Win, draw and score chances for Croatia v Czech Republic, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Croatia win | 62.9% |
| Draw | 20.9% |
| Czech Republic win | 16.2% |
| Croatia or draw (1X) | 83.8% |
| Czech Republic or draw (X2) | 37.1% |
| Croatia or Czech Republic (12) | 79.1% |
| Both teams to score | 51.4% |
| Croatia clean sheet | 40.6% |
| Czech Republic clean sheet | 13.6% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Croatia 1-0 Czech Republic | 11.0% |
| Croatia 2-0 Czech Republic | 11.0% |
| Croatia 1-1 Czech Republic | 9.9% |
| Croatia 2-1 Czech Republic | 9.9% |
| Croatia 3-0 Czech Republic | 7.3% |
| Croatia 3-1 Czech Republic | 6.6% |
| Croatia 0-0 Czech Republic | 5.5% |
| Croatia 0-1 Czech Republic | 5.0% |
| Stat | Croatia | Czech Republic | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.00 | 0.90 | 2.90 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 4.1 | 9.5 |
| Shots | 16.2 | 9.8 | 26.1 |
| Shots on target | 5.9 | 3.5 | 9.4 |
| Yellow cards | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3.5 |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 11.6 | 22.1 |
| Tackles | 13.5 | 13.7 | 27.2 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 5.5% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 78.5% | 21.5% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 55.4% | 44.6% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 16.8% | 83.2% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 73.6% | 26.4% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 61.4% | 38.6% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 48.4% | 51.6% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 25.3% | 74.7% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 16.7% | 83.3% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 93.7% | 6.3% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 86.4% | 13.6% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 75.3% | 24.7% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 45.4% | 54.6% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 82.6% | 17.4% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 71.9% | 28.1% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 59.3% | 40.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 46.3% | 53.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 34.0% | 66.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 68.2% | 31.8% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 27.7% | 72.3% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 14.4% | 85.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 6.6% | 93.4% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 70.2% | 29.8% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 53.7% | 46.3% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 37.1% | 62.9% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 23.0% | 77.0% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 12.7% | 87.3% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 98.5% | 1.5% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 95.9% | 4.1% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 90.5% | 9.5% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 81.5% | 18.5% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 68.9% | 31.1% |
Our model makes Croatia favourites in Croatia v Czech Republic on Sunday 15 November, with a 63% chance of a home win, 21% for the draw and 16% for Czech Republic, from projected goals of 2.00 for Croatia and 0.90 for Czech Republic.
The most likely score in Croatia v Czech Republic is 1-0 at 11%, ahead of 2-0 at 11% and 1-1 at 10%, from our model's projection of 2.00 goals for Croatia and 0.90 for Czech Republic, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 51% of the outcomes our model gives Croatia v Czech Republic, making yes the likelier answer, with Croatia keeping a clean sheet 41% of the time and Czech Republic 14%, from projected goals of 2.00 and 0.90.
Our model projects 2.90 goals in Croatia v Czech Republic, with over 2.5 goals at 55% and over 3.5 at 33%, and two goals the likeliest total at 23%.
Our model expects 9.5 corners in Croatia v Czech Republic on Sunday 15 November, 5.5 for Croatia and 4.1 for Czech Republic, putting over 9.5 corners at 48% and over 10.5 at 36%.
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards in Croatia v Czech Republic on Sunday 15 November, 1.7 for Croatia and 1.8 for Czech Republic, putting over 3.5 cards at 47% and over 4.5 at 28%.
The Croatia v Czech Republic simulation turns our projections of 2.00 goals for Croatia and 0.90 for Czech Republic into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.