Porto host PSV at Estádio Do Dragão, Porto on 20 October 2026 at 20:00 in the Champions League. Porto's last five results: L W W W L (3 wins and 2 losses). PSV's last five: W L W L L (2 wins and 3 losses).
Porto vs PSV kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Tuesday 20 October 2026 in the Champions League, at Estádio Do Dragão, Porto.
Porto vs PSV is being played at Estádio Do Dragão in Porto, the home ground of Porto.
Porto's last five results read L W W W L (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 losses.
PSV's last five results read W L W L L (oldest to newest): 2 wins and 3 losses.
Gabri Veiga leads Porto with 5 goals across their last 10 games.
Guus Til leads PSV with 5 goals across their last 10 games.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Porto and PSV are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Porto the favourite with a 55% chance of winning, against 23% for PSV and 23% for the draw. Projected goals are Porto 2.0 - 1.2 PSV.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 10%. Both teams to score is 62% likely and over 2.5 goals 63%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Porto 2.0 - 1.2 PSV in goals. It gives Porto a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and PSV 23%. Both teams to score is 62% likely, over 1.5 goals 84% and over 2.5 goals 63%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%), 1-0 (7%), 3-1 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 10% |
| 2-1 | Porto win | 10% |
| 2-0 | Porto win | 8% |
| 1-0 | Porto win | 7% |
| 3-1 | Porto win | 6% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Porto vs PSV, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Porto | Fouls committed | PSV | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Costa | 18 | A. Obispo | 20 |
| 2 | P. Rosario | 17 | R. Bommel | 17 |
| 3 | G. Veiga | 13 | K. Sano | 9 |
| 4 | V. Froholdt | 12 | S. Mijnans | 9 |
| 5 | J. Kiwior | 10 | S. Dest | 8 |
| # | Porto | Shots | PSV | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Veiga | 26 | S. Mijnans | 23 |
| 2 | W. Gomes | 20 | R. Bommel | 19 |
| 3 | A. Silva | 18 | I. Perišić | 18 |
| 4 | Pepê | 14 | G. Til | 16 |
| 5 | B. Sainz | 11 | R. Pepi | 15 |
| # | Porto | Shots on target | PSV | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Veiga | 9 | S. Mijnans | 9 |
| 2 | W. Gomes | 8 | G. Til | 8 |
| 3 | B. Sainz | 8 | S. Dest | 7 |
| 4 | A. Silva | 7 | I. Perišić | 6 |
| 5 | V. Froholdt | 6 | R. Bommel | 6 |
| # | Porto | Goals | PSV | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Veiga | 5 | S. Mijnans | 5 |
| 2 | B. Sainz | 3 | G. Til | 5 |
| 3 | A. Silva | 3 | S. Dest | 3 |
| 4 | V. Froholdt | 2 | R. Pepi | 3 |
| 5 | W. Gomes | 2 | I. Perišić | 2 |
| # | Porto | Yellow cards | PSV | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Varela | 2 | A. Obispo | 5 |
| 2 | I. Hwang | 2 | R. Bommel | 4 |
| 3 | Pepê | 1 | I. Perišić | 2 |
| 4 | G. Veiga | 1 | S. Dest | 2 |
| 5 | O. Pietuszewski | 1 | S. Mijnans | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Porto vs PSV: Pablo Rosario 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.22); Pepê 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.53); Sven Mijnans 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.67); Guus Til 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.20). Combined odds 3.72 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.5 | 3 of 18 |
| Goals against | 0.5 | 2 of 18 |
| Shots | 16.4 | 3 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 6.6 | 2 of 18 |
| Fouls | 13.9 | 5 of 18 |
| Tackles | 13.6 | 17 of 18 |
| Passes | 428.5 | 8 of 18 |
| Corners | 6.8 | 2 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 3 | 3 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 6 of 18 |
| Shots | 19.8 | 4 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 7.2 | 3 of 18 |
| Fouls | 9.6 | 13 of 18 |
| Tackles | 16.6 | 6 of 18 |
| Passes | 576.3 | 2 of 18 |
| Corners | 6.6 | 4 of 18 |