Rwanda host Mali at Stade Amahoro, Kigali on 17 November 2026 at 19:00 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications. Rwanda's last five results: W D W W L (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). Mali's last five: D L W W W (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). In their last 1 meetings, Rwanda have won 0, Mali 1, with 0 draws.
Rwanda vs Mali kicks off at 19:00 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, at Stade Amahoro, Kigali. Stade Amahoro holds 45,508 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 19:00.
Rwanda vs Mali is being played at Stade Amahoro in Kigali on Tuesday 17 November 2026, the home ground of Rwanda, which holds 45,508 people. Kick-off is at 19:00 UK time, and the match is part of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.
Rwanda have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5, with results reading W D W W L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-3 defeat away to Mali in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on 13 November.
Mali have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5, with results reading D L W W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 3-2 win at home to Rwanda in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on 13 November.
Across the last 1 meetings Rwanda have won 0, Mali have won 1 and 0 were drawn, with Rwanda scoring 2 goals to Mali's 3. The most recent was Mali 3-2 Rwanda on 13 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.
Abeddy Biramahire leads Rwanda with 6 shots across their last 10 games, 0.6 a game, the most of any Rwanda player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Rwanda player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Lassine Sinayoko leads Mali with 16 shots across their last 10 games, 1.6 a game, the most of any Mali player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Mali player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Lahlou Benbraham is the referee for Rwanda vs Mali, averaging 32.0 fouls and 3.0 yellow cards per game across 1 games this season. That is 0.00 red cards a game, and the referee card on this page sets the record beside both teams' fouls and cards.
Until the team news for Rwanda vs Mali is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Rwanda's XI from their 2-1 win at Cape Verde on Tue 29 Sep 2026, and Mali's XI from their 3-2 win v Rwanda at home on Fri 13 Nov 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Mali the favourite with a 48% chance of winning, against 21% for Rwanda and 31% for the draw. Projected goals are Rwanda 0.7 - 1.2 Mali.
The most likely score in Rwanda vs Mali is 0-1, a Mali win, at 18%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 34% likely and over 2.5 goals 29%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Rwanda vs Mali, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2026 | Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications | Mali vs Rwanda | 3-2 |
Statz's projection model expects Rwanda 0.7 - 1.2 Mali in goals. It gives Rwanda a 21% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Mali 48%. Both teams to score is 34% likely, over 1.5 goals 55% and over 2.5 goals 29%. The most likely scorelines are 0-1 (18%), 0-0 (16%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%), 1-0 (11%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Mali win | 18% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 16% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 0-2 | Mali win | 11% |
| 1-0 | Rwanda win | 11% |
Predicted lineups for Rwanda vs Mali are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Rwanda's XI from their 2-1 win at Cape Verde on Tue 29 Sep 2026, and Mali's XI from their 3-2 win v Rwanda at home on Fri 13 Nov 2026.
| # | Rwanda | Fouls committed | Mali | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Bizimana | 7 | N. Gassama | 12 |
| 2 | B. Mugisha | 7 | H. Traoré | 9 |
| 3 | G. Byiringiro | 6 | L. Coulibaly | 8 |
| 4 | G. Mugisha | 5 | M. Sangaré | 8 |
| 5 | J. Mickels | 5 | D. Nene | 7 |
| # | Rwanda | Shots | Mali | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Biramahire | 6 | L. Sinayoko | 16 |
| 2 | J. Mickels | 4 | M. Sangaré | 13 |
| 3 | L. Mickels | 3 | K. Doumbia | 12 |
| 4 | A. Gitego | 2 | D. Nene | 11 |
| 5 | I. Nshuti | 2 | G. Diakité | 7 |
| # | Rwanda | Shots on target | Mali | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Mickels | 2 | L. Sinayoko | 7 |
| 2 | J. Mickels | 2 | D. Nene | 5 |
| 3 | C. Niyomugabo | 1 | L. Coulibaly | 2 |
| 4 | A. Biramahire | 1 | M. Tia | 2 |
| 5 | P. Kavita | 1 | K. Doumbia | 2 |
| # | Rwanda | Goals | Mali | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Biramahire | 2 | L. Sinayoko | 2 |
| 2 | L. Mickels | 2 | M. Tia | 2 |
| 3 | G. Mugisha | 1 | D. Nene | 2 |
| 4 | C. Niyomugabo | 1 | M. Camara | 1 |
| 5 | J. Mickels | 1 | K. Doumbia | 1 |
| # | Rwanda | Yellow cards | Mali | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Nshuti | 2 | Y. Bissouma | 2 |
| 2 | B. Mugisha | 2 | D. Nene | 2 |
| 3 | J. Kwizera | 2 | M. Doumbia | 2 |
| 4 | C. Niyomugabo | 1 | O. Camara | 2 |
| 5 | A. Ishimwe | 1 | A. Dieng | 2 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.5 | 47 of 58 |
| Goals against | 0.9 | 19 of 58 |
| Shots | 7.2 | 32 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 2.9 | 32 of 58 |
| Fouls | 11.4 | 35 of 58 |
| Tackles | 14 | 6 of 58 |
| Passes | 209.3 | 5 of 58 |
| Corners | 2.6 | 43 of 58 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.1 | 11 of 58 |
| Goals against | 0.6 | 11 of 58 |
| Shots | 11.1 | 7 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 4.7 | 9 of 58 |
| Fouls | 13.6 | 13 of 58 |
| Passes | 1 | 32 of 58 |
| Corners | 6 | 8 of 58 |