Win, draw and score chances for Brentford v Everton, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Brentford win | 49.2% |
| Draw | 25.5% |
| Everton win | 25.3% |
| Brentford or draw (1X) | 74.7% |
| Everton or draw (X2) | 50.8% |
| Brentford or Everton (12) | 74.5% |
| Both teams to score | 55.3% |
| Brentford clean sheet | 32.4% |
| Everton clean sheet | 19.0% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Brentford 1-1 Everton | 12.1% |
| Brentford 1-0 Everton | 9.7% |
| Brentford 2-1 Everton | 9.6% |
| Brentford 2-0 Everton | 8.5% |
| Brentford 0-0 Everton | 6.8% |
| Brentford 1-2 Everton | 6.5% |
| Brentford 0-1 Everton | 6.4% |
| Brentford 2-2 Everton | 5.4% |
| Stat | Brentford | Everton | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.66 | 1.13 | 2.78 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 4.5 | 9.5 |
| Shots | 15.2 | 11.2 | 26.4 |
| Shots on target | 4.4 | 3.5 | 8.0 |
| Yellow cards | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3.3 |
| Fouls | 10.0 | 9.9 | 19.9 |
| Tackles | 13.9 | 14.7 | 28.6 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 93.3% | 6.8% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 77.2% | 22.8% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 52.7% | 47.3% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 30.5% | 69.5% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 15.0% | 85.0% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 72.7% | 27.3% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 60.3% | 39.7% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 47.3% | 52.7% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 24.4% | 75.6% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 16.0% | 84.0% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 94.3% | 5.7% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 87.5% | 12.5% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 76.9% | 23.1% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 63.0% | 37.0% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 68.2% | 31.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 54.2% | 45.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 40.3% | 59.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 27.9% | 72.1% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 18.1% | 81.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 63.6% | 36.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 41.5% | 58.5% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 23.3% | 76.7% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 11.5% | 88.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 5.0% | 95.1% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 52.3% | 47.7% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 20.7% | 79.3% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 10.9% | 89.1% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 5.1% | 95.0% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.3% | 0.8% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 97.7% | 2.3% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 94.2% | 5.8% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 87.7% | 12.3% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 77.7% | 22.3% |
Our model makes Brentford favourites in Brentford v Everton on Monday 23 November, with a 49% chance of a home win, 26% for the draw and 25% for Everton, from projected goals of 1.66 for Brentford and 1.13 for Everton.
The most likely score in Brentford v Everton is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 10%, from our model's projection of 1.66 goals for Brentford and 1.13 for Everton, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 55% of the outcomes our model gives Brentford v Everton, making yes the likelier answer, with Brentford keeping a clean sheet 32% of the time and Everton 19%, from projected goals of 1.66 and 1.13.
Our model projects 2.78 goals in Brentford v Everton, with over 2.5 goals at 53% and over 3.5 at 30%, and two goals the likeliest total at 25%.
Our model expects 9.5 corners in Brentford v Everton on Monday 23 November, 4.9 for Brentford and 4.5 for Everton, putting over 8.5 corners at 60% and over 9.5 at 47%.
Our model expects 3.3 yellow cards in Brentford v Everton on Monday 23 November, 1.5 for Brentford and 1.8 for Everton, putting over 2.5 cards at 64% and over 3.5 at 41%.
The Brentford v Everton simulation turns our projections of 1.66 goals for Brentford and 1.13 for Everton into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.