Win, draw and score chances for Sheff Wed v Plymouth, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Sheff Wed win | 42.7% |
| Draw | 25.2% |
| Plymouth win | 32.1% |
| Sheff Wed or draw (1X) | 67.9% |
| Plymouth or draw (X2) | 57.3% |
| Sheff Wed or Plymouth (12) | 74.8% |
| Both teams to score | 62.9% |
| Sheff Wed clean sheet | 23.7% |
| Plymouth clean sheet | 18.6% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Sheff Wed 1-1 Plymouth | 11.5% |
| Sheff Wed 2-1 Plymouth | 9.0% |
| Sheff Wed 1-2 Plymouth | 7.7% |
| Sheff Wed 1-0 Plymouth | 6.6% |
| Sheff Wed 2-2 Plymouth | 6.5% |
| Sheff Wed 2-0 Plymouth | 6.3% |
| Sheff Wed 0-1 Plymouth | 5.5% |
| Sheff Wed 0-0 Plymouth | 5.2% |
| Stat | Sheff Wed | Plymouth | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.68 | 1.44 | 3.12 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 5.0 | 10.6 |
| Shots | 14.6 | 13.7 | 28.3 |
| Shots on target | 4.7 | 4.6 | 9.3 |
| Yellow cards | 2.0 | 2.1 | 4.1 |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 11.9 | 22.8 |
| Tackles | 13.9 | 15.4 | 29.3 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 5.2% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 82.7% | 17.4% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 60.4% | 39.6% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 20.6% | 79.4% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 82.8% | 17.3% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 72.8% | 27.2% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 61.2% | 38.8% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 48.9% | 51.1% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 37.1% | 62.9% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 26.6% | 73.4% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 97.3% | 2.7% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 93.4% | 6.6% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 86.3% | 13.7% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 75.6% | 24.4% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 82.0% | 18.0% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 71.2% | 28.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 45.4% | 54.6% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 33.2% | 66.8% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 78.2% | 21.8% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 59.4% | 40.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 39.9% | 60.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 23.8% | 76.3% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 12.6% | 87.4% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 74.9% | 25.1% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 59.4% | 40.6% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 42.8% | 57.2% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 27.8% | 72.2% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 16.2% | 83.8% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.5% | 0.6% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 98.2% | 1.8% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 95.4% | 4.6% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 89.9% | 10.2% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 81.0% | 19.1% |
Our model makes Sheff Wed favourites in Sheff Wed v Plymouth on Saturday 14 November, with a 43% chance of a home win, 25% for the draw and 32% for Plymouth, from projected goals of 1.68 for Sheff Wed and 1.44 for Plymouth.
The most likely score in Sheff Wed v Plymouth is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 2-1 at 9% and 1-2 at 8%, from our model's projection of 1.68 goals for Sheff Wed and 1.44 for Plymouth, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 63% of the outcomes our model gives Sheff Wed v Plymouth, making yes the likelier answer, with Sheff Wed keeping a clean sheet 24% of the time and Plymouth 19%, from projected goals of 1.68 and 1.44.
Our model projects 3.12 goals in Sheff Wed v Plymouth, with over 2.5 goals at 60% and over 3.5 at 38%, and two and three goals the likeliest totals at 22% each.
Our model expects 10.6 corners in Sheff Wed v Plymouth on Saturday 14 November, 5.6 for Sheff Wed and 5.0 for Plymouth, putting over 10.5 corners at 49% and over 11.5 at 37%.
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards in Sheff Wed v Plymouth on Saturday 14 November, 2.0 for Sheff Wed and 2.1 for Plymouth, putting over 3.5 cards at 59% and over 4.5 at 40%.
The Sheff Wed v Plymouth simulation turns our projections of 1.68 goals for Sheff Wed and 1.44 for Plymouth into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.