Win, draw and score chances for North Macedonia v Slovenia, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| North Macedonia win | 20.1% |
| Draw | 27.4% |
| Slovenia win | 52.4% |
| North Macedonia or draw (1X) | 47.6% |
| Slovenia or draw (X2) | 79.9% |
| North Macedonia or Slovenia (12) | 72.6% |
| Both teams to score | 39.9% |
| North Macedonia clean sheet | 24.6% |
| Slovenia clean sheet | 47.0% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| North Macedonia 0-1 Slovenia | 16.2% |
| North Macedonia 1-1 Slovenia | 12.2% |
| North Macedonia 0-0 Slovenia | 11.6% |
| North Macedonia 0-2 Slovenia | 11.4% |
| North Macedonia 1-0 Slovenia | 8.7% |
| North Macedonia 1-2 Slovenia | 8.6% |
| North Macedonia 0-3 Slovenia | 5.3% |
| North Macedonia 2-1 Slovenia | 4.6% |
| Stat | North Macedonia | Slovenia | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.75 | 1.40 | 2.16 |
| Corners | 4.0 | 4.6 | 8.6 |
| Shots | 7.2 | 10.3 | 17.5 |
| Shots on target | 2.5 | 3.6 | 6.2 |
| Yellow cards | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3.6 |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 11.9 | 22.0 |
| Tackles | 13.2 | 14.5 | 27.7 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 88.4% | 11.6% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 63.5% | 36.5% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 36.6% | 63.4% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 17.2% | 82.8% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 6.8% | 93.2% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 62.8% | 37.2% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 36.1% | 63.9% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 24.8% | 75.2% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 16.0% | 84.0% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 9.7% | 90.3% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 39.4% | 60.6% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 23.3% | 76.7% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 12.0% | 88.0% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 5.4% | 94.6% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 2.1% | 97.9% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 41.8% | 58.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 27.7% | 72.3% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 16.9% | 83.1% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 9.5% | 90.5% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 4.9% | 95.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 69.1% | 30.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 47.8% | 52.3% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 28.7% | 71.3% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 15.1% | 84.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 7.1% | 93.0% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 69.5% | 30.5% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 36.4% | 63.6% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 22.4% | 77.6% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 12.3% | 87.7% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 98.8% | 1.2% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 96.6% | 3.4% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 91.9% | 8.1% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 83.8% | 16.2% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 72.1% | 27.9% |
Our model makes Slovenia favourites in North Macedonia v Slovenia on Monday 16 November, with a 52% chance of an away win, 28% for the draw and 20% for North Macedonia, from projected goals of 1.40 for Slovenia and 0.75 for North Macedonia.
The most likely score in North Macedonia v Slovenia is 0-1 at 16%, ahead of 1-1 at 12% and 0-0 at 12%, from our model's projection of 0.75 goals for North Macedonia and 1.40 for Slovenia, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Our model leans against both teams scoring in North Macedonia v Slovenia, at 40% yes and 60% no, with North Macedonia keeping a clean sheet 25% of the time and Slovenia 47%, from projected goals of 0.75 and 1.40.
Our model projects 2.16 goals in North Macedonia v Slovenia, with over 1.5 goals at 64% and over 2.5 at 37%, and two goals the likeliest total at 27%.
Our model expects 8.6 corners in North Macedonia v Slovenia on Monday 16 November, 4.0 for North Macedonia and 4.6 for Slovenia, putting over 8.5 corners at 49% and over 9.5 at 36%.
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards in North Macedonia v Slovenia on Monday 16 November, 1.9 for North Macedonia and 1.7 for Slovenia, putting over 3.5 cards at 48% and over 4.5 at 29%.
The North Macedonia v Slovenia simulation turns our projections of 0.75 goals for North Macedonia and 1.40 for Slovenia into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.