Win, draw and score chances for Belarus v Albania, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Belarus win | 21.8% |
| Draw | 27.2% |
| Albania win | 51.0% |
| Belarus or draw (1X) | 49.0% |
| Albania or draw (X2) | 78.2% |
| Belarus or Albania (12) | 72.8% |
| Both teams to score | 42.6% |
| Belarus clean sheet | 24.2% |
| Albania clean sheet | 43.8% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Belarus 0-1 Albania | 15.1% |
| Belarus 1-1 Albania | 12.4% |
| Belarus 0-2 Albania | 10.7% |
| Belarus 0-0 Albania | 10.6% |
| Belarus 1-2 Albania | 8.8% |
| Belarus 1-0 Albania | 8.8% |
| Belarus 2-1 Albania | 5.1% |
| Belarus 0-3 Albania | 5.1% |
| Stat | Belarus | Albania | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.82 | 1.42 | 2.24 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 5.1 | 9.0 |
| Shots | 9.5 | 12.9 | 22.4 |
| Shots on target | 3.4 | 4.4 | 7.8 |
| Yellow cards | 3.0 | 2.2 | 5.3 |
| Fouls | 17.6 | 12.2 | 29.8 |
| Tackles | 14.8 | 12.4 | 27.2 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 89.4% | 10.6% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 65.6% | 34.4% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 38.9% | 61.1% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 18.9% | 81.1% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 7.7% | 92.3% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 67.5% | 32.6% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 54.3% | 45.7% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 41.1% | 58.9% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 29.2% | 70.8% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 19.6% | 80.4% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 12.3% | 87.7% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 79.4% | 20.6% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 64.8% | 35.2% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 48.1% | 51.9% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 32.2% | 67.8% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 19.3% | 80.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 66.2% | 33.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 52.0% | 48.1% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 26.0% | 74.1% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 16.5% | 83.5% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 89.6% | 10.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 77.0% | 23.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 60.5% | 39.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 27.7% | 72.3% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 97.6% | 2.4% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 94.2% | 5.8% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 87.9% | 12.1% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 78.2% | 21.8% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 65.4% | 34.6% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 98.5% | 1.5% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 95.9% | 4.2% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 90.4% | 9.6% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 81.4% | 18.6% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 68.8% | 31.2% |
Our model makes Albania favourites in Belarus v Albania on Sunday 15 November, with a 51% chance of an away win, 27% for the draw and 22% for Belarus, from projected goals of 1.42 for Albania and 0.82 for Belarus.
The most likely score in Belarus v Albania is 0-1 at 15%, ahead of 1-1 at 12% and 0-2 at 11%, from our model's projection of 0.82 goals for Belarus and 1.42 for Albania, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Our model leans against both teams scoring in Belarus v Albania, at 43% yes and 57% no, with Belarus keeping a clean sheet 24% of the time and Albania 44%, from projected goals of 0.82 and 1.42.
Our model projects 2.24 goals in Belarus v Albania, with over 1.5 goals at 66% and over 2.5 at 39%, and two goals the likeliest total at 27%.
Our model expects 9.0 corners in Belarus v Albania on Sunday 15 November, 3.9 for Belarus and 5.1 for Albania, putting over 8.5 corners at 54% and over 9.5 at 41%.
Our model expects 5.3 yellow cards in Belarus v Albania on Sunday 15 November, 3.0 for Belarus and 2.2 for Albania, putting over 4.5 cards at 60% and over 5.5 at 43%.
The Belarus v Albania simulation turns our projections of 0.82 goals for Belarus and 1.42 for Albania into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.