Win, draw and score chances for Hungary v Northern Ireland, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 13 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Hungary win | 51.5% |
| Draw | 27.1% |
| Northern Ireland win | 21.4% |
| Hungary or draw (1X) | 78.6% |
| Northern Ireland or draw (X2) | 48.6% |
| Hungary or Northern Ireland (12) | 72.9% |
| Both teams to score | 42.2% |
| Hungary clean sheet | 44.4% |
| Northern Ireland clean sheet | 24.1% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Hungary 1-0 Northern Ireland | 15.2% |
| Hungary 1-1 Northern Ireland | 12.4% |
| Hungary 2-0 Northern Ireland | 10.8% |
| Hungary 0-0 Northern Ireland | 10.7% |
| Hungary 2-1 Northern Ireland | 8.8% |
| Hungary 0-1 Northern Ireland | 8.7% |
| Hungary 3-0 Northern Ireland | 5.1% |
| Hungary 1-2 Northern Ireland | 5.0% |
| Stat | Hungary | Northern Ireland | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 | 0.81 | 2.24 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 4.1 | 8.6 |
| Shots | 10.8 | 7.8 | 18.5 |
| Shots on target | 3.9 | 2.8 | 6.6 |
| Yellow cards | 1.9 | 2.1 | 4.0 |
| Fouls | 12.2 | 11.7 | 24.0 |
| Tackles | 13.5 | 14.3 | 27.8 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 89.3% | 10.7% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 65.4% | 34.6% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 38.7% | 61.3% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 18.8% | 81.2% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 7.6% | 92.4% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 62.4% | 37.6% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 48.7% | 51.3% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 35.7% | 64.3% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 24.5% | 75.5% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 15.8% | 84.2% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 9.6% | 90.4% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 31.1% | 68.9% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 17.5% | 82.5% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 8.6% | 91.4% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 3.8% | 96.3% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 49.4% | 50.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 34.6% | 65.4% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 22.4% | 77.6% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 13.4% | 86.6% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 7.4% | 92.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 75.7% | 24.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 55.9% | 44.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 36.4% | 63.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 20.9% | 79.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 10.7% | 89.3% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 81.8% | 18.2% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 68.4% | 31.6% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 36.6% | 63.4% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 23.1% | 77.0% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 98.9% | 1.1% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 96.7% | 3.3% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 92.1% | 7.9% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 84.2% | 15.8% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 72.6% | 27.4% |
Our model makes Hungary favourites in Hungary v Northern Ireland on Tuesday 17 November, with a 52% chance of a home win, 27% for the draw and 21% for Northern Ireland, from projected goals of 1.42 for Hungary and 0.81 for Northern Ireland.
The most likely score in Hungary v Northern Ireland is 1-0 at 15%, ahead of 1-1 at 12% and 2-0 at 11%, from our model's projection of 1.42 goals for Hungary and 0.81 for Northern Ireland, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Our model leans against both teams scoring in Hungary v Northern Ireland, at 42% yes and 58% no, with Hungary keeping a clean sheet 44% of the time and Northern Ireland 24%, from projected goals of 1.42 and 0.81.
Our model projects 2.24 goals in Hungary v Northern Ireland, with over 1.5 goals at 65% and over 2.5 at 39%, and two goals the likeliest total at 27%.
Our model expects 8.6 corners in Hungary v Northern Ireland on Tuesday 17 November, 4.5 for Hungary and 4.1 for Northern Ireland, putting over 8.5 corners at 49% and over 9.5 at 36%.
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards in Hungary v Northern Ireland on Tuesday 17 November, 1.9 for Hungary and 2.1 for Northern Ireland, putting over 3.5 cards at 56% and over 4.5 at 36%.
The Hungary v Northern Ireland simulation turns our projections of 1.42 goals for Hungary and 0.81 for Northern Ireland into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.