Win, draw and score chances for Gillingham v Crewe, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Gillingham win | 38.0% |
| Draw | 28.5% |
| Crewe win | 33.5% |
| Gillingham or draw (1X) | 66.5% |
| Crewe or draw (X2) | 62.0% |
| Gillingham or Crewe (12) | 71.5% |
| Both teams to score | 53.1% |
| Gillingham clean sheet | 29.1% |
| Crewe clean sheet | 26.5% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Gillingham 1-1 Crewe | 13.6% |
| Gillingham 1-0 Crewe | 9.3% |
| Gillingham 0-0 Crewe | 8.7% |
| Gillingham 0-1 Crewe | 8.6% |
| Gillingham 2-1 Crewe | 8.4% |
| Gillingham 1-2 Crewe | 7.8% |
| Gillingham 2-0 Crewe | 6.8% |
| Gillingham 0-2 Crewe | 5.9% |
| Stat | Gillingham | Crewe | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 | 1.23 | 2.56 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 4.3 | 8.8 |
| Shots | 12.9 | 11.7 | 24.7 |
| Shots on target | 4.1 | 3.7 | 7.8 |
| Yellow cards | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3.5 |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 10.5 | 21.8 |
| Tackles | 14.4 | 13.7 | 28.1 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 91.3% | 8.7% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 73.5% | 26.5% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 47.2% | 52.8% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 25.6% | 74.4% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 11.7% | 88.3% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 65.5% | 34.5% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 52.1% | 47.9% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 38.9% | 61.1% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 27.3% | 72.7% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 18.0% | 82.0% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 11.2% | 88.8% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 89.6% | 10.4% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 79.6% | 20.4% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 65.8% | 34.3% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 49.9% | 50.1% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 34.4% | 65.6% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 65.7% | 34.3% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 51.4% | 48.6% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 25.5% | 74.5% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 16.2% | 83.8% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 67.6% | 32.5% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 45.9% | 54.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 27.1% | 72.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 14.0% | 86.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 6.4% | 93.6% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 68.2% | 31.8% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 21.3% | 78.7% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 11.6% | 88.5% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.0% | 1.0% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 97.1% | 2.9% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 93.0% | 7.0% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 85.6% | 14.4% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 74.7% | 25.4% |
Our model makes Gillingham favourites in Gillingham v Crewe on Saturday 21 November, with a 38% chance of a home win, 28% for the draw and 34% for Crewe, from projected goals of 1.33 for Gillingham and 1.23 for Crewe.
The most likely score in Gillingham v Crewe is 1-1 at 14%, ahead of 1-0 at 9% and 0-0 at 9%, from our model's projection of 1.33 goals for Gillingham and 1.23 for Crewe, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 53% of the outcomes our model gives Gillingham v Crewe, making yes the likelier answer, with Gillingham keeping a clean sheet 29% of the time and Crewe 26%, from projected goals of 1.33 and 1.23.
Our model projects 2.56 goals in Gillingham v Crewe, with over 2.5 goals at 47% and over 3.5 at 26%, and two goals the likeliest total at 26%.
Our model expects 8.8 corners in Gillingham v Crewe on Saturday 21 November, 4.5 for Gillingham and 4.3 for Crewe, putting over 8.5 corners at 52% and over 9.5 at 39%.
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards in Gillingham v Crewe on Saturday 21 November, 1.7 for Gillingham and 1.8 for Crewe, putting over 2.5 cards at 68% and over 3.5 at 46%.
The Gillingham v Crewe simulation turns our projections of 1.33 goals for Gillingham and 1.23 for Crewe into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.