Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Hungary win | 15.0% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 12.5% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 10.7% |
| 2-0 | Hungary win | 10.5% |
| 0-1 | Northern Ireland win | 8.9% |
| 2-1 | Hungary win | 8.8% |
| 1-2 | Northern Ireland win | 5.2% |
| 3-0 | Hungary win | 4.9% |
| 3-1 | Hungary win | 4.1% |
| 0-2 | Northern Ireland win | 3.7% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 43% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% |
| Hungary clean sheet | 43% |
| Northern Ireland clean sheet | 25% |
The most likely score in Hungary vs Northern Ireland is 1-0, a 15% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-1 at 13%. The UEFA Nations League game kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Hungary 1.40 - 0.84 Northern Ireland in goals for Hungary vs Northern Ireland, with over 2.5 goals 39% likely and both teams to score 43%.
Statz projects 22 players for Hungary vs Northern Ireland on Tuesday 17 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 19:45 UK time kick-off.
Hungary host Northern Ireland at Puskás Aréna, Budapest on 17 November 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Hungary's last five results: L D W W W (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). Northern Ireland's last five: W D W D W (3 wins and 2 draws). In their last 2 meetings, Hungary have won 1, Northern Ireland 0, with 1 draw.
Hungary vs Northern Ireland kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Puskás Aréna, Budapest. Puskás Aréna holds 68,976 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 19:45.
Hungary vs Northern Ireland is being played at Puskás Aréna in Budapest on Tuesday 17 November 2026, the home ground of Hungary, which holds 68,976 people. Kick-off is at 19:45 UK time, and the match is part of the UEFA Nations League.
Hungary have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 2, with results reading L D W W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-0 win away to Georgia in the UEFA Nations League on 14 November.
Northern Ireland have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 0, with results reading W D W D W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-0 win at home to Ukraine in the UEFA Nations League on 14 November.
Across the last 2 meetings Hungary have won 1, Northern Ireland have won 0 and 1 was drawn, with Hungary scoring 1 goals to Northern Ireland's 0. The most recent was Northern Ireland 0-0 Hungary on 28 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Barnabás Varga leads Hungary with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Hungary player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Hungary player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Isaac Price leads Northern Ireland with 20 shots across their last 10 games, 2.0 a game, the most of any Northern Ireland player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Northern Ireland player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Until the team news for Hungary vs Northern Ireland is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Hungary's XI from their 2-0 win at Georgia on Sat 14 Nov 2026, and Northern Ireland's XI from their 1-0 win v Ukraine at home on Sat 14 Nov 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Hungary the favourite with a 50% chance of winning, against 22% for Northern Ireland and 27% for the draw. Projected goals are Hungary 1.4 - 0.8 Northern Ireland.
The most likely score in Hungary vs Northern Ireland is 1-0, a Hungary win, at 15%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 43% likely and over 2.5 goals 39%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Hungary vs Northern Ireland, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Northern Ireland vs Hungary | 0-0 |
| 29 Mar 2022 | Friendly International | Northern Ireland vs Hungary | 0-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Hungary 1.4 - 0.8 Northern Ireland in goals. It gives Hungary a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Northern Ireland 22%. Both teams to score is 43% likely, over 1.5 goals 65% and over 2.5 goals 39%. The most likely scorelines are 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 0-1 (9%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Hungary win | 15% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 11% |
| 2-0 | Hungary win | 10% |
| 0-1 | Northern Ireland win | 9% |
Predicted lineups for Hungary vs Northern Ireland are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Hungary's XI from their 2-0 win at Georgia on Sat 14 Nov 2026, and Northern Ireland's XI from their 1-0 win v Ukraine at home on Sat 14 Nov 2026.
| # | Hungary | Fouls committed | Northern Ireland | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Schäfer | 12 | E. Galbraith | 10 |
| 2 | D. Bárány | 10 | S. Charles | 10 |
| 3 | R. Sallai | 9 | I. Price | 8 |
| 4 | A. Tóth | 8 | J. Donley | 8 |
| 5 | D. Lukács | 7 | B. Spencer | 8 |
| # | Hungary | Shots | Northern Ireland | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Szoboszlai | 24 | I. Price | 20 |
| 2 | W. Orbán | 15 | J. Donley | 19 |
| 3 | B. Varga | 13 | S. Charles | 9 |
| 4 | R. Sallai | 13 | R. McConville | 8 |
| 5 | A. Schäfer | 13 | T. Hume | 7 |
| # | Hungary | Shots on target | Northern Ireland | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Szoboszlai | 7 | J. Donley | 7 |
| 2 | R. Sallai | 7 | I. Price | 7 |
| 3 | B. Varga | 4 | S. Charles | 3 |
| 4 | M. Kerkez | 4 | J. Magennis | 2 |
| 5 | A. Tóth | 4 | E. Galbraith | 2 |
| # | Hungary | Goals | Northern Ireland | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Varga | 4 | J. Donley | 2 |
| 2 | D. Lukács | 1 | C. Brown | 2 |
| 3 | S. Schön | 1 | T. Devlin | 1 |
| 4 | M. Csinger | 1 | I. Price | 1 |
| 5 | M. Tóth | 1 | S. Charles | 1 |
| # | Hungary | Yellow cards | Northern Ireland | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Osváth | 2 | J. Donley | 2 |
| 2 | W. Orbán | 2 | E. Galbraith | 2 |
| 3 | M. Vitális | 2 | C. Hazard | 1 |
| 4 | T. Szűcs | 2 | R. McConville | 1 |
| 5 | M. Kerkez | 2 | P. McNair | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Hungary vs Northern Ireland: Callum Styles 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.62); Attila Szalai 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.29); Willi Orbán 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.73); Zsolt Nagy 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.20). Combined odds 4.34 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.3 | 30 of 54 |
| Goals against | 0.4 | 6 of 54 |
| Shots | 15.2 | 14 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 4.2 | 29 of 54 |
| Fouls | 14.4 | 7 of 54 |
| Tackles | 15.6 | 19 of 54 |
| Passes | 442 | 33 of 54 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 25 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.7 | 20 of 54 |
| Goals against | 0 | 1 of 54 |
| Shots | 12.4 | 30 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 4.2 | 28 of 54 |
| Fouls | 10.2 | 44 of 54 |
| Tackles | 16.4 | 13 of 54 |
| Passes | 326.6 | 50 of 54 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 40 of 54 |