Win, draw and score chances for Stockport v Reading, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Stockport win | 52.6% |
| Draw | 24.3% |
| Reading win | 23.1% |
| Stockport or draw (1X) | 76.9% |
| Reading or draw (X2) | 47.4% |
| Stockport or Reading (12) | 75.7% |
| Both teams to score | 58.7% |
| Stockport clean sheet | 31.3% |
| Reading clean sheet | 15.8% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Stockport 1-1 Reading | 11.4% |
| Stockport 2-1 Reading | 9.8% |
| Stockport 2-0 Reading | 8.4% |
| Stockport 1-0 Reading | 8.3% |
| Stockport 1-2 Reading | 6.2% |
| Stockport 3-1 Reading | 6.0% |
| Stockport 0-0 Reading | 5.7% |
| Stockport 2-2 Reading | 5.7% |
| Stat | Stockport | Reading | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.85 | 1.16 | 3.01 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 4.2 | 10.1 |
| Shots | 16.8 | 11.2 | 28.0 |
| Shots on target | 5.5 | 3.9 | 9.4 |
| Yellow cards | 1.6 | 2.1 | 3.7 |
| Fouls | 9.6 | 11.0 | 20.6 |
| Tackles | 14.1 | 14.3 | 28.4 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 94.3% | 5.7% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 81.0% | 19.0% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 57.9% | 42.1% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 35.5% | 64.5% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 18.7% | 81.3% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 79.0% | 21.0% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 55.6% | 44.4% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 43.1% | 56.9% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 31.6% | 68.4% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 21.9% | 78.1% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 97.0% | 3.1% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 92.6% | 7.4% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 85.0% | 15.0% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 73.7% | 26.3% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 59.7% | 40.3% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 82.6% | 17.4% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 71.9% | 28.1% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 59.3% | 40.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 46.3% | 53.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 34.0% | 66.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 70.9% | 29.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 49.9% | 50.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 30.6% | 69.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 16.5% | 83.5% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 7.9% | 92.1% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 57.8% | 42.2% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 40.3% | 59.7% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 25.1% | 74.9% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 13.8% | 86.2% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 6.8% | 93.2% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.2% | 0.8% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 97.5% | 2.6% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 93.7% | 6.3% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 86.8% | 13.2% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 76.4% | 23.6% |
Our model makes Stockport favourites in Stockport v Reading on Saturday 14 November, with a 53% chance of a home win, 24% for the draw and 23% for Reading, from projected goals of 1.85 for Stockport and 1.16 for Reading.
The most likely score in Stockport v Reading is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 2-1 at 10% and 2-0 at 8%, from our model's projection of 1.85 goals for Stockport and 1.16 for Reading, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 59% of the outcomes our model gives Stockport v Reading, making yes the likelier answer, with Stockport keeping a clean sheet 31% of the time and Reading 16%, from projected goals of 1.85 and 1.16.
Our model projects 3.01 goals in Stockport v Reading, with over 2.5 goals at 58% and over 3.5 at 36%, and two goals the likeliest total at 23%.
Our model expects 10.1 corners in Stockport v Reading on Saturday 14 November, 5.9 for Stockport and 4.2 for Reading, putting over 9.5 corners at 56% and over 10.5 at 43%.
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards in Stockport v Reading on Saturday 14 November, 1.6 for Stockport and 2.1 for Reading, putting over 3.5 cards at 50% and over 4.5 at 31%.
The Stockport v Reading simulation turns our projections of 1.85 goals for Stockport and 1.16 for Reading into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.