Copa Libertadores xG Table 2026

Who the Copa Libertadores xG table says is due a correction

Libertad have the biggest shortfall in the Copa Libertadores: 0 points from chances worth 5.1 xPts, a gap of 5.1. At the other end, Independiente Rivadavia have taken 16 points from an xPts figure of 9.8, 6.2 more than the underlying numbers justify.

How these xG numbers are calculated

Expected goals measure the quality of the chances a team creates and concedes, with every shot scored between 0 and 1 by how often shots like it are converted. Expected points come from running each finished match through a Poisson model using both sides' xG, giving a win, draw and loss probability, then awarding three points and one point against those probabilities. Underlying data is supplied by Sportmonks.

Copa Libertadores 2026 xG table, Home

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1Independiente del Valle388.3-0.321.6+0.4+66.7-0.797.8+1.2
2Boca Juniors346.9-2.921.1+0.9+25.8-3.847.8-3.8
3Cruzeiro366.5-0.521.1+0.9+45.4-1.467.6-1.6
4Estudiantes346.3-2.321.9+0.1+24.4-2.477.0+0.0
5Lanús335.4-2.400.9-0.9+34.5-1.596.9+2.1
6Rosario Central356.9-1.902.4-2.4+54.5+0.576.8+0.2
7Coquimbo Unido365.7+0.321.7+0.3+44.0+0.076.8+0.2
8Fluminense365.6+0.442.1+1.9+23.5-1.566.4-0.4
9Deportes Tolima365.3+0.701.3-1.3+64.0+2.076.3+0.7
10Flamengo385.6+2.411.9-0.9+73.7+3.396.2+2.8
11Mirassol354.4+0.601.4-1.4+53.1+1.996.2+2.8
12Palmeiras365.7+0.332.6+0.4+33.1-0.165.9+0.1
13LDU Quito375.1+1.922.5-0.5+52.6+2.495.8+3.2
14Corinthians344.2-0.222.0+0.0+22.2-0.265.7+0.3
15Sporting Cristal334.9-1.922.9-0.9+12.0-1.065.5+0.5
16Club Bolívar344.3-0.342.5+1.5+01.8-1.845.5-1.5
17Independiente Rivadavia364.0+2.021.3+0.7+42.7+1.375.2+1.8
18Universidad Católica335.3-2.322.8-0.8+12.6-1.645.2-1.2
19Cerro Porteño343.6+0.413.6-2.6+30.1+2.974.5+2.5
20Independiente Medellín321.9+0.141.0+3.0-20.9-2.944.4-0.4
21Nacional342.3+1.711.7-0.7+30.5+2.574.3+2.7
22Always Ready354.1+0.933.4-0.4+20.6+1.434.2-1.2
23Platense332.0+1.041.5+2.5-10.4-1.444.2-0.2
24Santa Fe342.9+1.132.8+0.2+10.1+0.954.1+0.9
25Cusco FC333.0+0.063.5+2.5-3-0.5-2.513.7-2.7
26Universitario342.8+1.243.3+0.7+0-0.5+0.543.7+0.3
27Junior FC343.3+0.744.2-0.2+0-0.9+0.943.5+0.5
28Libertad322.9-0.953.8+1.2-3-0.9-2.103.5-3.5
29Peñarol322.5-0.543.8+0.2-2-1.3-0.713.3-2.3
30Barcelona Guayaquil322.3-0.333.9-0.9-1-1.7+0.732.8+0.2
31UCV353.2+1.845.5-1.5+1-2.3+3.362.8+3.2
32Deportivo La Guaira332.1+0.954.5+0.5-2-2.3+0.322.5-0.5

Copa Libertadores 2026 xG table, Away

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1Palmeiras346.5-2.523.2-1.2+23.2-1.256.1-1.1
2Corinthians343.4+0.622.1-0.1+21.3+0.754.8+0.2
3Independiente del Valle334.3-1.343.4+0.6-10.9-1.944.6-0.6
4Independiente Rivadavia394.9+4.144.2-0.2+50.8+4.294.6+4.4
5Platense353.0+2.032.3+0.7+20.7+1.364.6+1.4
6Cruzeiro324.3-2.314.2-3.2+10.0+1.054.4+0.6
7Fluminense311.8-0.830.9+2.1-20.8-2.824.3-2.3
8Rosario Central343.6+0.413.7-2.7+3-0.1+3.164.2+1.8
9Coquimbo Unido322.5-0.543.2+0.8-2-0.7-1.333.9-0.9
10Mirassol322.6-0.642.7+1.3-2-0.1-1.933.8-0.8
11Universitario311.7-0.722.2-0.2-1-0.5-0.523.7-1.7
12Flamengo362.3+3.713.1-2.1+5-0.8+5.873.7+3.3
13Boca Juniors322.1-0.133.3-0.3-1-1.2+0.233.1-0.1
14Peñarol322.5-0.544.0+0.0-2-1.5-0.523.1-1.1
15Estudiantes321.7+0.333.2-0.2-1-1.6+0.622.8-0.8
16LDU Quito312.1-1.134.0-1.0-2-1.9-0.132.8+0.2
17Cerro Porteño321.6+0.413.7-2.7+1-2.0+3.062.8+3.2
18Junior FC312.8-1.874.9+2.1-6-2.1-3.902.7-2.7
19Club Bolívar322.2-0.244.9-0.9-2-2.7+0.712.5-1.5
20Independiente Medellín342.4+1.676.1+0.9-3-3.7+0.732.4+0.6
21Santa Fe321.2+0.843.2+0.8-2-2.0+0.032.3+0.7
22Cusco FC311.9-0.964.3+1.7-5-2.4-2.602.3-2.3
23Sporting Cristal332.5+0.575.8+1.2-4-3.3-0.702.2-2.2
24Universidad Católica351.7+3.325.2-3.2+3-3.6+6.692.2+6.8
25UCV322.9-0.977.2-0.2-5-4.3-0.732.2+0.8
26Nacional332.6+0.486.2+1.8-5-3.6-1.412.1-1.1
27Deportes Tolima311.1-0.164.4+1.6-5-3.3-1.711.7-0.7
28Libertad322.5-0.587.1+0.9-6-4.6-1.401.7-1.7
29Always Ready322.6-0.667.2-1.2-4-4.6+0.601.7-1.7
30Lanús300.9-0.975.1+1.9-7-4.2-2.801.5-1.5
31Deportivo La Guaira331.4+1.686.1+1.9-5-4.7-0.311.4-0.4
32Barcelona Guayaquil300.8-0.898.3+0.7-9-7.4-1.600.5-0.5

Copa Libertadores 2026 xG table, Last 5

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1Independiente del Valle51111.4-0.463.3+2.7+58.1-3.11211.4+0.6
2Palmeiras5910.3-1.344.7-0.7+55.7-0.71010.2-0.2
3Cruzeiro578.9-1.934.6-1.6+44.4-0.489.8-1.8
4Boca Juniors548.1-4.143.4+0.6+04.7-4.749.5-5.5
5Rosario Central598.8+0.214.9-3.9+83.9+4.1129.3+2.7
6Corinthians567.1-1.143.8+0.2+23.3-1.389.0-1.0
7Estudiantes557.6-2.644.5-0.5+13.0-2.088.7-0.7
8Mirassol566.4-0.443.7+0.3+22.6-0.698.4+0.6
9Coquimbo Unido576.4+0.654.4+0.6+22.0+0.098.4+0.6
10Fluminense576.0+1.072.9+4.1+03.1-3.178.3-1.3
11Independiente Rivadavia5147.8+6.264.6+1.4+83.2+4.8138.2+4.8
12Flamengo5126.7+5.324.6-2.6+102.2+7.8137.9+5.1
13Platense584.7+3.353.3+1.7+31.4+1.6107.8+2.2
14Lanús536.0-3.065.3+0.7-30.7-3.797.5+1.5
15LDU Quito576.0+1.055.7-0.7+20.4+1.697.1+1.9
16Cerro Porteño565.2+0.815.1-4.1+50.1+4.9137.1+5.9
17Deportes Tolima576.1+0.965.2+0.8+10.9+0.177.0+0.0
18Club Bolívar565.6+0.476.2+0.8-1-0.6-0.456.9-1.9
19Universidad Católica576.1+0.927.1-5.1+5-1.0+6.0136.0+7.0
20Universitario554.0+1.065.1+0.9-1-1.1+0.156.0-1.0
21Nacional564.3+1.786.1+1.9-2-1.8-0.275.8+1.2
22Independiente Medellín553.7+1.3106.7+3.3-5-3.0-2.065.3+0.7
23Santa Fe553.0+2.064.7+1.3-1-1.7+0.775.2+1.8
24Cusco FC544.5-0.5106.7+3.3-6-2.2-3.815.2-4.2
25Junior FC544.9-0.9107.3+2.7-6-2.4-3.635.2-2.2
26Sporting Cristal555.2-0.298.6+0.4-4-3.4-0.635.0-2.0
27Peñarol533.6-0.676.6+0.4-4-3.0-1.024.9-2.9
28Always Ready575.8+1.289.5-1.5-1-3.7+2.734.8-1.8
29Libertad534.2-1.2109.0+1.0-7-4.8-2.204.1-4.1
30Deportivo La Guaira563.4+2.6139.2+3.8-7-5.7-1.323.5-1.5
31UCV544.3-0.31011.5-1.5-6-7.2+1.263.3+2.7
32Barcelona Guayaquil522.3-0.31110.4+0.6-9-8.0-1.032.7+0.3

Copa Libertadores xG Table Questions

Which Copa Libertadores team is overperforming their xG the most this season?

Independiente Rivadavia and Flamengo share the biggest gap between goals and xG in the Copa Libertadores in 2026, both on 6.1, Independiente Rivadavia 15 goals from 8.9, Flamengo 14 goals from 7.9. Platense are next on 3.1.

Which Copa Libertadores team is underperforming their xG the most this season?

Lanús are underperforming their xG by more than any other side in the Copa Libertadores in 2026, with 3 goals from chances worth 6.3 xG, a shortfall of 3.3. Boca Juniors are next on 3.0.

Which Copa Libertadores team has been the luckiest on expected points this season?

Independiente Rivadavia and Flamengo are the luckiest sides in the Copa Libertadores in 2026, both 6.2 clear of their expected points, each taking 16 points from performances worth 9.8 xPts. Cerro Porteño are next on 5.7.

Which Copa Libertadores team has been the unluckiest on expected points this season?

Libertad are the unluckiest side in the Copa Libertadores in 2026, with no points from performances worth 5.1 xPts, 5.1 short of what they deserved. Cusco FC are next on 5.0.

Who would be top of the Copa Libertadores on xG this season?

Independiente del Valle would be top of the Copa Libertadores in 2026 on expected points, with 12.5 xPts from 12.6 xG created and 5.0 conceded across six matches. Palmeiras are next on 12.1.

Which Copa Libertadores team has the most xG this season?

Independiente del Valle have created the most xG in the Copa Libertadores in 2026, 12.6 from six matches, 2.1 a game against a competition average of 1.1. Palmeiras are next on 12.2.

Which Copa Libertadores team has the least xG this season?

Barcelona Guayaquil have created the least xG in the Copa Libertadores in 2026, 3.1 from six matches, 0.5 a game against a competition average of 1.1. Deportivo La Guaira are next on 3.6.

Which Copa Libertadores team has conceded the most xG this season?

UCV have conceded the most xG in the Copa Libertadores in 2026, 12.8 from six matches, 2.1 a game against a competition average of 1.1. Barcelona Guayaquil are next on 12.2.

Which Copa Libertadores team has conceded the least xG this season?

Fluminense have conceded the least xG in the Copa Libertadores in 2026, 3.0 from six matches, 0.5 a game against a competition average of 1.1. Platense are next on 3.9.

What is the average xG per game in the Copa Libertadores this season?

Copa Libertadores teams have averaged 1.14 xG a game in 2026, from the 96 matches played, and have scored 1.17 goals a game from it. That is down from 1.17 xG a game in 2025.

Do Copa Libertadores teams create more xG at home or away this season?

Copa Libertadores teams create more xG at home in 2026, 1.45 a game against 0.84 away, a home advantage of +0.61, against +0.37 in 2025.

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Copa Libertadores 2026 xG table

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1 Independiente del Valle 6 11 12.6 -1.6 6 5.0 +1.0 +5 7.7 -2.7 13 12.5 +0.5
2 Palmeiras 6 10 12.2 -2.2 5 5.8 -0.8 +5 6.4 -1.4 11 12.1 -1.1
3 Cruzeiro 6 8 10.8 -2.8 3 5.3 -2.3 +5 5.4 -0.4 11 11.9 -0.9
4 Rosario Central 6 9 10.4 -1.4 1 6.1 -5.1 +8 4.3 +3.7 13 11.0 +2.0
5 Boca Juniors 6 6 9.0 -3.0 5 4.3 +0.7 +1 4.7 -3.7 7 10.9 -3.9
6 Fluminense 6 7 7.4 -0.4 7 3.0 +4.0 +0 4.4 -4.4 8 10.7 -2.7
7 Coquimbo Unido 6 8 8.2 -0.2 6 4.9 +1.1 +2 3.3 -1.3 10 10.7 -0.7
8 Corinthians 6 8 7.6 +0.4 4 4.0 +0.0 +4 3.6 +0.4 11 10.6 +0.4
9 Mirassol 6 7 7.0 +0.0 4 4.0 +0.0 +3 3.0 +0.0 12 10.0 +2.0
10 Independiente Rivadavia 6 15 8.9 +6.1 6 5.4 +0.6 +9 3.5 +5.5 16 9.8 +6.2
11 Flamengo 6 14 7.9 +6.1 2 5.0 -3.0 +12 2.9 +9.1 16 9.8 +6.2
12 Estudiantes 6 6 8.0 -2.0 5 5.1 -0.1 +1 2.8 -1.8 9 9.7 -0.7
13 Platense 6 8 4.9 +3.1 7 3.9 +3.1 +1 1.1 -0.1 10 8.7 +1.3
14 LDU Quito 6 8 7.1 +0.9 5 6.5 -1.5 +3 0.7 +2.3 12 8.7 +3.3
15 Lanús 6 3 6.3 -3.3 7 6.0 +1.0 -4 0.3 -4.3 9 8.4 +0.6
16 Club Bolívar 6 6 6.4 -0.4 8 7.3 +0.7 -2 -0.9 -1.1 5 8.1 -3.1
17 Deportes Tolima 6 7 6.4 +0.6 6 5.7 +0.3 +1 0.8 +0.2 8 8.0 +0.0
18 Sporting Cristal 6 6 7.3 -1.3 9 8.7 +0.3 -3 -1.4 -1.6 6 7.7 -1.7
19 Universidad Católica 6 8 7.0 +1.0 4 8.0 -4.0 +4 -1.0 +5.0 13 7.4 +5.6
20 Universitario 6 5 4.5 +0.5 6 5.5 +0.5 -1 -1.0 +0.0 6 7.4 -1.4
21 Cerro Porteño 6 6 5.3 +0.7 2 7.2 -5.2 +4 -2.0 +6.0 13 7.3 +5.7
22 Independiente Medellín 6 6 4.3 +1.7 11 7.1 +3.9 -5 -2.8 -2.2 7 6.8 +0.2
23 Santa Fe 6 6 4.1 +1.9 7 6.0 +1.0 -1 -1.9 +0.9 8 6.4 +1.6
24 Peñarol 6 4 5.0 -1.0 8 7.7 +0.3 -4 -2.8 -1.2 3 6.4 -3.4
25 Nacional 6 7 4.8 +2.2 9 7.9 +1.1 -2 -3.1 +1.1 8 6.4 +1.6
26 Junior FC 6 5 6.1 -1.1 11 9.2 +1.8 -6 -3.1 -2.9 4 6.2 -2.2
27 Cusco FC 6 4 4.9 -0.9 12 7.9 +4.1 -8 -2.9 -5.1 1 6.0 -5.0
28 Always Ready 6 7 6.7 +0.3 9 10.7 -1.7 -2 -4.0 +2.0 3 5.9 -2.9
29 Libertad 6 4 5.4 -1.4 13 10.8 +2.2 -9 -5.4 -3.6 0 5.1 -5.1
30 UCV 6 7 6.2 +0.8 11 12.8 -1.8 -4 -6.6 +2.6 9 5.1 +3.9
31 Deportivo La Guaira 6 6 3.6 +2.4 13 10.6 +2.4 -7 -7.0 +0.0 3 3.9 -0.9
32 Barcelona Guayaquil 6 2 3.1 -1.1 12 12.2 -0.2 -10 -9.1 -0.9 3 3.4 -0.4

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