Stoke host M'Boro at Bet365 Stadium, Stoke on 13 October 2026 at 20:00 in the Championship. Stoke's last five results: W D W W W (4 wins and 1 draw). M'Boro's last five: L W D D W (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, Stoke have won 2, M'Boro 3, with 1 draw.
Stoke vs M'Boro kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Tuesday 13 October 2026 in the Championship, at Bet365 Stadium, Stoke.
Stoke vs M'Boro is being played at Bet365 Stadium in Stoke, the home ground of Stoke.
Stoke's last five results read W D W W W (oldest to newest): 4 wins and 1 draw.
M'Boro's last five results read L W D D W (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss.
Across the last 6 meetings Stoke have won 2, M'Boro have won 3 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Stoke City 1-2 Middlesbrough on 21 January 2026 in the Championship.
Sam Gallagher leads Stoke with 15 fouls committed across their last 10 games.
Will Lankshear leads M'Boro with 7 goals across their last 10 games.
Elliot Bell is the referee for Stoke vs M'Boro, averaging 22.0 fouls and 5.8 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Stoke and M'Boro are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes M'Boro the favourite with a 50% chance of winning, against 24% for Stoke and 26% for the draw. Projected goals are Stoke 1.1 - 1.7 M'Boro.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 12%. Both teams to score is 56% likely and over 2.5 goals 54%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 | Championship | Stoke City vs Middlesbrough | 1-2 |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Championship | Middlesbrough vs Stoke City | 0-0 |
| 25 Feb 2025 | Championship | Stoke City vs Middlesbrough | 1-3 |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Championship | Middlesbrough vs Stoke City | 2-0 |
| 27 Aug 2024 | Carabao Cup | Middlesbrough vs Stoke City | 0-5 |
| 2 Mar 2024 | Championship | Stoke City vs Middlesbrough | 2-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Stoke 1.1 - 1.7 M'Boro in goals. It gives Stoke a 24% chance of winning, the draw 26% and M'Boro 50%. Both teams to score is 56% likely, over 1.5 goals 78% and over 2.5 goals 54%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%), 0-2 (9%), 0-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 1-2 | M'Boro win | 10% |
| 0-1 | M'Boro win | 9% |
| 0-2 | M'Boro win | 9% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Stoke vs M'Boro, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Stoke | Fouls committed | M'Boro | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Gallagher | 15 | W. Lankshear | 15 |
| 2 | E. Galbraith | 14 | C. Brittain | 11 |
| 3 | R. BoženÃk | 12 | S. Berhalter | 9 |
| 4 | D. Soumaré | 12 | A. Morris | 9 |
| 5 | G. Hirst | 10 | M. Arfsten | 6 |
| # | Stoke | Shots | M'Boro | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Bocat | 15 | W. Lankshear | 31 |
| 2 | E. Galbraith | 10 | S. Berhalter | 16 |
| 3 | S. Gallagher | 8 | A. Morris | 15 |
| 4 | R. BoženÃk | 8 | R. McGree | 13 |
| 5 | G. Hirst | 8 | A. Cozier-Duberry | 12 |
| # | Stoke | Shots on target | M'Boro | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Galbraith | 6 | W. Lankshear | 14 |
| 2 | S. Gallagher | 4 | K. Joseph | 4 |
| 3 | B. Johnson | 4 | A. Malanda | 4 |
| 4 | J. Devenny | 4 | S. Berhalter | 4 |
| 5 | E. Bocat | 3 | A. Cozier-Duberry | 4 |
| # | Stoke | Goals | M'Boro | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Galbraith | 3 | W. Lankshear | 7 |
| 2 | J. McGlynn | 2 | S. Berhalter | 2 |
| 3 | S. Gallagher | 2 | A. Cozier-Duberry | 2 |
| 4 | E. Bocat | 2 | M. Arfsten | 1 |
| 5 | J. Devenny | 2 | A. Malanda | 1 |
| # | Stoke | Yellow cards | M'Boro | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Galbraith | 4 | R. McGree | 2 |
| 2 | M. Taloverov | 2 | W. Lankshear | 2 |
| 3 | L. Graham | 2 | S. Berhalter | 1 |
| 4 | B. Lawal | 2 | M. Peart-Harris | 1 |
| 5 | S. Gallagher | 2 | N. Borges | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Stoke vs M'Boro: Eric-Junior Bocat 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.30); Aidan Morris 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.44); Ben Wilmot 1+ tackles (80% hit rate at 1.44); Ethan Galbraith 1+ tackles (80% hit rate at 1.22). Combined odds 3.29 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.7 | 10 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.4 | 15 of 24 |
| Shots | 11.8 | 20 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 4 | 15 of 24 |
| Fouls | 14.7 | 1 of 24 |
| Tackles | 16.1 | 7 of 24 |
| Passes | 354.4 | 17 of 24 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 18 of 24 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.9 | 4 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 10 of 24 |
| Shots | 17.1 | 2 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 5.2 | 5 of 24 |
| Fouls | 9.9 | 17 of 24 |
| Tackles | 16.4 | 5 of 24 |
| Passes | 528 | 2 of 24 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 10 of 24 |