Cricket Projections
ICC World Test Championship Win Probability
Our simulation of the remaining matches: each side's chance to win, reach the final, make a top place and finish in every place, beside the bookmaker's price.
bet365
Projections updated Tue 10 Nov · 09:05 GMT
| Actual | Predicted | Reach final | Finish top | Chance of each place | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | Form | P | Pts | PCT | Avg | Likely | Proj | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th | 9th | ||||||||||
| Final places | Final places | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 |  New ZealandNew Zealand |
WWLWW | 6 | 52 | 72.22% | 2.5 | 3rd | 50.3%22.3% | 22% | 28% | 34% | 10% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||||||
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New Zealand: played 6, won 4, lost 1, drawn 1, 52 points, PCT 72.22%.
Chance of each finishing place
22%1st
28%2nd
34%3rd
10%4th
3.8%5th
1.3%6th
0.2%7th
0.0%8th
0.0%9th
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| 2 |  South AfricaS Africa |
WWLWW | 7 | 60 | 71.43% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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South Africa: played 7, won 5, lost 2, 60 points, PCT 71.43%. Every side's finishing places are part of Cricket Pro. Go Pro › |
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| 3 |  AustraliaAustralia |
LWWLL | 13 | 108 | 69.23% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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Australia: played 13, won 9, lost 4, 108 points, PCT 69.23%. Every side's finishing places are part of Cricket Pro. Go Pro › |
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| 4 |  IndiaIndia |
WLLWD | 11 | 68 | 51.52% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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India: played 11, won 5, lost 4, drawn 2, 68 points, PCT 51.52%. Every side's finishing places are part of Cricket Pro. Go Pro › |
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| 5 |  BangladeshBangladesh |
WWLLD | 8 | 44 | 45.83% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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Bangladesh: played 8, won 3, lost 3, drawn 2, 44 points, PCT 45.83%. Every side's finishing places are part of Cricket Pro. Go Pro › |
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| 6 |  EnglandEngland |
LLWWW | 16 | 74 | 38.54% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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England: played 16, won 7, lost 8, drawn 1, 74 points, PCT 38.54%. Every side's finishing places are part of Cricket Pro. Go Pro › |
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| 7 |  Sri LankaSri Lanka |
WLDLD | 6 | 24 | 33.33% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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Sri Lanka: played 6, won 1, lost 2, drawn 3, 24 points, PCT 33.33%. Every side's finishing places are part of Cricket Pro. Go Pro › |
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| 8 |  West IndiesW Indies |
DWLWD | 14 | 46 | 27.38% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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West Indies: played 14, won 3, lost 8, drawn 3, 46 points, PCT 27.38%. Every side's finishing places are part of Cricket Pro. Go Pro › |
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| 9 |  PakistanPakistan |
LWLLL | 9 | 5 | 4.63% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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Pakistan: played 9, won 2, lost 7, 5 points, PCT 4.63%. Every side's finishing places are part of Cricket Pro. Go Pro › |
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Each row adds up to 100% across the places; the likeliest place is picked out.
Prices from bet365 and subject to change. 18+ · BeGambleAware.org
Win probability plays out the rest of each competition thousands of times on our match projections. Every remaining match is decided by its projected win chance, and each side's chance of the trophy, the final, a top place and every finishing place is how often it got there, with the bookmaker's price and the chance it implies beside it. The Places tab shows the whole spread of finishes, the World Test Championship the race for its two final places.