Grêmio host Palmeiras at Arena do Grêmio, Rio on 20 September 2026 at 15:00 in the Campeonato Brasileiro. Grêmio's last five results: L W L L L (1 win and 4 losses). Palmeiras's last five: D D W W L (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, Grêmio have won 2, Palmeiras 3, with 1 draw.
Grêmio vs Palmeiras kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Sunday 20 September 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro, at Arena do Grêmio, Rio.
Grêmio vs Palmeiras is being played at Arena do Grêmio in Rio, the home ground of Grêmio.
Grêmio's last five results read L W L L L (oldest to newest): 1 win and 4 losses.
Palmeiras's last five results read D D W W L (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss.
Across the last 6 meetings Grêmio have won 2, Palmeiras have won 3 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Palmeiras 2-1 Grêmio on 3 April 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Erick Noriega leads Grêmio with 16 fouls committed across their last 10 games.
Mauricio leads Palmeiras with 6 goals across their last 10 games.
Paulo Cesar Zanovelli is the referee for Grêmio vs Palmeiras.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Grêmio and Palmeiras are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Palmeiras the favourite with a 50% chance of winning, against 22% for Grêmio and 28% for the draw. Projected goals are Grêmio 0.9 - 1.5 Palmeiras.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 13%. Both teams to score is 48% likely and over 2.5 goals 44%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Apr 2026 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras vs Grêmio | 2-1 |
| 26 Nov 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio vs Palmeiras | 3-2 |
| 27 Jul 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras vs Grêmio | 1-0 |
| 9 Nov 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras vs Grêmio | 1-0 |
| 4 Jul 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio vs Palmeiras | 2-2 |
| 22 Sep 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio vs Palmeiras | 1-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Grêmio 0.9 - 1.5 Palmeiras in goals. It gives Grêmio a 22% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Palmeiras 50%. Both teams to score is 48% likely, over 1.5 goals 71% and over 2.5 goals 44%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (10%), 0-0 (10%), 1-2 (9%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 0-1 | Palmeiras win | 12% |
| 0-2 | Palmeiras win | 10% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 10% |
| 1-2 | Palmeiras win | 9% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Grêmio vs Palmeiras, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Grêmio | Fouls committed | Palmeiras | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Noriega | 16 | Murilo | 13 |
| 2 | D. Caito | 10 | A. Barboza | 10 |
| 3 | Wallace | 10 | J. Arias | 10 |
| 4 | J. Nardoni | 9 | M. Freitas | 10 |
| 5 | M. Villasanti | 8 | V. Roque | 8 |
| # | Grêmio | Shots | Palmeiras | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Vinícius | 19 | Mauricio | 20 |
| 2 | D. Caito | 12 | J. López | 17 |
| 3 | Tetê | 11 | J. Arias | 16 |
| 4 | F. Krovinovic | 11 | V. Roque | 16 |
| 5 | E. Noriega | 8 | A. Pereira | 14 |
| # | Grêmio | Shots on target | Palmeiras | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Vinícius | 6 | Mauricio | 12 |
| 2 | Tetê | 5 | V. Roque | 6 |
| 3 | D. Caito | 5 | J. López | 6 |
| 4 | G. Martins | 4 | J. Arias | 4 |
| 5 | M. Villasanti | 3 | Murilo | 4 |
| # | Grêmio | Goals | Palmeiras | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Martins | 3 | Mauricio | 6 |
| 2 | C. Pavón | 2 | V. Roque | 2 |
| 3 | M. Villasanti | 1 | J. López | 2 |
| 4 | Wallace | 1 | R. Sosa | 2 |
| 5 | J. Cabral | 1 | Murilo | 1 |
| # | Grêmio | Yellow cards | Palmeiras | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W. Kannemann | 4 | M. Freitas | 3 |
| 2 | P. Gabriel | 3 | G. Gómez | 2 |
| 3 | G. Martins | 2 | Murilo | 2 |
| 4 | M. Villasanti | 2 | A. Barboza | 2 |
| 5 | Marlon | 2 | A. Gabriel | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Grêmio vs Palmeiras: Gustavo Gómez 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.33); Marlon Freitas 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.40); Agustín Giay 3+ tackles (80% hit rate at 1.73); Lucas Evangelista 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.07). Combined odds 3.45 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.3 | 13 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.4 | 12 of 20 |
| Shots | 11.4 | 20 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 3.6 | 18 of 20 |
| Fouls | 12.6 | 13 of 20 |
| Tackles | 14.3 | 14 of 20 |
| Passes | 429.7 | 8 of 20 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 18 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 2 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 1 of 20 |
| Shots | 14.4 | 8 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.7 | 9 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13.3 | 8 of 20 |
| Tackles | 14.9 | 13 of 20 |
| Passes | 438.5 | 6 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 3 of 20 |