Win, draw and score chances for Bosnia v Romania, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 15 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Bosnia win | 52.2% |
| Draw | 24.9% |
| Romania win | 22.8% |
| Bosnia or draw (1X) | 77.2% |
| Romania or draw (X2) | 47.8% |
| Bosnia or Romania (12) | 75.1% |
| Both teams to score | 49.7% |
| Bosnia clean sheet | 37.9% |
| Romania clean sheet | 20.0% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Bosnia 1-0 Romania | 12.2% |
| Bosnia 1-1 Romania | 11.9% |
| Bosnia 2-0 Romania | 9.8% |
| Bosnia 2-1 Romania | 9.5% |
| Bosnia 0-0 Romania | 7.6% |
| Bosnia 0-1 Romania | 7.4% |
| Bosnia 1-2 Romania | 5.8% |
| Bosnia 3-0 Romania | 5.3% |
| Stat | Bosnia | Romania | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 | 0.97 | 2.58 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 3.8 | 8.7 |
| Shots | 10.9 | 8.8 | 19.6 |
| Shots on target | 4.0 | 3.1 | 7.1 |
| Yellow cards | 2.3 | 1.7 | 4.0 |
| Fouls | 12.9 | 11.6 | 24.5 |
| Tackles | 14.5 | 13.7 | 28.3 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 92.4% | 7.6% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 72.8% | 27.2% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 47.6% | 52.4% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 25.9% | 74.1% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 12.0% | 88.1% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 63.7% | 36.3% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 50.2% | 49.8% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 37.1% | 62.9% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 25.7% | 74.3% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 16.7% | 83.3% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 10.2% | 89.8% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 58.6% | 41.4% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 40.8% | 59.3% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 25.1% | 74.9% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 13.7% | 86.3% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 6.6% | 93.4% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 56.7% | 43.3% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 41.8% | 58.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 28.6% | 71.4% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 18.1% | 81.9% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 10.7% | 89.3% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 75.8% | 24.2% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 56.2% | 43.8% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 36.6% | 63.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 21.1% | 78.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 10.8% | 89.2% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 84.6% | 15.4% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 72.3% | 27.7% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 26.8% | 73.2% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.1% | 0.9% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 97.3% | 2.7% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 93.4% | 6.6% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 86.3% | 13.7% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 75.6% | 24.4% |
Our model makes Bosnia favourites in Bosnia v Romania on Tuesday 17 November, with a 52% chance of a home win, 25% for the draw and 23% for Romania, from projected goals of 1.61 for Bosnia and 0.97 for Romania.
The most likely score in Bosnia v Romania is 1-0 at 12%, ahead of 1-1 at 12% and 2-0 at 10%, from our model's projection of 1.61 goals for Bosnia and 0.97 for Romania, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Our model leans against both teams scoring in Bosnia v Romania, at 50% yes and 50% no, with Bosnia keeping a clean sheet 38% of the time and Romania 20%, from projected goals of 1.61 and 0.97.
Our model projects 2.58 goals in Bosnia v Romania, with over 2.5 goals at 48% and over 3.5 at 26%, and two goals the likeliest total at 25%.
Our model expects 8.7 corners in Bosnia v Romania on Tuesday 17 November, 4.9 for Bosnia and 3.8 for Romania, putting over 8.5 corners at 50% and over 9.5 at 37%.
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards in Bosnia v Romania on Tuesday 17 November, 2.3 for Bosnia and 1.7 for Romania, putting over 3.5 cards at 56% and over 4.5 at 37%.
The Bosnia v Romania simulation turns our projections of 1.61 goals for Bosnia and 0.97 for Romania into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.