Win, draw and score chances for Blackpool v Wigan, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 45.2% |
| Draw | 27.5% |
| Wigan win | 27.3% |
| Blackpool or draw (1X) | 72.7% |
| Wigan or draw (X2) | 54.8% |
| Blackpool or Wigan (12) | 72.5% |
| Both teams to score | 53.4% |
| Blackpool clean sheet | 32.6% |
| Wigan clean sheet | 22.1% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Blackpool 1-1 Wigan | 13.1% |
| Blackpool 1-0 Wigan | 10.0% |
| Blackpool 2-1 Wigan | 9.2% |
| Blackpool 2-0 Wigan | 8.2% |
| Blackpool 0-0 Wigan | 8.1% |
| Blackpool 0-1 Wigan | 7.2% |
| Blackpool 1-2 Wigan | 6.8% |
| Blackpool 2-2 Wigan | 5.2% |
| Stat | Blackpool | Wigan | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.51 | 1.12 | 2.63 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 5.0 | 10.4 |
| Shots | 14.2 | 11.3 | 25.5 |
| Shots on target | 4.7 | 3.6 | 8.3 |
| Yellow cards | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3.5 |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 11.5 | 23.3 |
| Tackles | 14.8 | 16.3 | 31.1 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 91.9% | 8.1% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 74.8% | 25.2% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 48.9% | 51.1% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 27.1% | 72.9% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 12.7% | 87.3% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 81.3% | 18.7% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 70.9% | 29.1% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 34.8% | 65.2% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 24.7% | 75.3% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 92.3% | 7.8% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 83.9% | 16.1% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 71.6% | 28.4% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 56.6% | 43.5% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 40.9% | 59.1% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 71.8% | 28.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 58.4% | 41.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 44.5% | 55.6% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 31.7% | 68.3% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 21.1% | 78.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 67.1% | 32.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 45.4% | 54.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 26.6% | 73.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 13.7% | 86.3% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 6.2% | 93.8% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 77.8% | 22.2% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 63.1% | 37.0% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 31.1% | 68.9% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 18.7% | 81.3% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.8% | 0.2% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 99.2% | 0.8% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 97.7% | 2.3% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 94.5% | 5.5% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 88.6% | 11.4% |
Our model makes Blackpool favourites in Blackpool v Wigan on Saturday 21 November, with a 45% chance of a home win, 28% for the draw and 27% for Wigan, from projected goals of 1.51 for Blackpool and 1.12 for Wigan.
The most likely score in Blackpool v Wigan is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 9%, from our model's projection of 1.51 goals for Blackpool and 1.12 for Wigan, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 53% of the outcomes our model gives Blackpool v Wigan, making yes the likelier answer, with Blackpool keeping a clean sheet 33% of the time and Wigan 22%, from projected goals of 1.51 and 1.12.
Our model projects 2.63 goals in Blackpool v Wigan, with over 2.5 goals at 49% and over 3.5 at 27%, and two goals the likeliest total at 26%.
Our model expects 10.4 corners in Blackpool v Wigan on Saturday 21 November, 5.4 for Blackpool and 5.0 for Wigan, putting over 9.5 corners at 59% and over 10.5 at 47%.
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards in Blackpool v Wigan on Saturday 21 November, 1.6 for Blackpool and 1.8 for Wigan, putting over 2.5 cards at 67% and over 3.5 at 45%.
The Blackpool v Wigan simulation turns our projections of 1.51 goals for Blackpool and 1.12 for Wigan into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.