 51% likely and both teams to score 57%.
Statz projects 21 players for Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras on Wednesday 18 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 23:30 UK time kick-off.
Cruzeiro host Palmeiras at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte on 18 November 2026 at 23:30 in the Campeonato Brasileiro. Cruzeiro's last five results: L W W W W (4 wins and 1 loss). Palmeiras's last five: W L W D W (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, Cruzeiro have won 1, Palmeiras 2, with 3 draws.
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras kicks off at 23:30 UK time on Wednesday 18 November 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro, at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte. Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto holds 61,927 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 23:30.
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras is being played at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto in Belo Horizonte on Wednesday 18 November 2026, the home ground of Cruzeiro, which holds 61,927 people. Kick-off is at 23:30 UK time, and the match is part of the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Cruzeiro have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 8, with results reading L W W W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 3-2 win at home to Bahia in the Campeonato Brasileiro on 6 November.
Palmeiras have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 2, with results reading W W W D W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 6-1 win at home to Remo in the Campeonato Brasileiro on 5 November.
Across the last 6 meetings Cruzeiro have won 1, Palmeiras have won 2 and 3 were drawn, with Cruzeiro scoring 5 goals to Palmeiras's 7. The most recent was Palmeiras 1-1 Cruzeiro on 17 May 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Kaio Jorge leads Cruzeiro with 8 goals across their last 10 games, 0.8 a game, the most of any Cruzeiro player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Cruzeiro player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Mauricio leads Palmeiras with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Palmeiras player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Palmeiras player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Anderson Daronco is the referee for Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras, averaging 27.0 fouls and 2.8 yellow cards per game across 4 games this season. That is 0.00 red cards a game, and the referee card on this page sets the record beside both teams' fouls and cards.
Statz predicts Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras with 11 starters a side: Cruzeiro line up 4-2-3-1 and Palmeiras 4-4-2, ahead of the 23:30 UK time kick-off on Wednesday 18 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Palmeiras the favourite with a 39% chance of winning, against 33% for Cruzeiro and 28% for the draw. Projected goals are Cruzeiro 1.3 - 1.4 Palmeiras.
The most likely score in Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras is 1-1, a draw, at 13%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 57% likely and over 2.5 goals 51%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro | 1-1 |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro | 0-0 |
| 1 Jun 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras | 2-1 |
| 5 Dec 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras | 1-2 |
| 21 Jul 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro | 2-0 |
| 7 Dec 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras | 1-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Cruzeiro 1.3 - 1.4 Palmeiras in goals. It gives Cruzeiro a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Palmeiras 39%. Both teams to score is 57% likely, over 1.5 goals 77% and over 2.5 goals 51%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 0-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 1-2 | Palmeiras win | 9% |
| 0-1 | Palmeiras win | 8% |
| 2-1 | Cruzeiro win | 8% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Cruzeiro | Fouls committed | Palmeiras | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William | 15 | A. Giay | 14 |
| 2 | Z. Lucas | 11 | Murilo | 12 |
| 3 | M. Pereira | 11 | A. Barboza | 11 |
| 4 | Gerson | 9 | V. Roque | 11 |
| 5 | J. Jesus | 9 | G. Gómez | 9 |
| # | Cruzeiro | Shots | Palmeiras | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Pereira | 29 | J. López | 31 |
| 2 | K. Jorge | 28 | V. Roque | 25 |
| 3 | K. Arroyo | 27 | Mauricio | 17 |
| 4 | F. Morais | 14 | J. Arias | 16 |
| 5 | Gerson | 11 | M. Freitas | 15 |
| # | Cruzeiro | Shots on target | Palmeiras | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Jorge | 15 | J. Arias | 9 |
| 2 | K. Arroyo | 11 | J. López | 9 |
| 3 | M. Pereira | 11 | V. Roque | 8 |
| 4 | F. Morais | 7 | Mauricio | 7 |
| 5 | Z. Lucas | 5 | A. Pereira | 6 |
| # | Cruzeiro | Goals | Palmeiras | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Jorge | 8 | Mauricio | 4 |
| 2 | M. Pereira | 3 | A. Giay | 3 |
| 3 | Z. Lucas | 2 | J. Arias | 2 |
| 4 | B. Rodrigues | 1 | J. López | 2 |
| 5 | F. Bruno | 1 | F. Anderson | 1 |
| # | Cruzeiro | Yellow cards | Palmeiras | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Jesus | 3 | A. Giay | 5 |
| 2 | M. Pereira | 3 | J. Piquerez | 4 |
| 3 | J. Marcelo | 3 | A. Barboza | 3 |
| 4 | William | 2 | G. Gómez | 3 |
| 5 | F. Morais | 2 | M. Freitas | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras: Kaio Jorge 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.36); Vitor Roque 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.30); Gerson 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.44); Lucas Romero 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.36). Combined odds 3.46 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.7 | 4 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.4 | 13 of 20 |
| Shots | 15.2 | 5 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5.4 | 4 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13.8 | 4 of 20 |
| Tackles | 14.9 | 10 of 20 |
| Passes | 452.6 | 5 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 11 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.1 | 1 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.7 | 1 of 20 |
| Shots | 15.6 | 4 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5.3 | 6 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13 | 10 of 20 |
| Tackles | 14.9 | 11 of 20 |
| Passes | 446.2 | 8 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 4 of 20 |