Man City host Brighton at Etihad Stadium, Manchester on 28 October 2026 at 19:30 in the Carabao Cup. In their last 6 meetings, Man City have won 2, Brighton 2, with 2 draws.
Man City vs Brighton kicks off at 19:30 UK time on Wednesday 28 October 2026 in the Carabao Cup, at Etihad Stadium, Manchester.
Man City vs Brighton is being played at Etihad Stadium in Manchester, the home ground of Man City.
Man City's recent form data is not available yet.
Brighton's recent form data is not available yet.
Across the last 6 meetings Man City have won 2, Brighton have won 2 and 2 were drawn. The most recent was Manchester City 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion on 7 January 2026 in the Premier League.
Erling Haaland leads Man City with 11 goals across their last 10 games.
Pascal Groß leads Brighton with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Andy Madley is the referee for Man City vs Brighton, averaging 23.0 fouls and 4.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Man City and Brighton are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Man City the favourite with a 53% chance of winning, against 24% for Brighton and 23% for the draw. Projected goals are Man City 1.9 - 1.3 Brighton.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 11%. Both teams to score is 61% likely and over 2.5 goals 62%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | Premier League | Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 1-1 |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Premier League | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City | 2-1 |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Premier League | Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 2-2 |
| 9 Nov 2024 | Premier League | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City | 2-1 |
| 25 Apr 2024 | Premier League | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City | 0-4 |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Premier League | Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 2-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Man City 1.9 - 1.3 Brighton in goals. It gives Man City a 53% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Brighton 24%. Both teams to score is 61% likely, over 1.5 goals 83% and over 2.5 goals 62%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%), 1-0 (8%), 1-2 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 2-1 | Man City win | 10% |
| 2-0 | Man City win | 8% |
| 1-0 | Man City win | 8% |
| 1-2 | Brighton win | 6% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Man City vs Brighton, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Man City | Fouls committed | Brighton | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Dias | 17 | C. Andrés | 13 |
| 2 | A. Semenyo | 12 | P. Groß | 12 |
| 3 | E. Haaland | 10 | O. Boscagli | 11 |
| 4 | E. Fernández | 10 | L. Vuskovic | 11 |
| 5 | J. Gvardiol | 9 | D. Gómez | 10 |
| # | Man City | Shots | Brighton | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Haaland | 34 | C. Kostoulas | 24 |
| 2 | R. Cherki | 19 | Y. Ayari | 21 |
| 3 | E. Fernández | 17 | P. Groß | 19 |
| 4 | I. Ndiaye | 15 | D. Gómez | 19 |
| 5 | A. Semenyo | 12 | L. Vuskovic | 17 |
| # | Man City | Shots on target | Brighton | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Haaland | 17 | C. Kostoulas | 9 |
| 2 | R. Cherki | 7 | D. Gómez | 6 |
| 3 | P. Foden | 6 | G. Rutter | 6 |
| 4 | E. Fernández | 5 | P. Groß | 5 |
| 5 | I. Ndiaye | 4 | Y. Ayari | 5 |
| # | Man City | Goals | Brighton | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Haaland | 11 | C. Kostoulas | 4 |
| 2 | P. Foden | 4 | P. Groß | 4 |
| 3 | R. Cherki | 4 | J. Hinshelwood | 2 |
| 4 | A. Semenyo | 2 | Y. Ayari | 2 |
| 5 | F. Samba | 2 | M. Cuyper | 2 |
| # | Man City | Yellow cards | Brighton | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Gvardiol | 4 | Costinha | 3 |
| 2 | E. Anderson | 1 | O. Boscagli | 3 |
| 3 | M. Guéhi | 1 | M. Cuyper | 3 |
| 4 | R. Cherki | 1 | P. Groß | 2 |
| 5 | R. McAidoo | 1 | C. Andrés | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Man City vs Brighton: Matt O'Riley 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.30); Luka Vuskovic 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.53); Pascal Struijk 1+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.29); Allan 1+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.20). Combined odds 3.08 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.5 | 2 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.1 | 6 of 20 |
| Shots | 14.6 | 6 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5.5 | 1 of 20 |
| Fouls | 11.5 | 10 of 20 |
| Tackles | 12.5 | 18 of 20 |
| Passes | 624.1 | 1 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 4 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.9 | 1 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.9 | 3 of 20 |
| Shots | 17.8 | 2 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5.4 | 3 of 20 |
| Fouls | 12.3 | 7 of 20 |
| Tackles | 14.1 | 16 of 20 |
| Passes | 518.5 | 6 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 7 of 20 |