| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Cape Verde win | 16.5% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 13.5% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 12.9% |
| 1-0 | Liberia win | 10.6% |
| 0-2 | Cape Verde win | 10.1% |
| 1-2 | Cape Verde win | 7.9% |
| 2-1 | Liberia win | 5.0% |
| 2-0 | Liberia win | 4.1% |
| 0-3 | Cape Verde win | 4.1% |
| 1-3 | Cape Verde win | 3.2% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 38% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% |
| Liberia clean sheet | 30% |
| Cape Verde clean sheet | 46% |
The most likely score in Liberia vs Cape Verde is 0-1, a 16% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 0-0 at 14%. The Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications game kicks off at 19:00 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Liberia 0.78 - 1.22 Cape Verde in goals for Liberia vs Cape Verde, with over 2.5 goals 32% likely and both teams to score 38%.
Statz projects 22 players for Liberia vs Cape Verde on Tuesday 17 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 19:00 UK time kick-off.
Liberia host Cape Verde on 17 November 2026 at 19:00 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications. Liberia's last five results: L W L L L (1 win and 4 losses). Cape Verde's last five: D L L L W (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses). In their last 1 meetings, Liberia have won 0, Cape Verde 1, with 0 draws.
Liberia vs Cape Verde kicks off at 19:00 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 19:00.
Liberia have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 10, with results reading L W L L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-4 defeat away to Cape Verde in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on 13 November.
Cape Verde have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 10, with results reading D L L L W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 4-2 win at home to Liberia in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on 13 November.
Across the last 1 meetings Liberia have won 0, Cape Verde have won 1 and 0 were drawn, with Liberia scoring 2 goals to Cape Verde's 4. The most recent was Cape Verde Islands 4-2 Liberia on 13 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.
Solomon Tweh leads Liberia with 6 shots across their last 10 games, 0.6 a game, the most of any Liberia player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Liberia player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Ryan Mendes leads Cape Verde with 4 assists across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Cape Verde player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Cape Verde player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Until the team news for Liberia vs Cape Verde is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Liberia's XI from their 2-4 defeat at Cape Verde on Fri 13 Nov 2026, and Cape Verde's XI from their 4-2 win v Liberia at home on Fri 13 Nov 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Cape Verde the favourite with a 46% chance of winning, against 24% for Liberia and 30% for the draw. Projected goals are Liberia 0.8 - 1.2 Cape Verde.
The most likely score in Liberia vs Cape Verde is 0-1, a Cape Verde win, at 16%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 38% likely and over 2.5 goals 32%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Liberia vs Cape Verde, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2026 | Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications | Cape Verde Islands vs Liberia | 4-2 |
Statz's projection model expects Liberia 0.8 - 1.2 Cape Verde in goals. It gives Liberia a 24% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Cape Verde 46%. Both teams to score is 38% likely, over 1.5 goals 59% and over 2.5 goals 32%. The most likely scorelines are 0-1 (16%), 0-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 0-2 (10%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Cape Verde win | 16% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 14% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 1-0 | Liberia win | 11% |
| 0-2 | Cape Verde win | 10% |
Predicted lineups for Liberia vs Cape Verde are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Liberia's XI from their 2-4 defeat at Cape Verde on Fri 13 Nov 2026, and Cape Verde's XI from their 4-2 win v Liberia at home on Fri 13 Nov 2026.
| # | Liberia | Fouls committed | Cape Verde | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Nimely | 4 | K. Lenini | 10 |
| 2 | E. Fully | 4 | D. Borges | 9 |
| 3 | E. Ledlum | 3 | S. Cabral | 8 |
| 4 | S. Tweh | 3 | R. Mendes | 7 |
| 5 | A. Kosiah | 2 | J. Monteiro | 6 |
| # | Liberia | Shots | Cape Verde | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Tweh | 6 | S. Cabral | 9 |
| 2 | A. Kosiah | 5 | K. Lenini | 7 |
| 3 | E. Ledlum | 5 | D. Borges | 6 |
| 4 | Oscar | 3 | R. Mendes | 6 |
| 5 | K. Sherman | 3 | A. Santos | 6 |
| # | Liberia | Shots on target | Cape Verde | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Ledlum | 2 | S. Cabral | 5 |
| 2 | M. Sangare | 1 | D. Borges | 3 |
| 3 | K. Sherman | 1 | L. Duarte | 3 |
| 4 | S. Nimely | 1 | D. Duarte | 2 |
| 5 | Oscar | 1 | K. Lenini | 2 |
| # | Liberia | Goals | Cape Verde | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Nimely | 1 | S. Cabral | 2 |
| 2 | A. Kosiah | 1 | K. Lenini | 2 |
| 3 | F. Nyenetue | 1 | Benchimol | 2 |
| 4 | D. Duarte | 1 | ||
| 5 | H. Varela | 1 |
| # | Liberia | Yellow cards | Cape Verde | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Teclar | 1 | S. Cabral | 4 |
| 2 | M. Sangare | 1 | K. Lenini | 3 |
| 3 | A. Kosiah | 1 | W. Pina | 2 |
| 4 | S. Nimely | 1 | D. Borges | 1 |
| 5 | J. Farkarlun | 1 | Y. Semedo | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 32 of 58 |
| Goals against | 1.2 | 31 of 58 |
| Shots | 6.9 | 36 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 2.8 | 33 of 58 |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 28 of 58 |
| Passes | 1 | 26 of 58 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 28 of 58 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 17 of 58 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 13 of 58 |
| Shots | 9.8 | 17 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 3.9 | 17 of 58 |
| Fouls | 10.8 | 42 of 58 |
| Passes | 0.5 | 41 of 58 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 15 of 58 |