Win, draw and score chances for Man Utd v Brentford, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Man Utd win | 47.2% |
| Draw | 23.5% |
| Brentford win | 29.3% |
| Man Utd or draw (1X) | 70.7% |
| Brentford or draw (X2) | 52.8% |
| Man Utd or Brentford (12) | 76.5% |
| Both teams to score | 64.9% |
| Man Utd clean sheet | 23.8% |
| Brentford clean sheet | 15.5% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Man Utd 1-1 Brentford | 10.4% |
| Man Utd 2-1 Brentford | 9.2% |
| Man Utd 1-2 Brentford | 7.1% |
| Man Utd 2-2 Brentford | 6.6% |
| Man Utd 2-0 Brentford | 6.4% |
| Man Utd 1-0 Brentford | 6.4% |
| Man Utd 3-1 Brentford | 5.7% |
| Man Utd 0-1 Brentford | 4.8% |
| Stat | Man Utd | Brentford | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.86 | 1.44 | 3.30 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 4.4 | 9.9 |
| Shots | 18.3 | 11.8 | 30.2 |
| Shots on target | 6.0 | 3.9 | 9.9 |
| Yellow cards | 1.9 | 2.2 | 4.1 |
| Fouls | 9.8 | 10.7 | 20.5 |
| Tackles | 16.0 | 13.9 | 29.9 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 95.8% | 4.2% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 84.6% | 15.4% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 41.9% | 58.1% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 23.7% | 76.3% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 77.1% | 22.9% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 65.7% | 34.3% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 53.1% | 47.0% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 40.5% | 59.5% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 29.3% | 70.7% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 98.8% | 1.2% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 96.7% | 3.3% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 92.3% | 7.7% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 84.9% | 15.1% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 74.1% | 25.9% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 86.1% | 13.9% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 76.7% | 23.3% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 65.1% | 34.9% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 52.4% | 47.6% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 39.9% | 60.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 77.5% | 22.5% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 58.4% | 41.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 38.9% | 61.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 22.9% | 77.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 12.0% | 88.0% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 39.7% | 60.3% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 24.5% | 75.5% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 13.5% | 86.6% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 6.6% | 93.5% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.6% | 0.4% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 98.6% | 1.4% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 96.3% | 3.7% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 91.6% | 8.4% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 83.7% | 16.3% |
Our model makes Man Utd favourites in Man Utd v Brentford on Saturday 28 November, with a 47% chance of a home win, 24% for the draw and 29% for Brentford, from projected goals of 1.86 for Man Utd and 1.44 for Brentford.
The most likely score in Man Utd v Brentford is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 at 9% and 1-2 at 7%, from our model's projection of 1.86 goals for Man Utd and 1.44 for Brentford, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 65% of the outcomes our model gives Man Utd v Brentford, making yes the likelier answer, with Man Utd keeping a clean sheet 24% of the time and Brentford 16%, from projected goals of 1.86 and 1.44.
Our model projects 3.30 goals in Man Utd v Brentford, with over 2.5 goals at 64% and over 3.5 at 42%, and three goals the likeliest total at 22%.
Our model expects 9.9 corners in Man Utd v Brentford on Saturday 28 November, 5.6 for Man Utd and 4.4 for Brentford, putting over 9.5 corners at 53% and over 10.5 at 41%.
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards in Man Utd v Brentford on Saturday 28 November, 1.9 for Man Utd and 2.2 for Brentford, putting over 3.5 cards at 58% and over 4.5 at 39%.
The Man Utd v Brentford simulation turns our projections of 1.86 goals for Man Utd and 1.44 for Brentford into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.