Schalke host Mainz at Veltins-Arena, Gelsenkirchen on 17 October 2026 at 14:30 in the Bundesliga. Schalke's last five results: L D W D L (1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses). Mainz's last five: D W L W L (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). In their last 2 meetings, Schalke have won 2, Mainz 0, with 0 draws.
Schalke vs Mainz kicks off at 14:30 UK time on Saturday 17 October 2026 in the Bundesliga, at Veltins-Arena, Gelsenkirchen.
Schalke vs Mainz is being played at Veltins-Arena in Gelsenkirchen, the home ground of Schalke.
Schalke's last five results read L D W D L (oldest to newest): 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses.
Mainz's last five results read D W L W L (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.
Across the last 2 meetings Schalke have won 2, Mainz have won 0 and 0 were drawn. The most recent was FSV Mainz 05 2-3 Schalke 04 on 5 May 2023 in the Bundesliga.
Adil Aouchiche leads Schalke with 10 shots across their last 10 games.
Phillip Tietz leads Mainz with 6 goals across their last 10 games.
Richard Hempel is the referee for Schalke vs Mainz, averaging 23.0 fouls and 4.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Schalke and Mainz are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Mainz the favourite with a 43% chance of winning, against 30% for Schalke and 27% for the draw. Projected goals are Schalke 1.3 - 1.6 Mainz.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 13%. Both teams to score is 58% likely and over 2.5 goals 54%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 May 2023 | Bundesliga | FSV Mainz 05 vs Schalke 04 | 2-3 |
| 9 Nov 2022 | Bundesliga | Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 | 1-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Schalke 1.3 - 1.6 Mainz in goals. It gives Schalke a 30% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Mainz 43%. Both teams to score is 58% likely, over 1.5 goals 78% and over 2.5 goals 54%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 0-2 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 1-2 | Mainz win | 9% |
| 0-1 | Mainz win | 8% |
| 2-1 | Schalke win | 7% |
| 0-2 | Mainz win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Schalke vs Mainz, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Schalke | Fouls committed | Mainz | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. El-Faouzi | 7 | P. Tietz | 20 |
| 2 | J. Adamu | 5 | K. Potulski | 13 |
| 3 | H. Kuruçay | 4 | P. Mwene | 10 |
| 4 | S. Tanaka | 4 | A. Caci | 8 |
| 5 | N. Katic | 3 | S. Becker | 8 |
| # | Schalke | Shots | Mainz | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Aouchiche | 10 | P. Tietz | 31 |
| 2 | M. Sylla | 6 | S. Becker | 27 |
| 3 | R. Gosens | 5 | N. Amiri | 25 |
| 4 | J. Adamu | 5 | K. Sano | 13 |
| 5 | S. El-Faouzi | 5 | P. Mwene | 11 |
| # | Schalke | Shots on target | Mainz | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Aouchiche | 5 | S. Becker | 14 |
| 2 | S. El-Faouzi | 3 | P. Tietz | 13 |
| 3 | M. Wöber | 2 | N. Amiri | 9 |
| 4 | J. Adamu | 2 | P. Mwene | 5 |
| 5 | M. Sylla | 2 | P. Nebel | 3 |
| # | Schalke | Goals | Mainz | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Gantenbein | 1 | P. Tietz | 6 |
| 2 | R. Gosens | 1 | S. Becker | 4 |
| 3 | A. Aouchiche | 1 | N. Amiri | 2 |
| 4 | M. Wöber | 1 | P. Mwene | 2 |
| 5 | A. Caci | 2 |
| # | Schalke | Yellow cards | Mainz | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. Hwang | 1 | A. Caci | 3 |
| 2 | H. Kuruçay | 1 | S. Becker | 3 |
| 3 | L. Karius | 1 | P. Mwene | 3 |
| 4 | N. Katic | 1 | D. Kohr | 2 |
| 5 | J. Ebimbe | 1 | J. Lee | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Schalke vs Mainz: Phillip Tietz 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.53); Soufian El-Faouzi 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.30); Robin Gosens 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.40); Phillipp Mwene 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.73). Combined odds 3.21 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.3 | 15 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.2 | 5 of 18 |
| Shots | 10.4 | 17 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 3.6 | 17 of 18 |
| Fouls | 8.8 | 17 of 18 |
| Tackles | 22.8 | 1 of 18 |
| Passes | 340.8 | 18 of 18 |
| Corners | 2.8 | 18 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 3.3 | 2 of 18 |
| Goals against | 2 | 12 of 18 |
| Shots | 19.2 | 3 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 6 | 7 of 18 |
| Fouls | 11.2 | 6 of 18 |
| Tackles | 17.2 | 6 of 18 |
| Passes | 441.6 | 10 of 18 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 8 of 18 |