Win, draw and score chances for Tenerife v Ceuta, with the goals lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 49.0% |
| Draw | 26.9% |
| Ceuta win | 24.1% |
| Tenerife or draw (1X) | 75.9% |
| Ceuta or draw (X2) | 51.0% |
| Tenerife or Ceuta (12) | 73.1% |
| Both teams to score | 50.1% |
| Tenerife clean sheet | 36.8% |
| Ceuta clean sheet | 21.6% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Tenerife 1-1 Ceuta | 12.8% |
| Tenerife 1-0 Ceuta | 11.6% |
| Tenerife 2-0 Ceuta | 9.3% |
| Tenerife 2-1 Ceuta | 9.3% |
| Tenerife 0-0 Ceuta | 8.6% |
| Tenerife 0-1 Ceuta | 7.4% |
| Tenerife 1-2 Ceuta | 6.1% |
| Tenerife 3-0 Ceuta | 4.8% |
| Stat | Tenerife | Ceuta | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 | 1.00 | 2.53 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 91.4% | 8.6% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 72.5% | 27.5% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 46.4% | 53.6% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 24.9% | 75.1% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 11.3% | 88.7% |
Our model makes Tenerife favourites in Tenerife v Ceuta on Sunday 15 November, with a 49% chance of a home win, 27% for the draw and 24% for Ceuta, from projected goals of 1.53 for Tenerife and 1.00 for Ceuta.
The most likely score in Tenerife v Ceuta is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 at 12% and 2-0 at 9%, from our model's projection of 1.53 goals for Tenerife and 1.00 for Ceuta, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 50% of the outcomes our model gives Tenerife v Ceuta, making yes the likelier answer, with Tenerife keeping a clean sheet 37% of the time and Ceuta 22%, from projected goals of 1.53 and 1.00.
Our model projects 2.53 goals in Tenerife v Ceuta, with over 2.5 goals at 46% and over 3.5 at 25%, and two goals the likeliest total at 26%.
The Tenerife v Ceuta simulation turns our projections of 1.53 goals for Tenerife and 1.00 for Ceuta into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.