Win, draw and score chances for Kazakhstan v Slovakia, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Kazakhstan win | 20.8% |
| Draw | 24.8% |
| Slovakia win | 54.4% |
| Kazakhstan or draw (1X) | 45.6% |
| Slovakia or draw (X2) | 79.2% |
| Kazakhstan or Slovakia (12) | 75.2% |
| Both teams to score | 47.5% |
| Kazakhstan clean sheet | 19.7% |
| Slovakia clean sheet | 40.8% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Kazakhstan 0-1 Slovakia | 13.1% |
| Kazakhstan 1-1 Slovakia | 11.7% |
| Kazakhstan 0-2 Slovakia | 10.6% |
| Kazakhstan 1-2 Slovakia | 9.5% |
| Kazakhstan 0-0 Slovakia | 8.1% |
| Kazakhstan 1-0 Slovakia | 7.2% |
| Kazakhstan 0-3 Slovakia | 5.7% |
| Kazakhstan 2-1 Slovakia | 5.3% |
| Stat | Kazakhstan | Slovakia | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.90 | 1.62 | 2.52 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 5.7 | 9.8 |
| Shots | 8.0 | 12.3 | 20.3 |
| Shots on target | 2.8 | 4.5 | 7.3 |
| Yellow cards | 2.3 | 1.4 | 3.7 |
| Fouls | 13.2 | 9.9 | 23.1 |
| Tackles | 15.6 | 14.6 | 30.2 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 92.0% | 8.1% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 71.7% | 28.3% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 46.1% | 53.9% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 24.7% | 75.3% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 11.2% | 88.9% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 76.5% | 23.5% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 64.9% | 35.1% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 52.2% | 47.8% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 39.7% | 60.3% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 28.5% | 71.5% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 19.3% | 80.7% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 64.2% | 35.9% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 30.1% | 69.9% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 17.3% | 82.7% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 8.8% | 91.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 58.9% | 41.1% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 44.1% | 56.0% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 30.6% | 69.4% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 19.7% | 80.3% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 11.8% | 88.2% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 70.7% | 29.3% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 49.7% | 50.3% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 30.5% | 69.5% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 16.4% | 83.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 7.8% | 92.2% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 76.9% | 23.2% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 61.8% | 38.2% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 45.3% | 54.7% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 17.8% | 82.2% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.7% | 0.4% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 98.8% | 1.2% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 96.7% | 3.3% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 92.5% | 7.5% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 85.1% | 14.9% |
Our model makes Slovakia favourites in Kazakhstan v Slovakia on Monday 16 November, with a 54% chance of an away win, 25% for the draw and 21% for Kazakhstan, from projected goals of 1.62 for Slovakia and 0.90 for Kazakhstan.
The most likely score in Kazakhstan v Slovakia is 0-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-1 at 12% and 0-2 at 11%, from our model's projection of 0.90 goals for Kazakhstan and 1.62 for Slovakia, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Our model leans against both teams scoring in Kazakhstan v Slovakia, at 48% yes and 52% no, with Kazakhstan keeping a clean sheet 20% of the time and Slovakia 41%, from projected goals of 0.90 and 1.62.
Our model projects 2.52 goals in Kazakhstan v Slovakia, with over 2.5 goals at 46% and over 3.5 at 25%, and two goals the likeliest total at 26%.
Our model expects 9.8 corners in Kazakhstan v Slovakia on Monday 16 November, 4.1 for Kazakhstan and 5.7 for Slovakia, putting over 9.5 corners at 52% and over 10.5 at 40%.
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards in Kazakhstan v Slovakia on Monday 16 November, 2.3 for Kazakhstan and 1.4 for Slovakia, putting over 3.5 cards at 50% and over 4.5 at 30%.
The Kazakhstan v Slovakia simulation turns our projections of 0.90 goals for Kazakhstan and 1.62 for Slovakia into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.