League Probability
Monte Carlo simulation of remaining fixtures — qualification, final & trophy odds.
ICC World Test Championship — 2025/2027
16 fixtures remaining · 5,000 simulations · updated 1 minute ago
| Team | Top 4 |
|---|---|
|
IND
India
9P
· 52pts
· NRR -0.284
|
100.0% |
|
AUS
Australia
3P
· 84pts
· NRR 0.296
|
100.0% |
|
ENG
England
5P
· 38pts
· NRR 0.556
|
100.0% |
|
SA
South Africa
4P
· 36pts
· NRR 0.333
|
100.0% |
|
PAK
Pakistan
4P
· 4pts
· NRR -0.056
|
— |
|
BAN
Bangladesh
4P
· 28pts
· NRR -0.278
|
— |
|
SL
Sri Lanka
2P
· 16pts
· NRR 0.444
|
— |
|
NZ
New Zealand
3P
· 28pts
· NRR 1.370
|
— |
|
WI
West Indies
8P
· 4pts
· NRR -0.819
|
— |
Each row sums to 100% across the position columns. Probabilities update after each completed match.
| # | Team | W | L | Pts | NRR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Australia
|
3 | 0 | 84 | 0.312 |
| 2 |
India
|
4 | 4 | 52 | -0.284 |
| 3 |
England
|
2 | 2 | 38 | 0.558 |
| 4 |
South Africa
|
3 | 1 | 36 | 0.334 |
| 5 |
New Zealand
|
2 | 0 | 28 | 1.382 |
| 6 |
Bangladesh
|
2 | 1 | 28 | -0.269 |
| 7 |
Sri Lanka
|
1 | 0 | 16 | 0.441 |
| 8 |
Pakistan
|
1 | 3 | 4 | -0.067 |
| 9 |
West Indies
|
0 | 7 | 4 | -0.826 |
Live standings — highlighted rows are inside the top 4.
Major League Cricket — 2026
29 fixtures remaining · 5,000 simulations · updated 1 minute ago
| Team | Trophy | Final | Top 4 |
|---|---|---|---|
|
WSF
Washington Freedom
|
26.5% | 49.0% | 82.4% |
|
TSK
Texas Super Kings
1P
· 2pts
· NRR 1.000
|
22.8% | 44.9% | 81.0% |
|
SFU
San Francisco Unicorns
|
19.2% | 38.9% | 74.1% |
|
MINY
MI New York
|
16.5% | 33.0% | 67.9% |
|
LAKR
Los Angeles Knight Riders
|
9.1% | 20.9% | 53.5% |
|
SO
Seattle Orcas
1P
· 0pts
· NRR -1.000
|
6.0% | 13.4% | 41.1% |
- Washington Freedom 26.4%
- Texas Super Kings 23.1%
- San Francisco Unicorns 19.4%
- MI New York 16.1%
- Los Angeles Knight Riders 9.8%
- Seattle Orcas 5.2%
- Washington Freedom 18.8%
- MI New York 18.7%
- Texas Super Kings 18.0%
- San Francisco Unicorns 17.6%
- Los Angeles Knight Riders 14.0%
- Seattle Orcas 12.9%
- Washington Freedom 22.6%
- Texas Super Kings 21.8%
- San Francisco Unicorns 19.5%
- MI New York 16.9%
- Los Angeles Knight Riders 11.1%
- Seattle Orcas 8.1%
- Washington Freedom 26.5%
- Texas Super Kings 22.8%
- San Francisco Unicorns 19.2%
- MI New York 16.5%
- Los Angeles Knight Riders 9.1%
- Seattle Orcas 6.0%
Each row sums to 100% across the position columns. Trophy & Final percentages factor in the 4-round knockout bracket. Probabilities update after each completed match.
| # | Team | W | L | Pts | NRR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Texas Super Kings
|
1 | 0 | 2 | 0.946 |
| 2 |
Los Angeles Knight Riders
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 3 |
San Francisco Unicorns
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 4 |
Washington Freedom
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 5 |
MI New York
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 6 |
Seattle Orcas
|
0 | 1 | 0 | -0.946 |
Live standings — highlighted rows are inside the top 4.
T20 Blast — 2026
45 fixtures remaining · 3 groups · 5,000 simulations · updated 1 minute ago
North
6 teams · 16 fixtures left| Team | Trophy | Odds | Final | Top 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
YOR
Yorkshire
6P
· 16pts
· NRR 1.130
|
11.2% | 7.50 -2.1% | 22.9% | 96.2% |
|
LEI
Leicestershire
6P
· 12pts
· NRR -1.037
|
7.1% | 21.00 +2.3% | 14.7% | 52.0% |
|
NOT
Nottinghamshire
6P
· 12pts
· NRR -0.463
|
5.5% | 11.00 -3.6% | 10.8% | 36.6% |
|
LAN
Lancashire
6P
· 8pts
· NRR -1.093
|
1.7% | 26.00 -2.1% | 3.1% | 7.9% |
|
DER
Derbyshire
6P
· 8pts
· NRR 0.630
|
0.9% | 23.00 -3.4% | 1.7% | 3.7% |
|
DUR
Durham
6P
· 8pts
· NRR -0.370
|
0.7% | 26.00 -3.1% | 1.6% | 3.7% |
Central
6 teams · 15 fixtures left| Team | Trophy | Odds | Final | Top 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
NOR
Northamptonshire
6P
· 24pts
· NRR 1.481
|
12.7% | 7.00 -1.6% | 25.6% | 100.0% |
|
GLO
Gloucestershire
6P
· 20pts
· NRR 1.074
|
11.7% | 11.00 +2.6% | 24.0% | 98.4% |
|
GLA
Glamorgan
6P
· 12pts
· NRR 0.259
|
5.6% | 23.00 +1.3% | 10.9% | 1.2% |
|
WOR
Worcestershire
6P
· 12pts
· NRR -0.574
|
4.6% | 26.00 +0.8% | 8.9% | 0.4% |
|
SOM
Somerset
6P
· 8pts
· NRR -0.630
|
0.6% | 17.00 -5.3% | 1.0% | — |
|
WAR
Warwickshire
6P
· 4pts
· NRR -0.722
|
— | 67.00 -1.5% | — | — |
South
6 teams · 14 fixtures left| Team | Trophy | Odds | Final | Top 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
HAM
Hampshire
6P
· 20pts
· NRR 0.852
|
14.0% | 6.00 -2.7% | 27.0% | 99.6% |
|
ESS
Essex
6P
· 16pts
· NRR 0.537
|
10.5% | 11.00 +1.4% | 22.3% | 73.5% |
|
SUR
Surrey
6P
· 12pts
· NRR 0.519
|
10.1% | 6.50 -5.3% | 18.7% | 23.1% |
|
KEN
Kent
6P
· 12pts
· NRR 0.130
|
2.7% | 19.00 -2.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
|
SUS
Sussex
6P
· 8pts
· NRR -0.315
|
0.4% | 41.00 -2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
|
MID
Middlesex
6P
· 4pts
· NRR -1.574
|
— | 81.00 -1.2% | — | — |
- Northamptonshire 37.6%
- Nottinghamshire 8.6%
- Leicestershire 8.1%
- Surrey 6.7%
- Gloucestershire 5.9%
- Glamorgan 5.6%
- Hampshire 5.4%
- Worcestershire 5.2%
- Hampshire 21.9%
- Gloucestershire 16.9%
- Surrey 8.5%
- Northamptonshire 8.4%
- Nottinghamshire 6.8%
- Glamorgan 6.8%
- Leicestershire 6.7%
- Essex 5.5%
- Gloucestershire 19.2%
- Hampshire 16.6%
- Yorkshire 12.4%
- Essex 11.7%
- Surrey 9.1%
- Leicestershire 7.6%
- Glamorgan 6.3%
- Worcestershire 4.3%
- Yorkshire 28.4%
- Essex 26.2%
- Surrey 10.5%
- Gloucestershire 8.0%
- Hampshire 7.7%
- Leicestershire 6.8%
- Glamorgan 4.5%
- Nottinghamshire 3.0%
- Northamptonshire 19.7%
- Yorkshire 14.7%
- Essex 14.1%
- Surrey 8.8%
- Leicestershire 7.6%
- Gloucestershire 6.9%
- Hampshire 6.4%
- Nottinghamshire 5.7%
- Hampshire 20.7%
- Gloucestershire 17.1%
- Surrey 9.9%
- Yorkshire 8.2%
- Essex 8.2%
- Leicestershire 7.1%
- Glamorgan 6.0%
- Northamptonshire 5.8%
- Hampshire 14.0%
- Northamptonshire 12.7%
- Gloucestershire 11.7%
- Yorkshire 11.2%
- Essex 10.5%
- Surrey 10.1%
- Leicestershire 7.1%
- Glamorgan 5.6%
Each group is simulated independently. Top 2 odds are within-group qualification probabilities. Probabilities update after each completed match.
North
| # | Team | W | L | Pts | NRR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
Durham
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 0 |
Lancashire
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 0 |
Nottinghamshire
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 0 |
Yorkshire
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 0 |
Derbyshire
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 0 |
Leicestershire
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 4 |
Yorkshire
|
4 | 2 | 16 | 1.132 |
| 9 |
Nottinghamshire
|
3 | 3 | 12 | -0.471 |
| 11 |
Leicestershire
|
3 | 3 | 12 | -1.043 |
| 12 |
Derbyshire
|
2 | 4 | 8 | 0.630 |
| 14 |
Durham
|
2 | 4 | 8 | -0.367 |
| 16 |
Lancashire
|
2 | 4 | 8 | -1.095 |
Central
| # | Team | W | L | Pts | NRR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
Worcestershire
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 0 |
Warwickshire
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 0 |
Northamptonshire
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 0 |
Somerset
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 0 |
Gloucestershire
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 0 |
Glamorgan
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 1 |
Northamptonshire
|
6 | 0 | 24 | 1.490 |
| 2 |
Gloucestershire
|
5 | 1 | 20 | 1.066 |
| 7 |
Glamorgan
|
3 | 3 | 12 | 0.261 |
| 10 |
Worcestershire
|
3 | 3 | 12 | -0.581 |
| 15 |
Somerset
|
2 | 4 | 8 | -0.621 |
| 17 |
Warwickshire
|
1 | 5 | 4 | -0.713 |
South
| # | Team | W | L | Pts | NRR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
Kent
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 0 |
Sussex
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 0 |
Surrey
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 0 |
Essex
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 0 |
Hampshire
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 0 |
Middlesex
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 3 |
Hampshire
|
5 | 1 | 20 | 0.855 |
| 5 |
Essex
|
4 | 2 | 16 | 0.546 |
| 6 |
Surrey
|
3 | 3 | 12 | 0.516 |
| 8 |
Kent
|
3 | 3 | 12 | 0.121 |
| 13 |
Sussex
|
2 | 4 | 8 | -0.309 |
| 18 |
Middlesex
|
1 | 5 | 4 | -1.565 |
Live standings — highlighted rows are inside the top 2.