League Probability
Monte Carlo simulation of remaining fixtures — qualification, final & trophy odds.
The Hundred — 2026
9 fixtures remaining · 5,000 simulations · updated 7 minutes ago
| Team | Trophy | Odds | Final | Top 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
TR
Trent Rockets
6P
· 20pts
· NRR 1.074
|
51.1% | 2.38 +9.0% | 98.7% | 100.0% |
|
SL
Sunrisers Leeds
6P
· 16pts
· NRR 0.444
|
20.6% | 4.00 -4.4% | 42.6% | 83.6% |
|
WF
Welsh Fire
6P
· 16pts
· NRR -0.648
|
18.0% | 8.50 +6.2% | 39.1% | 80.4% |
|
MIL
MI London
5P
· 12pts
· NRR 1.178
|
8.4% | 4.00 -16.6% | 15.6% | 28.3% |
|
MSG
Manchester Super Giants
6P
· 12pts
· NRR 0.574
|
1.9% | 13.00 -5.8% | 4.0% | 7.7% |
|
BP
Birmingham Phoenix
6P
· 4pts
· NRR -2.000
|
— | 251.00 -0.4% | — | — |
|
LS
London Spirit
5P
· 4pts
· NRR -0.867
|
— | 5,556.00 0.0% | — | — |
|
SB
Southern Brave
6P
· 8pts
· NRR 0.296
|
— | 251.00 -0.4% | — | — |
- Sunrisers Leeds 40.4%
- Welsh Fire 39.1%
- MI London 15.6%
- Manchester Super Giants 4.0%
- Trent Rockets 0.9%
- Trent Rockets 51.1%
- Sunrisers Leeds 20.6%
- Welsh Fire 18.0%
- MI London 8.4%
- Manchester Super Giants 1.9%
Each row sums to 100% across the position columns. Trophy & Final percentages factor in the 2-round knockout bracket. Probabilities update after each completed match.
| # | Team | W | L | Pts | NRR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Trent Rockets
|
5 | 1 | 20 | 1.071 |
| 2 |
Sunrisers Leeds
|
4 | 2 | 16 | 0.451 |
| 3 |
Welsh Fire
|
4 | 2 | 16 | -0.645 |
| 4 |
MI London
|
3 | 2 | 12 | 1.167 |
| 5 |
Manchester Super Giants
|
3 | 3 | 12 | 0.571 |
| 6 |
Southern Brave
|
2 | 4 | 8 | 0.288 |
| 7 |
London Spirit
|
1 | 4 | 4 | -0.861 |
| 8 |
Birmingham Phoenix
|
1 | 5 | 4 | -2.000 |
Live standings — highlighted rows are inside the top 3.
ICC World Test Championship — 2025/2027
19 fixtures remaining · 5,000 simulations · updated 7 minutes ago
| Team | Reach Final |
|---|---|
|
NZ
New Zealand
6P
· 52pts
· 72.22%
|
77.4% |
|
AUS
Australia
8P
· 84pts
· 87.50%
|
71.6% |
|
SA
South Africa
4P
· 36pts
· 75.00%
|
42.1% |
|
BAN
Bangladesh
4P
· 28pts
· 58.33%
|
5.3% |
|
SL
Sri Lanka
4P
· 20pts
· 41.67%
|
2.2% |
|
IND
India
9P
· 52pts
· 48.15%
|
1.4% |
|
ENG
England
13P
· 38pts
· 24.36%
|
— |
|
PAK
Pakistan
6P
· 16pts
· 22.22%
|
— |
|
WI
West Indies
12P
· 30pts
· 20.83%
|
— |
Each row sums to 100% across the position columns. Probabilities update after each completed match.
| # | Team | W | L | D | Pts | PCT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Australia
|
7 | 1 | 0 | 84 | 87.50% |
| 2 |
South Africa
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 36 | 75.00% |
| 3 |
New Zealand
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 52 | 72.22% |
| 4 |
Bangladesh
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 58.33% |
| 5 |
India
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 52 | 48.15% |
| 6 |
Sri Lanka
|
1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 41.67% |
| 7 |
England
|
4 | 8 | 1 | 38 | 24.36% |
| 8 |
Pakistan
|
2 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 22.22% |
| 9 |
West Indies
|
2 | 8 | 2 | 30 | 20.83% |
Live standings — highlighted rows are inside the top 2.
Caribbean Premier League — 2026
35 fixtures remaining · 5,000 simulations · updated 7 minutes ago
| Team | Trophy | Final | Top 4 |
|---|---|---|---|
|
GAW
Guyana Amazon Warriors
|
18.5% | 35.0% | 63.3% |
|
SLK
Saint Lucia Kings
|
18.1% | 33.9% | 63.0% |
|
TKR
Trinbago Knight Riders
|
17.4% | 34.4% | 64.5% |
|
JK
Jamaica Kingsmen
|
15.1% | 29.5% | 57.9% |
|
BR
Barbados Royals
|
10.9% | 24.5% | 53.2% |
|
ABF
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons
|
10.0% | 21.5% | 49.8% |
|
SNP
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots
|
10.0% | 21.2% | 48.4% |
- Guyana Amazon Warriors 18.4%
- Trinbago Knight Riders 17.8%
- Saint Lucia Kings 17.6%
- Jamaica Kingsmen 14.8%
- Barbados Royals 12.0%
- St Kitts and Nevis Patriots 10.0%
- Antigua & Barbuda Falcons 9.4%
- Trinbago Knight Riders 15.5%
- Saint Lucia Kings 15.4%
- Guyana Amazon Warriors 15.1%
- Jamaica Kingsmen 14.5%
- Barbados Royals 13.7%
- Antigua & Barbuda Falcons 13.7%
- St Kitts and Nevis Patriots 12.1%
- Guyana Amazon Warriors 16.6%
- Trinbago Knight Riders 16.6%
- Saint Lucia Kings 16.3%
- Jamaica Kingsmen 14.7%
- Barbados Royals 12.6%
- Antigua & Barbuda Falcons 12.1%
- St Kitts and Nevis Patriots 11.2%
- Guyana Amazon Warriors 18.5%
- Saint Lucia Kings 18.1%
- Trinbago Knight Riders 17.4%
- Jamaica Kingsmen 15.1%
- Barbados Royals 10.9%
- Antigua & Barbuda Falcons 10.0%
- St Kitts and Nevis Patriots 10.0%
Each row sums to 100% across the position columns. Trophy & Final percentages factor in the 4-round knockout bracket. Probabilities update after each completed match.
| # | Team | W | L | Pts | NRR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Jamaica Kingsmen
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 2 |
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 3 |
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 4 |
Trinbago Knight Riders
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 5 |
Saint Lucia Kings
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 6 |
Barbados Royals
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 7 |
Guyana Amazon Warriors
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
Live standings — highlighted rows are inside the top 4.