Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Slovakia win | 12.7% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 11.8% |
| 0-2 | Slovakia win | 10.2% |
| 1-2 | Slovakia win | 9.5% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 7.9% |
| 1-0 | Kazakhstan win | 7.3% |
| 2-1 | Kazakhstan win | 5.5% |
| 0-3 | Slovakia win | 5.5% |
| 1-3 | Slovakia win | 5.1% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 4.4% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% |
| Kazakhstan clean sheet | 20% |
| Slovakia clean sheet | 39% |
The most likely score in Kazakhstan vs Slovakia is 0-1, a 13% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-1 at 12%. The UEFA Nations League game kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Monday 16 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Kazakhstan 0.93 - 1.61 Slovakia in goals for Kazakhstan vs Slovakia, with over 2.5 goals 47% likely and both teams to score 49%.
Statz projects 22 players for Kazakhstan vs Slovakia on Monday 16 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 15:00 UK time kick-off.
Kazakhstan host Slovakia at Astana Arena, Astana on 16 November 2026 at 15:00 in the UEFA Nations League. Kazakhstan's last five results: D L L D L (2 draws and 3 losses). Slovakia's last five: W W D W D (3 wins and 2 draws). In their last 3 meetings, Kazakhstan have won 2, Slovakia 1, with 0 draws.
Kazakhstan vs Slovakia kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Monday 16 November 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Astana Arena, Astana. Astana Arena holds 30,000 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 15:00.
Kazakhstan vs Slovakia is being played at Astana Arena in Astana on Monday 16 November 2026, the home ground of Kazakhstan, which holds 30,000 people. Kick-off is at 15:00 UK time, and the match is part of the UEFA Nations League.
Kazakhstan have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9, with results reading D L L D L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-2 defeat away to Moldova in the UEFA Nations League on 13 November.
Slovakia have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 4, with results reading W W D W D from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-2 draw at home to Faroe Islands in the UEFA Nations League on 13 November.
Across the last 3 meetings Kazakhstan have won 2, Slovakia have won 1 and 0 were drawn, with Kazakhstan scoring 4 goals to Slovakia's 3. The most recent was Slovakia 2-1 Kazakhstan on 29 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Maksim Samorodov leads Kazakhstan with 4 yellow cards across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Kazakhstan player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Kazakhstan player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Lukas Haraslin leads Slovakia with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Slovakia player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Slovakia player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Until the team news for Kazakhstan vs Slovakia is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Kazakhstan's XI from their 1-2 defeat at Moldova on Fri 13 Nov 2026, and Slovakia's XI from their 2-2 draw v Faroe Islands at home on Fri 13 Nov 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Slovakia the favourite with a 53% chance of winning, against 22% for Kazakhstan and 25% for the draw. Projected goals are Kazakhstan 0.9 - 1.6 Slovakia.
The most likely score in Kazakhstan vs Slovakia is 0-1, a Slovakia win, at 13%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 49% likely and over 2.5 goals 47%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Kazakhstan vs Slovakia, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Slovakia vs Kazakhstan | 2-1 |
| 13 Jun 2022 | UEFA Nations League | Kazakhstan vs Slovakia | 2-1 |
| 6 Jun 2022 | UEFA Nations League | Slovakia vs Kazakhstan | 0-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Kazakhstan 0.9 - 1.6 Slovakia in goals. It gives Kazakhstan a 22% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Slovakia 53%. Both teams to score is 49% likely, over 1.5 goals 72% and over 2.5 goals 47%. The most likely scorelines are 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Slovakia win | 13% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 0-2 | Slovakia win | 10% |
| 1-2 | Slovakia win | 10% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8% |
Predicted lineups for Kazakhstan vs Slovakia are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Kazakhstan's XI from their 1-2 defeat at Moldova on Fri 13 Nov 2026, and Slovakia's XI from their 2-2 draw v Faroe Islands at home on Fri 13 Nov 2026.
| # | Kazakhstan | Fouls committed | Slovakia | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Orazov | 10 | D. Strelec | 6 |
| 2 | M. Samorodov | 9 | R. Boženík | 6 |
| 3 | Y. Vorogovskiy | 7 | D. Vavro | 5 |
| 4 | G. Kenzhebek | 7 | M. Valjent | 4 |
| 5 | I. Chesnokov | 6 | O. Duda | 4 |
| # | Kazakhstan | Shots | Slovakia | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Kenzhebek | 11 | L. Haraslin | 19 |
| 2 | M. Samorodov | 7 | D. Hancko | 18 |
| 3 | Y. Vorogovskiy | 6 | D. Strelec | 10 |
| 4 | D. Karaman | 5 | T. Suslov | 9 |
| 5 | N. Alip | 5 | M. Škriniar | 7 |
| # | Kazakhstan | Shots on target | Slovakia | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Alip | 3 | L. Haraslin | 8 |
| 2 | G. Kenzhebek | 2 | D. Strelec | 6 |
| 3 | I. Chesnokov | 2 | D. Hancko | 4 |
| 4 | D. Karaman | 2 | D. Duris | 2 |
| 5 | S. Maliy | 2 | M. Valjent | 2 |
| # | Kazakhstan | Goals | Slovakia | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Maliy | 2 | L. Haraslin | 4 |
| 2 | N. Alip | 2 | D. Strelec | 3 |
| 3 | I. Chesnokov | 1 | D. Hancko | 2 |
| 4 | R. Karimov | 1 | M. Valjent | 1 |
| 5 | T. Erlanov | 1 | E. Prekop | 1 |
| # | Kazakhstan | Yellow cards | Slovakia | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Samorodov | 4 | M. Valjent | 3 |
| 2 | G. Kenzhebek | 3 | O. Duda | 2 |
| 3 | I. Kuat | 3 | T. Suslov | 2 |
| 4 | S. Maliy | 2 | D. Vavro | 1 |
| 5 | Y. Vorogovskiy | 1 | D. Greif | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Kazakhstan vs Slovakia: Erkin Tapalov 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.30); Aleksandr Mrynskiy 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.50). Combined odds 1.95 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.2 | 31 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1.8 | 45 of 54 |
| Shots | 13.4 | 26 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 3.4 | 42 of 54 |
| Fouls | 13 | 16 of 54 |
| Tackles | 18 | 6 of 54 |
| Passes | 461.8 | 28 of 54 |
| Corners | 5 | 19 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.2 | 9 of 54 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 17 of 54 |
| Shots | 15.4 | 12 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 5.2 | 17 of 54 |
| Fouls | 7.8 | 54 of 54 |
| Tackles | 13 | 39 of 54 |
| Passes | 622.8 | 5 of 54 |
| Corners | 7.4 | 1 of 54 |