Updated 12 November 2026.
Albania host Finland at Arena Kombëtare on 12 November 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Albania's last five results: L W W L W (3 wins and 2 losses). Finland's last five: L W D W L (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). In their last 1 meetings, Albania have won 0, Finland 1, with 0 draws.
Albania vs Finland kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Thursday 12 November 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Arena Kombëtare. Arena Kombëtare holds 22,500 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 19:45.
Albania vs Finland is being played at Arena Kombëtare on Thursday 12 November 2026, the home ground of Albania, which holds 22,500 people. Kick-off is at 19:45 UK time, and the match is part of the UEFA Nations League.
Albania have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4, with results reading L W W L W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-1 win at home to San Marino in the UEFA Nations League on 6 October.
Finland have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 4, with results reading L W D W L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-1 defeat away to Belarus in the UEFA Nations League on 6 October.
Across the last 1 meetings Albania have won 0, Finland have won 1 and 0 were drawn, with Albania scoring 1 goals to Finland's 2. The most recent was Finland 2-1 Albania on 3 October 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Kristjan Asllani leads Albania with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Albania player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Albania player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Leo Walta leads Finland with 5 goals across their last 10 games, 0.5 a game, the most of any Finland player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Finland player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
João Pedro Silva Pinheiro is the referee for Albania vs Finland, averaging 20.5 fouls and 3.3 yellow cards per game across 4 games this season. That is 0.00 red cards a game, and the referee card on this page sets the record beside both teams' fouls and cards.
Statz predicts Albania vs Finland with 11 starters a side: Albania line up 4-3-2-1 and Finland 4-3-3, ahead of the 19:45 UK time kick-off on Thursday 12 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Albania the favourite with a 47% chance of winning, against 25% for Finland and 28% for the draw. Projected goals are Albania 1.4 - 0.9 Finland.
The most likely score in Albania vs Finland is 1-0, a Albania win, at 14%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 44% likely and over 2.5 goals 39%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Albania vs Finland, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Finland vs Albania | 2-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Albania 1.4 - 0.9 Finland in goals. It gives Albania a 47% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Finland 25%. Both teams to score is 44% likely, over 1.5 goals 66% and over 2.5 goals 39%. The most likely scorelines are 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 0-1 (9%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Albania win | 14% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 10% |
| 2-0 | Albania win | 10% |
| 0-1 | Finland win | 9% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Albania vs Finland, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Albania | Fouls committed | Finland | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Manaj | 9 | A. Markhiev | 10 |
| 2 | A. Hoxha | 7 | R. Mahuta | 10 |
| 3 | A. Ismajli | 6 | K. Kairinen | 10 |
| 4 | Y. Ramadani | 6 | B. Källman | 9 |
| 5 | M. Uzuni | 6 | V. Koski | 9 |
| # | Albania | Shots | Finland | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Manaj | 20 | L. Walta | 23 |
| 2 | K. Asllani | 14 | J. Pohjanpalo | 19 |
| 3 | A. Hoxha | 12 | T. Keskinen | 11 |
| 4 | E. Muci | 8 | O. Antman | 6 |
| 5 | B. Djimsiti | 7 | R. Lod | 6 |
| # | Albania | Shots on target | Finland | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Manaj | 7 | L. Walta | 9 |
| 2 | K. Asllani | 6 | J. Pohjanpalo | 9 |
| 3 | A. Hoxha | 4 | O. Antman | 5 |
| 4 | A. Mehmeti | 3 | T. Pukki | 3 |
| 5 | S. Pilios | 2 | B. Källman | 3 |
| # | Albania | Goals | Finland | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Asllani | 4 | L. Walta | 5 |
| 2 | R. Manaj | 2 | J. Pohjanpalo | 4 |
| 3 | A. Hoxha | 1 | O. Antman | 1 |
| 4 | A. Mehmeti | 1 | T. Pukki | 1 |
| 5 | M. Uzuni | 1 | N. Pyyhtiä | 1 |
| # | Albania | Yellow cards | Finland | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Y. Ramadani | 2 | K. Kairinen | 2 |
| 2 | E. Hysaj | 2 | S. Miettinen | 1 |
| 3 | K. Asllani | 2 | B. Källman | 1 |
| 4 | A. Ajeti | 1 | A. Ståhl | 1 |
| 5 | N. Bajrami | 1 | A. Markhiev | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Albania vs Finland: Adrian Svanbäck 2+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.44); Onni Valakari 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.22); Ryan Mahuta 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.29). Combined odds 2.27 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 12 of 54 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 21 of 54 |
| Shots | 18.5 | 4 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 5.8 | 10 of 54 |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 31 of 54 |
| Tackles | 13.3 | 38 of 54 |
| Passes | 521.5 | 14 of 54 |
| Corners | 6.8 | 3 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 3 | 2 of 54 |
| Goals against | 0.5 | 11 of 54 |
| Shots | 14.3 | 18 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 4.5 | 23 of 54 |
| Fouls | 13 | 18 of 54 |
| Tackles | 13.5 | 33 of 54 |
| Passes | 641.8 | 3 of 54 |
| Corners | 6 | 8 of 54 |