Europa League xG Table 2025/2026

Who the Europa League xG table says is due a correction

Feyenoord have the biggest shortfall in the Europa League: 6 points from chances worth 14.3 xPts, a gap of 8.3. At the other end, Aston Villa have taken 21 points from an xPts figure of 14.0, 7.0 more than the underlying numbers justify.

How these xG numbers are calculated

Expected goals measure the quality of the chances a team creates and concedes, with every shot scored between 0 and 1 by how often shots like it are converted. Expected points come from running each finished match through a Poisson model using both sides' xG, giving a win, draw and loss probability, then awarding three points and one point against those probabilities. Underlying data is supplied by Sportmonks.

Europa League 2025/2026 xG table, Home

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1Olympique Lyonnais41010.1-0.132.6+0.4+77.5-0.5129.8+2.2
2Feyenoord477.7-0.762.3+3.7+15.4-4.469.2-3.2
3Porto4108.3+1.732.6+0.4+75.7+1.3129.1+2.9
4VfB Stuttgart4119.2+1.843.9+0.1+75.3+1.7128.7+3.3
5Nottingham Forest4118.8+2.234.0-1.0+84.8+3.298.6+0.4
6PAOK479.3-2.314.0-3.0+65.3+0.788.2-0.2
7SC Freiburg468.1-2.113.2-2.2+54.9+0.1128.2+3.8
8Aston Villa488.3-0.334.9-1.9+53.4+1.6127.7+4.3
9Celtic468.2-2.283.8+4.2-24.3-6.367.6-1.6
10Roma457.7-2.743.9+0.1+13.9-2.967.6-1.6
11LOSC Lille4106.5+3.553.6+1.4+53.0+2.097.6+1.4
12Young Boys458.2-3.274.6+2.4-23.6-5.667.5-1.5
13FC Midtjylland485.9+2.113.1-2.1+72.8+4.2127.1+4.9
14Bologna478.7-1.745.2-1.2+33.6-0.667.0-1.0
15Panathinaikos445.3-1.342.9+1.1+02.4-2.457.0-2.0
16Ferencvárosi476.1+0.944.0+0.0+32.2+0.887.0+1.0
17Sporting Braga475.5+1.543.6+0.4+31.9+1.196.9+2.1
18Crvena Zvezda446.6-2.624.7-2.7+21.9+0.186.8+1.2
19Dinamo Zagreb484.8+3.283.1+4.9+01.7-1.766.7-0.7
20Brann477.5-0.576.1+0.9+01.4-1.476.4+0.6
21Genk446.3-2.333.3-0.3+12.9-1.976.3+0.7
22Salzburg476.0+1.055.1-0.1+20.9+1.166.3-0.3
23Nice456.6-1.676.2+0.8-20.3-2.335.7-2.7
24Fenerbahçe445.1-1.134.8-1.8+10.3+0.775.6+1.4
25Basel466.1-0.146.0-2.0+20.1+1.965.4+0.6
26Viktoria Plzeň444.4-0.415.1-4.1+3-0.7+3.765.4+0.6
27Ludogorets476.1+0.976.2+0.8+0-0.1+0.175.2+1.8
28Real Betis483.7+4.345.8-1.8+4-2.1+6.1104.6+5.4
29FC Utrecht424.7-2.766.0+0.0-4-1.3-2.714.5-3.5
30Celta de Vigo484.1+3.955.7-0.7+3-1.6+4.694.4+4.6
31Rangers425.3-3.348.0-4.0-2-2.7+0.744.3-0.3
32FCSB464.8+1.287.6+0.4-2-2.8+0.843.8+0.2
33Go Ahead Eagles422.5-0.566.4-0.4-4-3.9-0.143.4+0.6
34Malmö FF423.5-1.558.5-3.5-3-5.0+2.012.7-1.7
35Sturm Graz433.5-0.528.2-6.2+1-4.7+5.772.6+4.4
36Maccabi Tel Aviv412.6-1.6159.0+6.0-14-6.4-7.602.6-2.6

Europa League 2025/2026 xG table, Away

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1Nottingham Forest448.1-4.142.3+1.7+05.9-5.959.2-4.2
2Bologna478.2-1.233.4-0.4+44.8-0.898.6+0.4
3VfB Stuttgart447.3-3.354.6+0.4-12.7-3.737.2-4.2
4Porto436.4-3.444.4-0.4-11.9-2.956.8-1.8
5Olympique Lyonnais487.0+1.023.7-1.7+63.3+2.796.4+2.6
6Aston Villa465.7+0.333.8-0.8+31.9+1.196.4+2.6
7Roma485.7+2.324.7-2.7+61.0+5.0106.2+3.8
8Real Betis454.2+0.834.3-1.3+2-0.1+2.176.0+1.0
9Fenerbahçe465.7+0.344.7-0.7+21.0+1.055.8-0.8
10Brann426.0-4.045.0-1.0-20.9-2.925.8-3.8
11SC Freiburg445.3-1.335.0-2.0+10.3+0.755.6-0.6
12Sporting Braga444.0+0.014.1-3.1+3-0.1+3.185.4+2.6
13Dinamo Zagreb444.5-0.584.3+3.7-40.1-4.145.3-1.3
14Ludogorets455.8-0.886.8+1.2-3-1.0-2.035.2-2.2
15Feyenoord444.7-0.795.0+4.0-5-0.3-4.705.1-5.1
16Nice424.7-2.785.1+2.9-6-0.4-5.605.1-5.1
17Ferencvárosi455.5-0.576.2+0.8-2-0.7-1.375.1+1.9
18Crvena Zvezda434.3-1.345.2-1.2-1-0.9-0.165.1+0.9
19FC Midtjylland4106.4+3.677.8-0.8+3-1.4+4.475.0+2.0
20Genk477.1-0.147.8-3.8+3-0.7+3.794.8+4.2
21Basel433.9-0.995.1+3.9-6-1.2-4.804.6-4.6
22PAOK4105.7+4.3137.7+5.3-3-2.0-1.044.3-0.3
23Rangers435.1-2.1107.5+2.5-7-2.3-4.704.2-4.2
24LOSC Lille425.0-3.047.6-3.6-2-2.6+0.634.2-1.2
25Celta de Vigo474.2+2.866.6-0.6+1-2.4+3.444.1-0.1
26Panathinaikos475.2+1.857.8-2.8+2-2.6+4.673.9+3.1
27Viktoria Plzeň442.5+1.525.9-3.9+2-3.4+5.483.4+4.6
28Celtic474.8+2.278.8-1.8+0-4.0+4.053.2+1.8
29Young Boys454.3+0.799.7-0.7-4-5.4+1.433.2-0.2
30FC Utrecht432.5+0.596.3+2.7-6-3.7-2.303.0-3.0
31Sturm Graz421.7+0.396.3+2.7-7-4.6-2.403.0-3.0
32FCSB433.3-0.387.5+0.5-5-4.2-0.832.9+0.1
33Go Ahead Eagles444.5-0.589.8-1.8-4-5.3+1.332.7+0.3
34Maccabi Tel Aviv412.8-1.879.3-2.3-6-6.4+0.412.1-1.1
35Salzburg433.9-0.91012.0-2.0-7-8.0+1.002.0-2.0
36Malmö FF421.7+0.31010.1-0.1-8-8.4+0.401.2-1.2

Europa League 2025/2026 xG table, Last 5

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1Nottingham Forest599.6-0.622.5-0.5+77.2-0.21011.7-1.7
2Bologna51112.5-1.544.2-0.2+78.4-1.41111.5-0.5
3Porto51010.1-0.142.8+1.2+67.3-1.31111.5-0.5
4VfB Stuttgart51310.9+2.154.6+0.4+86.3+1.71210.7+1.3
5Olympique Lyonnais51311.2+1.853.6+1.4+87.6+0.41210.2+1.8
6Feyenoord588.2-0.2114.7+6.3-33.5-6.539.3-6.3
7Aston Villa5108.5+1.544.9-0.9+63.6+2.4159.1+5.9
8Crvena Zvezda557.9-2.914.7-3.7+43.2+0.8139.1+3.9
9SC Freiburg559.1-4.125.1-3.1+34.1-1.1108.8+1.2
10LOSC Lille567.3-1.345.1-1.1+22.2-0.268.6-2.6
11PAOK51210.8+1.287.6+0.4+43.2+0.888.4-0.4
12Fenerbahçe567.4-1.435.3-2.3+32.1+0.967.9-1.9
13FC Midtjylland5108.3+1.767.2-1.2+41.1+2.9107.9+2.1
14Roma5106.9+3.126.1-4.1+80.8+7.2137.4+5.6
15Brann548.6-4.698.1+0.9-50.6-5.637.1-4.1
16Ferencvárosi576.7+0.387.0+1.0-1-0.3-0.786.9+1.1
17Ludogorets587.9+0.197.9+1.1-10.0-1.076.8+0.2
18Panathinaikos555.2-0.235.4-2.4+2-0.3+2.396.7+2.3
19Real Betis595.6+3.456.6-1.6+4-1.0+5.0126.7+5.3
20Basel566.2-0.295.8+3.2-30.4-3.436.6-3.6
21Genk5108.2+1.867.9-1.9+40.4+3.6126.6+5.4
22Nice547.3-3.397.6+1.4-5-0.3-4.736.6-3.6
23Sporting Braga565.9+0.156.2-1.2+1-0.3+1.386.5+1.5
24Salzburg587.0+1.0910.3-1.3-1-3.4+2.466.1-0.1
25Celtic5107.1+2.9119.1+1.9-1-2.0+1.075.8+1.2
26Rangers545.8-1.887.8+0.2-4-2.0-2.045.6-1.6
27Dinamo Zagreb553.9+1.1135.9+7.1-8-2.0-6.035.5-2.5
28Viktoria Plzeň524.3-2.316.8-5.8+1-2.5+3.575.4+1.6
29Young Boys545.5-1.51010.6-0.6-6-5.1-0.934.7-1.7
30FCSB575.9+1.1129.9+2.1-5-4.0-1.044.6-0.6
31Celta de Vigo594.5+4.578.3-1.3+2-3.7+5.774.5+2.5
32FC Utrecht554.7+0.3118.5+2.5-6-3.8-2.214.3-3.3
33Go Ahead Eagles524.2-2.21110.2+0.8-9-6.0-3.013.4-2.4
34Sturm Graz522.7-0.768.1-2.1-4-5.4+1.443.2+0.8
35Malmö FF523.5-1.5911.5-2.5-7-8.0+1.002.8-2.8
36Maccabi Tel Aviv513.0-2.01614.6+1.4-15-11.6-3.401.5-1.5

Europa League xG Table Questions

Which Europa League team is overperforming their xG the most in 2025/2026?

Celta de Vigo overperformed their xG by more than any other side in the Europa League in 2025/2026, with 15 goals from chances worth 8.3 xG, a gap of 6.7. FC Midtjylland were next on 5.7.

Which Europa League team is underperforming their xG the most in 2025/2026?

Rangers underperformed their xG by more than any other side in the Europa League in 2025/2026, with 5 goals from chances worth 10.5 xG, a shortfall of 5.5. Brann were next on 4.4.

Which Europa League team has been the luckiest on expected points in 2025/2026?

Aston Villa were the luckiest side in the Europa League in 2025/2026, with 21 points from performances worth 14.0 xPts, 7.0 more than their chances deserved. FC Midtjylland were next on 6.9.

Which Europa League team has been the unluckiest on expected points in 2025/2026?

Feyenoord were the unluckiest side in the Europa League in 2025/2026, with 6 points from performances worth 14.3 xPts, 8.3 short of what they deserved. Nice were next on 7.9.

Who would be top of the Europa League on xG in 2025/2026?

Nottingham Forest would be top of the Europa League in 2025/2026 on expected points, with 17.8 xPts from 17.0 xG created and 6.3 conceded across eight matches. Olympique Lyonnais were next on 16.2.

Which Europa League team has the most xG in 2025/2026?

Olympique Lyonnais created the most xG in the Europa League in 2025/2026, 17.1 from eight matches, 2.1 a game against a competition average of 1.4. Nottingham Forest and Bologna were next on 17.0.

Which Europa League team has the least xG in 2025/2026?

Sturm Graz and Malmö FF shared the least xG in the Europa League in 2025/2026, both on 5.2 from eight matches, 0.7 a game against a competition average of 1.4. Maccabi Tel Aviv were next on 5.4.

Which Europa League team has conceded the most xG in 2025/2026?

Malmö FF conceded the most xG in the Europa League in 2025/2026, 18.6 from eight matches, 2.3 a game against a competition average of 1.4. Maccabi Tel Aviv were next on 18.3.

Which Europa League team has conceded the least xG in 2025/2026?

Nottingham Forest and Olympique Lyonnais conceded the least xG in the Europa League in 2025/2026, both on 6.3 from eight matches, 0.8 a game against a competition average of 1.4. Porto were next on 7.0.

What is the average xG per game in the Europa League in 2025/2026?

Europa League teams averaged 1.40 xG a game in 2025/2026, from the 144 matches played, and scored 1.34 goals a game from it. That is down from 1.46 xG a game in 2024/2025.

Did Europa League teams create more xG at home or away in 2025/2026?

Europa League teams created more xG at home in 2025/2026, 1.57 a game against 1.23 away, a home advantage of +0.34, against +0.39 in 2024/2025.

Europa League player expected goals

The same season by player, with the goals each one scored against the chances they had.

  • Europa League Player xG Stats 2025/2026

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Europa League 2025/2026 xG table

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1 Nottingham Forest 8 15 17.0 -2.0 7 6.3 +0.7 +8 10.7 -2.7 14 17.8 -3.8
2 Olympique Lyonnais 8 18 17.1 +0.9 5 6.3 -1.3 +13 10.8 +2.2 21 16.2 +4.8
3 VfB Stuttgart 8 15 16.5 -1.5 9 8.4 +0.6 +6 8.0 -2.0 15 15.9 -0.9
4 Porto 8 13 14.7 -1.7 7 7.0 +0.0 +6 7.6 -1.6 17 15.9 +1.1
5 Bologna 8 14 17.0 -3.0 7 8.6 -1.6 +7 8.4 -1.4 15 15.6 -0.6
6 Feyenoord 8 11 12.5 -1.5 15 7.3 +7.7 -4 5.2 -9.2 6 14.3 -8.3
7 Aston Villa 8 14 14.0 +0.0 6 8.7 -2.7 +8 5.3 +2.7 21 14.0 +7.0
8 Roma 8 13 13.4 -0.4 6 8.5 -2.5 +7 4.9 +2.1 16 13.8 +2.2
9 SC Freiburg 8 10 13.4 -3.4 4 8.2 -4.2 +6 5.2 +0.8 17 13.7 +3.3
10 PAOK 8 17 15.0 +2.0 14 11.7 +2.3 +3 3.3 -0.3 12 12.6 -0.6
11 Brann 8 9 13.4 -4.4 11 11.1 -0.1 -2 2.3 -4.3 9 12.3 -3.3
12 Sporting Braga 8 11 9.5 +1.5 5 7.7 -2.7 +6 1.8 +4.2 17 12.2 +4.8
13 Ferencvárosi 8 12 11.6 +0.4 11 10.2 +0.8 +1 1.5 -0.5 15 12.1 +2.9
14 FC Midtjylland 8 18 12.3 +5.7 8 10.9 -2.9 +10 1.4 +8.6 19 12.1 +6.9
15 Dinamo Zagreb 8 12 9.3 +2.7 16 7.4 +8.6 -4 1.9 -5.9 10 12.0 -2.0
16 LOSC Lille 8 12 11.5 +0.5 9 11.1 -2.1 +3 0.4 +2.6 12 11.9 +0.1
17 Crvena Zvezda 8 7 10.9 -3.9 6 9.9 -3.9 +1 1.0 +0.0 14 11.8 +2.2
18 Fenerbahçe 8 10 10.8 -0.8 7 9.5 -2.5 +3 1.3 +1.7 12 11.4 +0.6
19 Genk 8 11 13.3 -2.3 7 11.1 -4.1 +4 2.2 +1.8 16 11.1 +4.9
20 Panathinaikos 8 11 10.4 +0.6 9 10.7 -1.7 +2 -0.2 +2.2 12 11.0 +1.0
21 Nice 8 7 11.3 -4.3 15 11.4 +3.6 -8 -0.1 -7.9 3 10.9 -7.9
22 Celtic 8 13 12.9 +0.1 15 12.6 +2.4 -2 0.3 -2.3 11 10.8 +0.2
23 Young Boys 8 10 12.5 -2.5 16 14.3 +1.7 -6 -1.8 -4.2 9 10.7 -1.7
24 Real Betis 8 13 7.9 +5.1 7 10.2 -3.2 +6 -2.2 +8.2 17 10.7 +6.3
25 Ludogorets 8 12 11.9 +0.1 15 13.0 +2.0 -3 -1.1 -1.9 10 10.4 -0.4
26 Basel 8 9 10.1 -1.1 13 11.1 +1.9 -4 -1.1 -2.9 6 10.0 -4.0
27 Viktoria Plzeň 8 8 6.9 +1.1 3 10.9 -7.9 +5 -4.0 +9.0 14 8.8 +5.2
28 Celta de Vigo 8 15 8.3 +6.7 11 12.3 -1.3 +4 -4.0 +8.0 13 8.5 +4.5
29 Rangers 8 5 10.5 -5.5 14 15.5 -1.5 -9 -5.0 -4.0 4 8.5 -4.5
30 Salzburg 8 10 9.9 +0.1 15 17.1 -2.1 -5 -7.2 +2.2 6 8.3 -2.3
31 FC Utrecht 8 5 7.2 -2.2 15 12.3 +2.7 -10 -5.1 -4.9 1 7.5 -6.5
32 FCSB 8 9 8.1 +0.9 16 15.1 +0.9 -7 -7.0 +0.0 7 6.7 +0.3
33 Go Ahead Eagles 8 6 7.0 -1.0 14 16.2 -2.2 -8 -9.2 +1.2 7 6.0 +1.0
34 Sturm Graz 8 5 5.2 -0.2 11 14.4 -3.4 -6 -9.3 +3.3 7 5.7 +1.3
35 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8 2 5.4 -3.4 22 18.3 +3.7 -20 -12.9 -7.1 1 4.6 -3.6
36 Malmö FF 8 4 5.2 -1.2 15 18.6 -3.6 -11 -13.4 +2.4 1 3.9 -2.9

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