Win, draw and score chances for Liberia v Cape Verde, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Liberia win | 23.8% |
| Draw | 29.8% |
| Cape Verde win | 46.4% |
| Liberia or draw (1X) | 53.6% |
| Cape Verde or draw (X2) | 76.3% |
| Liberia or Cape Verde (12) | 70.2% |
| Both teams to score | 38.2% |
| Liberia clean sheet | 29.5% |
| Cape Verde clean sheet | 45.7% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Liberia 0-1 Cape Verde | 16.5% |
| Liberia 0-0 Cape Verde | 13.5% |
| Liberia 1-1 Cape Verde | 12.9% |
| Liberia 1-0 Cape Verde | 10.6% |
| Liberia 0-2 Cape Verde | 10.1% |
| Liberia 1-2 Cape Verde | 7.9% |
| Liberia 2-1 Cape Verde | 5.0% |
| Liberia 2-0 Cape Verde | 4.1% |
| Stat | Liberia | Cape Verde | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.78 | 1.22 | 2.00 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 4.9 | 9.2 |
| Shots | 7.2 | 9.7 | 17.0 |
| Shots on target | 2.6 | 3.4 | 6.0 |
| Yellow cards | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2.9 |
| Fouls | 11.6 | 13.4 | 24.9 |
| Tackles | 15.7 | 13.4 | 29.1 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 86.5% | 13.5% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 59.5% | 40.6% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 32.4% | 67.6% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 14.3% | 85.7% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 5.3% | 94.7% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 69.8% | 30.2% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 56.9% | 43.1% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 43.8% | 56.2% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 31.7% | 68.3% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 21.6% | 78.4% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 13.9% | 86.2% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 34.2% | 65.8% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 19.2% | 80.8% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 9.4% | 90.6% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 4.0% | 96.0% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 1.5% | 98.5% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 39.5% | 60.5% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 25.7% | 74.3% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 15.4% | 84.6% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 8.5% | 91.5% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 4.3% | 95.7% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 56.3% | 43.7% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 33.9% | 66.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 17.4% | 82.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 7.8% | 92.2% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 3.1% | 97.0% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 86.3% | 13.7% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 74.8% | 25.2% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 60.1% | 40.0% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 44.1% | 55.9% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 29.5% | 70.5% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.4% | 0.6% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 98.1% | 1.9% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 95.1% | 4.9% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 89.4% | 10.6% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 80.2% | 19.8% |
Our model makes Cape Verde favourites in Liberia v Cape Verde on Tuesday 17 November, with a 46% chance of an away win, 30% for the draw and 24% for Liberia, from projected goals of 1.22 for Cape Verde and 0.78 for Liberia.
The most likely score in Liberia v Cape Verde is 0-1 at 16%, ahead of 0-0 at 14% and 1-1 at 13%, from our model's projection of 0.78 goals for Liberia and 1.22 for Cape Verde, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Our model leans against both teams scoring in Liberia v Cape Verde, at 38% yes and 62% no, with Liberia keeping a clean sheet 30% of the time and Cape Verde 46%, from projected goals of 0.78 and 1.22.
Our model projects 2.00 goals in Liberia v Cape Verde, with over 1.5 goals at 59% and over 2.5 at 32%, and one and two goals the likeliest totals at 27% each.
Our model expects 9.2 corners in Liberia v Cape Verde on Tuesday 17 November, 4.3 for Liberia and 4.9 for Cape Verde, putting over 8.5 corners at 57% and over 9.5 at 44%.
Our model expects 2.9 yellow cards in Liberia v Cape Verde on Tuesday 17 November, 1.6 for Liberia and 1.3 for Cape Verde, putting over 2.5 cards at 56% and over 3.5 at 34%.
The Liberia v Cape Verde simulation turns our projections of 0.78 goals for Liberia and 1.22 for Cape Verde into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.