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Go Pro for every side's chancesCricket Pro opens every side's chance to win, reach the final and finish in each place. Go Pro Already a member? Log in

International League T20 Win Probability

Our simulation of the remaining matches: each side's chance to win, reach the final, make a top place and finish in every place, beside the bookmaker's price.

Pricesbet365 Projections updated Tue 10 Nov · 09:05 GMT
Actual Predicted Win Final Top 4 Chance of each place
# Team Form P Pts NRR Avg Likely Proj 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th
Playoff placesPlayoff places
1 Desert VipersVipers – 0 0 0.000 3.3 1st 20.5%39.5%72.2% 21% 18% 17% 17% 14% 14%

Desert Vipers: played 0, won 0, lost 0, 0 points, NRR 0.000.

Chance of each finishing place
21%1st 18%2nd 17%3rd 17%4th 14%5th 14%6th
2 MI EmiratesEmirates – 0 0 0.000

MI Emirates: played 0, won 0, lost 0, 0 points, NRR 0.000.

Every side's finishing places are part of Cricket Pro. Go Pro ›

3 Sharjah WarriorzWarriorz – 0 0 0.000

Sharjah Warriorz: played 0, won 0, lost 0, 0 points, NRR 0.000.

Every side's finishing places are part of Cricket Pro. Go Pro ›

4 Gulf GiantsGiants – 0 0 0.000

Gulf Giants: played 0, won 0, lost 0, 0 points, NRR 0.000.

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5 Dubai CapitalsCapitals – 0 0 0.000

Dubai Capitals: played 0, won 0, lost 0, 0 points, NRR 0.000.

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6 Abu Dhabi Knight RidersRiders – 0 0 0.000

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders: played 0, won 0, lost 0, 0 points, NRR 0.000.

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Each row adds up to 100% across the places; the likeliest place is picked out.

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Win probability plays out the rest of each competition thousands of times on our match projections. Every remaining match is decided by its projected win chance, and each side's chance of the trophy, the final, a top place and every finishing place is how often it got there, with the bookmaker's price and the chance it implies beside it. The Places tab shows the whole spread of finishes, the World Test Championship the race for its two final places.

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Frequently Asked Questions

How is the win probability worked out?
We play out every remaining match of International League T20 5,000 times, each on its projected win chance from our match model, then count how often each side wins the trophy, reaches the final and finishes in each place. Matches already played count as they finished.
What does the Places tab show?
Each side's chance of finishing in every place in the table, from first to last. Each row adds up to 100%, and the likeliest place is picked out.
What does the edge show?
Our chance less the chance the bookmaker's price implies, which is 100 divided by the decimal price. A positive edge means we rate the side higher than the price does. The price carries the bookmaker's margin, so the implied chances add up to more than 100%.
How is the World Test Championship shown?
The top two in the table reach the final, a one-off Test, and the table is ranked on the percentage of points won, as the ICC ranks it. So the page shows each side's chance of reaching the final, of finishing top and of every place.
How often do the chances update?
Every time our projections re-run, so a result shows in the next update, with the time it was run beside the table.