Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Bosnia win | 12.2% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 11.9% |
| 2-0 | Bosnia win | 9.8% |
| 2-1 | Bosnia win | 9.5% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 7.6% |
| 0-1 | Romania win | 7.4% |
| 1-2 | Romania win | 5.8% |
| 3-0 | Bosnia win | 5.3% |
| 3-1 | Bosnia win | 5.1% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 4.6% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Bosnia clean sheet | 38% |
| Romania clean sheet | 20% |
The most likely score in Bosnia vs Romania is 1-0, a 12% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-1 at 12%. The UEFA Nations League game kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Bosnia 1.61 - 0.97 Romania in goals for Bosnia vs Romania, with over 2.5 goals 48% likely and both teams to score 50%.
Statz projects 22 players for Bosnia vs Romania on Tuesday 17 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 19:45 UK time kick-off.
Bosnia host Romania at Stadion Bilino Polje, Zenica on 17 November 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Bosnia's last five results: D W D W L (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). Romania's last five: L L L L W (1 win and 4 losses). In their last 5 meetings, Bosnia have won 4, Romania 1, with 0 draws.
Bosnia vs Romania kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Stadion Bilino Polje, Zenica. Stadion Bilino Polje holds 15,292 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 19:45.
Bosnia vs Romania is being played at Stadion Bilino Polje in Zenica on Tuesday 17 November 2026, the home ground of Bosnia, which holds 15,292 people. Kick-off is at 19:45 UK time, and the match is part of the UEFA Nations League.
Bosnia have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6, with results reading D W D W L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-3 defeat away to Sweden in the UEFA Nations League on 14 November.
Romania have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 14, with results reading L L L L W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-1 win at home to Poland in the UEFA Nations League on 14 November.
Across the last 5 meetings Bosnia have won 4, Romania have won 1 and 0 were drawn, with Bosnia scoring 10 goals to Romania's 7. The most recent was Romania 2-4 Bosnia and Herzegovina on 28 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Ermedin Demirovic leads Bosnia with 15 fouls committed across their last 10 games, 1.5 a game, the most of any Bosnia player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Bosnia player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Daniel Bîrligea leads Romania with 13 shots across their last 10 games, 1.3 a game, the most of any Romania player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Romania player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts Bosnia vs Romania with 11 starters a side: Bosnia line up 4-4-2 and Romania 4-3-1-2, ahead of the 19:45 UK time kick-off on Tuesday 17 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Bosnia the favourite with a 52% chance of winning, against 23% for Romania and 25% for the draw. Projected goals are Bosnia 1.6 - 1.0 Romania.
The most likely score in Bosnia vs Romania is 1-0, a Bosnia win, at 12%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 50% likely and over 2.5 goals 48%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Bosnia vs Romania, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Romania vs Bosnia and Herzegovina | 2-4 |
| 15 Nov 2025 | WC Qualification Europe | Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Romania | 3-1 |
| 21 Mar 2025 | WC Qualification Europe | Romania vs Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0-1 |
| 26 Sep 2022 | UEFA Nations League | Romania vs Bosnia and Herzegovina | 4-1 |
| 7 Jun 2022 | UEFA Nations League | Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Romania | 1-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Bosnia 1.6 - 1.0 Romania in goals. It gives Bosnia a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Romania 23%. Both teams to score is 50% likely, over 1.5 goals 73% and over 2.5 goals 48%. The most likely scorelines are 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 0-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Bosnia win | 12% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 2-0 | Bosnia win | 10% |
| 2-1 | Bosnia win | 10% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Bosnia vs Romania, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Bosnia | Fouls committed | Romania | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Demirovic | 15 | L. Eissat | 13 |
| 2 | S. Kolasinac | 14 | F. Tănase | 10 |
| 3 | I. Basic | 10 | D. Man | 10 |
| 4 | T. Muharemović | 8 | A. Coubiș | 10 |
| 5 | I. Sunjic | 8 | V. Ghiță | 8 |
| # | Bosnia | Shots | Romania | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Alajbegovic | 14 | D. Bîrligea | 13 |
| 2 | E. Mahmic | 10 | D. Man | 12 |
| 3 | I. Basic | 10 | I. Hagi | 11 |
| 4 | E. Demirovic | 9 | V. Dragomir | 10 |
| 5 | E. Bajraktarevic | 7 | N. Stanciu | 9 |
| # | Bosnia | Shots on target | Romania | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Alajbegovic | 7 | D. Bîrligea | 6 |
| 2 | E. Demirovic | 5 | D. Man | 5 |
| 3 | E. Bajraktarevic | 3 | N. Stanciu | 4 |
| 4 | E. Mahmic | 3 | L. Munteanu | 3 |
| 5 | J. Lukic | 2 | T. Băluță | 3 |
| # | Bosnia | Goals | Romania | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Mahmic | 3 | D. Man | 3 |
| 2 | K. Alajbegovic | 2 | A. Cicâldău | 2 |
| 3 | A. Gigovic | 2 | A. Rațiu | 1 |
| 4 | J. Lukic | 1 | Ș. Baiaram | 1 |
| 5 | S. Kolasinac | 1 | I. Hagi | 1 |
| # | Bosnia | Yellow cards | Romania | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Demirovic | 2 | T. Băluță | 2 |
| 2 | N. Katic | 2 | R. Marin | 2 |
| 3 | E. Mahmic | 2 | V. Ghiță | 2 |
| 4 | S. Radeljic | 1 | V. Dragomir | 1 |
| 5 | J. Lukic | 1 | A. Rațiu | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Bosnia vs Romania: Daniel Bîrligea 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.57); Răzvan Marin 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.44); Tudor Băluță 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.57). Combined odds 3.55 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 12 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1.2 | 32 of 54 |
| Shots | 10.6 | 42 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 3.6 | 38 of 54 |
| Fouls | 11.2 | 34 of 54 |
| Tackles | 10.2 | 54 of 54 |
| Passes | 443.2 | 32 of 54 |
| Corners | 3.8 | 36 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 35 of 54 |
| Goals against | 2.8 | 52 of 54 |
| Shots | 11.4 | 33 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 3.2 | 43 of 54 |
| Fouls | 15.8 | 3 of 54 |
| Tackles | 14 | 27 of 54 |
| Passes | 438.2 | 34 of 54 |
| Corners | 2.8 | 46 of 54 |