Newcastle host Villa at St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne on 17 October 2026 at 17:30 in the Premier League. Newcastle's last five results: D W L W L (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). Villa's last five: L W W D W (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, Newcastle have won 3, Villa 2, with 1 draw.
Newcastle vs Villa kicks off at 17:30 UK time on Saturday 17 October 2026 in the Premier League, at St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne.
Newcastle vs Villa is being played at St. James' Park in Newcastle upon Tyne, the home ground of Newcastle.
Newcastle's last five results read D W L W L (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.
Villa's last five results read L W W D W (oldest to newest): 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss.
Across the last 6 meetings Newcastle have won 3, Villa have won 2 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Aston Villa 1-3 Newcastle United on 14 February 2026 in the FA Cup.
Yoane Wissa leads Newcastle with 4 yellow cards across their last 10 games.
Matty Cash leads Villa with 4 yellow cards across their last 10 games.
Jarred Gillett is the referee for Newcastle vs Villa, averaging 22.5 fouls and 3.8 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Newcastle and Villa are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Newcastle the favourite with a 44% chance of winning, against 31% for Villa and 25% for the draw. Projected goals are Newcastle 1.6 - 1.4 Villa.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 12%. Both teams to score is 60% likely and over 2.5 goals 57%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | FA Cup | Aston Villa vs Newcastle United | 1-3 |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Premier League | Newcastle United vs Aston Villa | 0-2 |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Premier League | Aston Villa vs Newcastle United | 0-0 |
| 19 Apr 2025 | Premier League | Aston Villa vs Newcastle United | 4-1 |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Premier League | Newcastle United vs Aston Villa | 3-0 |
| 30 Jan 2024 | Premier League | Aston Villa vs Newcastle United | 1-3 |
Statz's projection model expects Newcastle 1.6 - 1.4 Villa in goals. It gives Newcastle a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Villa 31%. Both teams to score is 60% likely, over 1.5 goals 80% and over 2.5 goals 57%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 2-1 | Newcastle win | 9% |
| 1-0 | Newcastle win | 8% |
| 1-2 | Villa win | 8% |
| 2-0 | Newcastle win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Newcastle vs Villa, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Newcastle | Fouls committed | Villa | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Y. Wissa | 13 | R. Barkley | 10 |
| 2 | N. González | 10 | M. Cash | 10 |
| 3 | Joelinton | 8 | J. McGinn | 10 |
| 4 | J. Willock | 8 | E. BuendÃa | 10 |
| 5 | H. Barnes | 6 | B. Kamara | 9 |
| # | Newcastle | Shots | Villa | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Willock | 20 | E. BuendÃa | 18 |
| 2 | H. Barnes | 17 | J. McGinn | 13 |
| 3 | W. Osula | 14 | R. Barkley | 12 |
| 4 | Y. Wissa | 12 | N. Jackson | 12 |
| 5 | L. Hall | 10 | J. Manzambi | 11 |
| # | Newcastle | Shots on target | Villa | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. Barnes | 8 | J. McGinn | 6 |
| 2 | W. Osula | 5 | E. BuendÃa | 5 |
| 3 | J. Willock | 5 | N. Jackson | 4 |
| 4 | L. Hall | 4 | R. Barkley | 3 |
| 5 | Y. Wissa | 4 | J. Manzambi | 3 |
| # | Newcastle | Goals | Villa | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. Barnes | 3 | E. BuendÃa | 2 |
| 2 | W. Osula | 3 | J. McGinn | 2 |
| 3 | J. Willock | 2 | N. Jackson | 2 |
| 4 | A. Elanga | 2 | R. Barkley | 1 |
| 5 | D. Burn | 1 | J. Manzambi | 1 |
| # | Newcastle | Yellow cards | Villa | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Y. Wissa | 4 | M. Cash | 4 |
| 2 | J. Murphy | 3 | J. McGinn | 3 |
| 3 | D. Burn | 1 | T. Mings | 2 |
| 4 | L. Hall | 1 | N. Jackson | 2 |
| 5 | Joelinton | 1 | R. Barkley | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Newcastle vs Villa: Harvey Barnes 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.50); Nicolas Jackson 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.40); John McGinn 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.33); Joe Willock 2+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.62). Combined odds 4.52 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.7 | 7 of 20 |
| Goals against | 2.2 | 19 of 20 |
| Shots | 11.7 | 15 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4 | 14 of 20 |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 9 of 20 |
| Tackles | 13.7 | 17 of 20 |
| Passes | 438.7 | 9 of 20 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 8 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.2 | 15 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.8 | 14 of 20 |
| Shots | 11.3 | 18 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 3.2 | 20 of 20 |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 13 of 20 |
| Tackles | 16.2 | 8 of 20 |
| Passes | 405.7 | 15 of 20 |
| Corners | 2.8 | 19 of 20 |