Win, draw and score chances for Sudan v Senegal, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 13 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Sudan win | 5.6% |
| Draw | 16.1% |
| Senegal win | 78.3% |
| Sudan or draw (1X) | 21.7% |
| Senegal or draw (X2) | 94.4% |
| Sudan or Senegal (12) | 83.9% |
| Both teams to score | 29.4% |
| Sudan clean sheet | 11.6% |
| Senegal clean sheet | 66.8% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Sudan 0-2 Senegal | 18.0% |
| Sudan 0-1 Senegal | 16.7% |
| Sudan 0-3 Senegal | 12.9% |
| Sudan 0-0 Senegal | 7.7% |
| Sudan 1-2 Senegal | 7.3% |
| Sudan 0-4 Senegal | 7.0% |
| Sudan 1-1 Senegal | 6.7% |
| Sudan 1-3 Senegal | 5.2% |
| Stat | Sudan | Senegal | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.40 | 2.16 | 2.56 |
| Corners | 3.6 | 5.9 | 9.5 |
| Shots | 5.2 | 13.2 | 18.3 |
| Shots on target | 1.9 | 5.2 | 7.1 |
| Yellow cards | 1.6 | 1.6 | 3.2 |
| Fouls | 12.0 | 13.2 | 25.2 |
| Tackles | 16.0 | 12.7 | 28.7 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 92.3% | 7.7% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 72.5% | 27.5% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 47.2% | 52.8% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 25.6% | 74.4% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 11.7% | 88.3% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 73.3% | 26.7% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 61.1% | 38.9% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 48.1% | 51.9% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 35.7% | 64.3% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 16.5% | 83.5% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 46.8% | 53.2% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 29.6% | 70.4% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 16.4% | 83.6% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 8.0% | 92.1% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 3.4% | 96.6% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 56.2% | 43.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 41.3% | 58.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 28.2% | 71.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 17.8% | 82.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 10.4% | 89.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 61.7% | 38.3% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 39.4% | 60.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 21.7% | 78.3% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 10.4% | 89.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 4.4% | 95.6% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 87.5% | 12.5% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 76.5% | 23.5% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 62.2% | 37.8% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 46.3% | 53.7% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 31.5% | 68.6% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.3% | 0.7% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 97.7% | 2.3% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 94.3% | 5.8% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 87.8% | 12.2% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 77.9% | 22.1% |
Our model makes Senegal favourites in Sudan v Senegal on Monday 16 November, with a 78% chance of an away win, 16% for the draw and 6% for Sudan, from projected goals of 2.16 for Senegal and 0.40 for Sudan.
The most likely score in Sudan v Senegal is 0-2 at 18%, ahead of 0-1 at 17% and 0-3 at 13%, from our model's projection of 0.40 goals for Sudan and 2.16 for Senegal, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Our model leans against both teams scoring in Sudan v Senegal, at 29% yes and 71% no, with Sudan keeping a clean sheet 12% of the time and Senegal 67%, from projected goals of 0.40 and 2.16.
Our model projects 2.56 goals in Sudan v Senegal, with over 2.5 goals at 47% and over 3.5 at 26%, and two goals the likeliest total at 25%.
Our model expects 9.5 corners in Sudan v Senegal on Monday 16 November, 3.6 for Sudan and 5.9 for Senegal, putting over 9.5 corners at 48% and over 10.5 at 36%.
Our model expects 3.2 yellow cards in Sudan v Senegal on Monday 16 November, 1.6 for Sudan and 1.6 for Senegal, putting over 2.5 cards at 62% and over 3.5 at 39%.
The Sudan v Senegal simulation turns our projections of 0.40 goals for Sudan and 2.16 for Senegal into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.