Win, draw and score chances for Man City v Fulham, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Man City win | 65.8% |
| Draw | 20.3% |
| Fulham win | 13.9% |
| Man City or draw (1X) | 86.1% |
| Fulham or draw (X2) | 34.2% |
| Man City or Fulham (12) | 79.7% |
| Both teams to score | 52.4% |
| Man City clean sheet | 41.2% |
| Fulham clean sheet | 11.7% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Man City 2-0 Fulham | 11.1% |
| Man City 1-0 Fulham | 9.9% |
| Man City 2-1 Fulham | 9.8% |
| Man City 1-1 Fulham | 9.6% |
| Man City 3-0 Fulham | 7.9% |
| Man City 3-1 Fulham | 7.0% |
| Man City 0-0 Fulham | 5.3% |
| Man City 2-2 Fulham | 4.4% |
| Stat | Man City | Fulham | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.15 | 0.89 | 3.03 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 4.1 | 9.8 |
| Shots | 18.0 | 9.4 | 27.4 |
| Shots on target | 5.9 | 3.0 | 8.9 |
| Yellow cards | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3.3 |
| Fouls | 9.1 | 10.9 | 20.0 |
| Tackles | 12.2 | 17.6 | 29.8 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 94.7% | 5.3% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 81.1% | 19.0% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 58.5% | 41.6% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 36.1% | 64.0% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 19.1% | 81.0% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 76.4% | 23.6% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 64.7% | 35.3% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 39.5% | 60.5% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 28.4% | 71.6% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 19.2% | 80.8% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 96.2% | 3.9% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 91.0% | 9.0% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 82.3% | 17.7% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 70.1% | 29.9% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 55.4% | 44.6% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 78.7% | 21.3% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 66.9% | 33.1% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 53.6% | 46.4% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 40.4% | 59.6% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 28.7% | 71.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 64.6% | 35.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 42.6% | 57.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 24.3% | 75.7% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 12.1% | 87.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 5.3% | 94.7% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 53.1% | 47.0% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 35.7% | 64.3% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 21.3% | 78.7% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 11.3% | 88.7% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 5.3% | 94.7% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.6% | 0.4% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 98.6% | 1.4% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 96.2% | 3.8% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 91.4% | 8.6% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 83.4% | 16.6% |
Our model makes Man City favourites in Man City v Fulham on Saturday 21 November, with a 66% chance of a home win, 20% for the draw and 14% for Fulham, from projected goals of 2.15 for Man City and 0.89 for Fulham.
The most likely score in Man City v Fulham is 2-0 at 11%, ahead of 1-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 10%, from our model's projection of 2.15 goals for Man City and 0.89 for Fulham, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 52% of the outcomes our model gives Man City v Fulham, making yes the likelier answer, with Man City keeping a clean sheet 41% of the time and Fulham 12%, from projected goals of 2.15 and 0.89.
Our model projects 3.03 goals in Man City v Fulham, with over 2.5 goals at 58% and over 3.5 at 36%, and two goals the likeliest total at 23%.
Our model expects 9.8 corners in Man City v Fulham on Saturday 21 November, 5.7 for Man City and 4.1 for Fulham, putting over 9.5 corners at 52% and over 10.5 at 40%.
Our model expects 3.3 yellow cards in Man City v Fulham on Saturday 21 November, 1.2 for Man City and 2.1 for Fulham, putting over 2.5 cards at 65% and over 3.5 at 43%.
The Man City v Fulham simulation turns our projections of 2.15 goals for Man City and 0.89 for Fulham into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.