Real Madrid host RB Leipzig at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid on 21 October 2026 at 20:00 in the Champions League. Real Madrid's last five results: W L W W W (4 wins and 1 loss). RB Leipzig's last five: W L W W L (3 wins and 2 losses). In their last 2 meetings, Real Madrid have won 1, RB Leipzig 0, with 1 draw.
Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Wednesday 21 October 2026 in the Champions League, at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid.
Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig is being played at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid, the home ground of Real Madrid.
Real Madrid's last five results read W L W W W (oldest to newest): 4 wins and 1 loss.
RB Leipzig's last five results read W L W W L (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 losses.
Across the last 2 meetings Real Madrid have won 1, RB Leipzig have won 0 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Real Madrid 1-1 RB Leipzig on 6 March 2024 in the Champions League.
Kylian Mbappé leads Real Madrid with 7 goals across their last 10 games.
Christopher Nkunku leads RB Leipzig with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Istvan Kovacs is the referee for Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig, averaging 31.7 fouls and 4.7 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Real Madrid and RB Leipzig are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Real Madrid the favourite with a 68% chance of winning, against 14% for RB Leipzig and 17% for the draw. Projected goals are Real Madrid 2.6 - 1.2 RB Leipzig.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1, a Real Madrid win, at 9%. Both teams to score is 64% likely and over 2.5 goals 73%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2024 | Champions League | Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig | 1-1 |
| 13 Feb 2024 | Champions League | RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid | 0-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Real Madrid 2.6 - 1.2 RB Leipzig in goals. It gives Real Madrid a 68% chance of winning, the draw 17% and RB Leipzig 14%. Both teams to score is 64% likely, over 1.5 goals 89% and over 2.5 goals 73%. The most likely scorelines are 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 2-0 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 3-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Real Madrid win | 9% |
| 3-1 | Real Madrid win | 8% |
| 2-0 | Real Madrid win | 8% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 7% |
| 3-0 | Real Madrid win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Real Madrid | Fouls committed | RB Leipzig | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Konaté | 11 | E. Banzuzi | 14 |
| 2 | J. Bellingham | 7 | C. Nkunku | 9 |
| 3 | V. Junior | 7 | D. Raum | 7 |
| 4 | Y. Diomande | 6 | W. Orbán | 7 |
| 5 | M. Cucurella | 6 | N. Seiwald | 6 |
| # | Real Madrid | Shots | RB Leipzig | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Mbappé | 26 | A. Nusa | 21 |
| 2 | V. Junior | 14 | T. Gomis | 17 |
| 3 | J. Bellingham | 12 | E. Banzuzi | 15 |
| 4 | Y. Diomande | 12 | C. Nkunku | 15 |
| 5 | A. Güler | 7 | B. Gruda | 13 |
| # | Real Madrid | Shots on target | RB Leipzig | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Mbappé | 17 | A. Nusa | 9 |
| 2 | J. Bellingham | 4 | C. Nkunku | 7 |
| 3 | Y. Diomande | 4 | B. Gruda | 6 |
| 4 | V. Junior | 4 | E. Banzuzi | 4 |
| 5 | A. Güler | 3 | R. Baku | 4 |
| # | Real Madrid | Goals | RB Leipzig | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Mbappé | 7 | C. Nkunku | 4 |
| 2 | Y. Diomande | 2 | A. Nusa | 3 |
| 3 | A. Rüdiger | 2 | A. Maksimovic | 2 |
| 4 | C. Espà | 2 | T. Gomis | 2 |
| 5 | A. Güler | 1 | R. Baku | 2 |
| # | Real Madrid | Yellow cards | RB Leipzig | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Huijsen | 2 | A. Nusa | 3 |
| 2 | J. Bellingham | 2 | N. Aynaoui | 2 |
| 3 | I. Konaté | 2 | C. Baumgartner | 1 |
| 4 | M. Cucurella | 1 | B. Henrichs | 1 |
| 5 | K. Mbappé | 1 | C. Lukeba | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig: Ibrahima Konaté 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.25); Antonio Rüdiger 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.50); Brajan Gruda 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.22); Denzel Dumfries 2+ tackles (80% hit rate at 1.30). Combined odds 2.97 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.6 | 2 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1 | 4 of 20 |
| Shots | 17.6 | 3 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 7.2 | 2 of 20 |
| Fouls | 8.6 | 20 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15.8 | 16 of 20 |
| Passes | 528.6 | 4 of 20 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 4 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.7 | 4 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.8 | 11 of 18 |
| Shots | 17.8 | 3 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 6.5 | 4 of 18 |
| Fouls | 9.8 | 13 of 18 |
| Tackles | 15 | 12 of 18 |
| Passes | 510.2 | 4 of 18 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 8 of 18 |