Win, draw and score chances for Cyprus v Montenegro, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Cyprus win | 34.2% |
| Draw | 26.2% |
| Montenegro win | 39.7% |
| Cyprus or draw (1X) | 60.4% |
| Montenegro or draw (X2) | 65.8% |
| Cyprus or Montenegro (12) | 73.8% |
| Both teams to score | 53.3% |
| Cyprus clean sheet | 25.4% |
| Montenegro clean sheet | 28.6% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Cyprus 1-1 Montenegro | 12.5% |
| Cyprus 0-1 Montenegro | 9.9% |
| Cyprus 1-0 Montenegro | 9.1% |
| Cyprus 1-2 Montenegro | 8.5% |
| Cyprus 2-1 Montenegro | 7.8% |
| Cyprus 0-0 Montenegro | 7.3% |
| Cyprus 0-2 Montenegro | 6.8% |
| Cyprus 2-0 Montenegro | 5.7% |
| Stat | Cyprus | Montenegro | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 | 1.37 | 2.62 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 5.1 | 9.3 |
| Shots | 9.4 | 10.9 | 20.3 |
| Shots on target | 3.5 | 3.9 | 7.4 |
| Yellow cards | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3.9 |
| Fouls | 11.1 | 12.7 | 23.8 |
| Tackles | 13.6 | 13.9 | 27.5 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 7.3% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 73.7% | 26.3% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 48.8% | 51.2% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 26.9% | 73.1% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 12.6% | 87.4% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 71.3% | 28.7% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 58.7% | 41.3% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 45.6% | 54.4% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 33.4% | 66.6% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 23.0% | 77.0% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 15.0% | 85.1% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 64.2% | 35.8% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 46.6% | 53.5% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 30.1% | 69.9% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 17.3% | 82.7% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 8.8% | 91.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 61.1% | 38.9% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 46.4% | 53.6% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 32.7% | 67.3% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 21.5% | 78.5% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 13.1% | 86.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 74.1% | 26.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 53.9% | 46.2% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 34.4% | 65.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 19.3% | 80.7% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 9.7% | 90.4% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 80.9% | 19.1% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 67.2% | 32.8% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 51.1% | 48.9% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 35.3% | 64.7% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 22.0% | 78.0% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 98.7% | 1.3% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 96.4% | 3.6% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 91.5% | 8.5% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 83.1% | 16.9% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 71.1% | 28.9% |
Our model makes Montenegro favourites in Cyprus v Montenegro on Sunday 15 November, with a 40% chance of an away win, 26% for the draw and 34% for Cyprus, from projected goals of 1.37 for Montenegro and 1.25 for Cyprus.
The most likely score in Cyprus v Montenegro is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 0-1 at 10% and 1-0 at 9%, from our model's projection of 1.25 goals for Cyprus and 1.37 for Montenegro, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 53% of the outcomes our model gives Cyprus v Montenegro, making yes the likelier answer, with Cyprus keeping a clean sheet 25% of the time and Montenegro 29%, from projected goals of 1.25 and 1.37.
Our model projects 2.62 goals in Cyprus v Montenegro, with over 2.5 goals at 49% and over 3.5 at 27%, and two goals the likeliest total at 25%.
Our model expects 9.3 corners in Cyprus v Montenegro on Sunday 15 November, 4.2 for Cyprus and 5.1 for Montenegro, putting over 8.5 corners at 59% and over 9.5 at 46%.
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards in Cyprus v Montenegro on Sunday 15 November, 1.9 for Cyprus and 1.9 for Montenegro, putting over 3.5 cards at 54% and over 4.5 at 34%.
The Cyprus v Montenegro simulation turns our projections of 1.25 goals for Cyprus and 1.37 for Montenegro into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.