Win, draw and score chances for Forest v Chelsea, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Forest win | 38.3% |
| Draw | 26.2% |
| Chelsea win | 35.5% |
| Forest or draw (1X) | 64.5% |
| Chelsea or draw (X2) | 61.7% |
| Forest or Chelsea (12) | 73.8% |
| Both teams to score | 58.1% |
| Forest clean sheet | 24.9% |
| Chelsea clean sheet | 23.4% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Forest 1-1 Chelsea | 12.4% |
| Forest 2-1 Chelsea | 8.5% |
| Forest 1-2 Chelsea | 8.2% |
| Forest 1-0 Chelsea | 7.9% |
| Forest 0-1 Chelsea | 7.5% |
| Forest 0-0 Chelsea | 6.4% |
| Forest 2-0 Chelsea | 6.1% |
| Forest 2-2 Chelsea | 5.9% |
| Stat | Forest | Chelsea | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 | 1.39 | 2.84 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 4.5 | 9.4 |
| Shots | 13.8 | 12.3 | 26.1 |
| Shots on target | 4.3 | 4.1 | 8.4 |
| Yellow cards | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3.8 |
| Fouls | 11.4 | 10.1 | 21.5 |
| Tackles | 14.6 | 13.7 | 28.3 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 93.6% | 6.4% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 78.2% | 21.8% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 54.1% | 45.9% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 31.8% | 68.2% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 15.9% | 84.1% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 72.4% | 27.6% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 59.9% | 40.1% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 46.9% | 53.2% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 34.6% | 65.4% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 24.0% | 76.0% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 15.7% | 84.3% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 93.9% | 6.2% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 86.7% | 13.3% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 75.6% | 24.4% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 61.4% | 38.6% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 45.9% | 54.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 73.0% | 27.0% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 59.7% | 40.3% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 45.9% | 54.1% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 22.2% | 77.8% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 72.5% | 27.5% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 51.9% | 48.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 32.5% | 67.5% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 17.9% | 82.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 8.8% | 91.3% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 65.6% | 34.5% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 32.2% | 67.8% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 19.1% | 80.9% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 10.1% | 89.9% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.1% | 0.9% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 97.4% | 2.6% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 93.5% | 6.5% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 86.4% | 13.6% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 75.8% | 24.2% |
Our model makes Forest favourites in Forest v Chelsea on Friday 27 November, with a 38% chance of a home win, 26% for the draw and 36% for Chelsea, from projected goals of 1.45 for Forest and 1.39 for Chelsea.
The most likely score in Forest v Chelsea is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 2-1 at 9% and 1-2 at 8%, from our model's projection of 1.45 goals for Forest and 1.39 for Chelsea, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 58% of the outcomes our model gives Forest v Chelsea, making yes the likelier answer, with Forest keeping a clean sheet 25% of the time and Chelsea 23%, from projected goals of 1.45 and 1.39.
Our model projects 2.84 goals in Forest v Chelsea, with over 2.5 goals at 54% and over 3.5 at 32%, and two goals the likeliest total at 24%.
Our model expects 9.4 corners in Forest v Chelsea on Friday 27 November, 4.9 for Forest and 4.5 for Chelsea, putting over 8.5 corners at 60% and over 9.5 at 47%.
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards in Forest v Chelsea on Friday 27 November, 1.9 for Forest and 1.9 for Chelsea, putting over 3.5 cards at 52% and over 4.5 at 33%.
The Forest v Chelsea simulation turns our projections of 1.45 goals for Forest and 1.39 for Chelsea into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.