Win, draw and score chances for Athletic Club v Espanyol, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Athletic Club win | 58.7% |
| Draw | 24.7% |
| Espanyol win | 16.6% |
| Athletic Club or draw (1X) | 83.4% |
| Espanyol or draw (X2) | 41.4% |
| Athletic Club or Espanyol (12) | 75.3% |
| Both teams to score | 47.9% |
| Athletic Club clean sheet | 43.3% |
| Espanyol clean sheet | 17.1% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Athletic Club 1-0 Espanyol | 12.2% |
| Athletic Club 1-1 Espanyol | 11.8% |
| Athletic Club 2-0 Espanyol | 11.6% |
| Athletic Club 2-1 Espanyol | 9.7% |
| Athletic Club 0-0 Espanyol | 8.2% |
| Athletic Club 3-0 Espanyol | 6.8% |
| Athletic Club 3-1 Espanyol | 5.7% |
| Athletic Club 0-1 Espanyol | 5.4% |
| Stat | Athletic Club | Espanyol | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.77 | 0.84 | 2.61 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 3.7 | 9.5 |
| Shots | 16.8 | 8.8 | 25.5 |
| Shots on target | 5.7 | 3.0 | 8.6 |
| Yellow cards | 2.1 | 2.6 | 4.7 |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 13.2 | 25.0 |
| Tackles | 14.2 | 17.1 | 31.3 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 91.8% | 8.2% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 74.2% | 25.8% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 48.3% | 51.7% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 26.5% | 73.5% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 12.3% | 87.7% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 72.8% | 27.2% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 60.4% | 39.6% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 47.4% | 52.7% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 24.4% | 75.6% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 16.1% | 84.0% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 92.4% | 7.6% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 84.1% | 15.9% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 71.9% | 28.1% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 56.9% | 43.1% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 41.3% | 58.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 75.9% | 24.1% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 63.3% | 36.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 49.6% | 50.4% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 36.6% | 63.5% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 25.3% | 74.8% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 84.8% | 15.2% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 69.1% | 30.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 50.7% | 49.3% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 33.3% | 66.7% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 19.6% | 80.4% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 86.8% | 13.2% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 75.5% | 24.5% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 60.9% | 39.1% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 30.2% | 69.8% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.8% | 0.2% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 99.3% | 0.7% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 97.9% | 2.1% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 94.8% | 5.2% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 89.1% | 10.9% |
Our model makes Athletic Club favourites in Athletic Club v Espanyol on Friday 20 November, with a 59% chance of a home win, 25% for the draw and 16% for Espanyol, from projected goals of 1.77 for Athletic Club and 0.84 for Espanyol.
The most likely score in Athletic Club v Espanyol is 1-0 at 12%, ahead of 1-1 at 12% and 2-0 at 12%, from our model's projection of 1.77 goals for Athletic Club and 0.84 for Espanyol, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Our model leans against both teams scoring in Athletic Club v Espanyol, at 48% yes and 52% no, with Athletic Club keeping a clean sheet 43% of the time and Espanyol 17%, from projected goals of 1.77 and 0.84.
Our model projects 2.61 goals in Athletic Club v Espanyol, with over 2.5 goals at 48% and over 3.5 at 27%, and two goals the likeliest total at 26%.
Our model expects 9.5 corners in Athletic Club v Espanyol on Friday 20 November, 5.8 for Athletic Club and 3.7 for Espanyol, putting over 8.5 corners at 60% and over 9.5 at 47%.
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards in Athletic Club v Espanyol on Friday 20 November, 2.1 for Athletic Club and 2.6 for Espanyol, putting over 4.5 cards at 51% and over 5.5 at 33%.
The Athletic Club v Espanyol simulation turns our projections of 1.77 goals for Athletic Club and 0.84 for Espanyol into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.