Win, draw and score chances for Denmark v Norway, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Denmark win | 42.1% |
| Draw | 24.0% |
| Norway win | 33.9% |
| Denmark or draw (1X) | 66.2% |
| Norway or draw (X2) | 57.9% |
| Denmark or Norway (12) | 76.0% |
| Both teams to score | 60.8% |
| Denmark clean sheet | 24.1% |
| Norway clean sheet | 19.9% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Denmark 1-1 Norway | 11.0% |
| Denmark 2-1 Norway | 8.9% |
| Denmark 1-2 Norway | 7.8% |
| Denmark 1-0 Norway | 7.7% |
| Denmark 0-1 Norway | 6.8% |
| Denmark 2-2 Norway | 6.3% |
| Denmark 2-0 Norway | 6.2% |
| Denmark 0-2 Norway | 4.9% |
| Stat | Denmark | Norway | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 | 1.42 | 3.04 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 4.8 | 10.3 |
| Shots | 12.3 | 10.9 | 23.2 |
| Shots on target | 4.6 | 4.3 | 8.9 |
| Yellow cards | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3.0 |
| Fouls | 9.2 | 9.8 | 19.0 |
| Tackles | 15.7 | 14.4 | 30.1 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 95.2% | 4.8% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 80.6% | 19.4% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 36.1% | 63.9% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 19.1% | 80.9% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 80.6% | 19.4% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 70.1% | 29.9% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 45.6% | 54.5% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 33.9% | 66.1% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 23.9% | 76.1% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 83.6% | 16.5% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 70.4% | 29.6% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 54.4% | 45.6% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 38.2% | 61.9% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 24.1% | 75.9% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 78.6% | 21.4% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 66.6% | 33.4% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 53.3% | 46.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 40.2% | 59.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 28.4% | 71.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 35.6% | 64.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 18.7% | 81.3% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 8.5% | 91.5% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 3.4% | 96.6% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 44.3% | 55.7% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 27.7% | 72.3% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 15.3% | 84.7% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 7.4% | 92.6% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 3.2% | 96.8% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.6% | 0.4% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 98.7% | 1.3% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 96.5% | 3.5% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 92.1% | 7.9% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 84.5% | 15.5% |
Our model makes Denmark favourites in Denmark v Norway on Tuesday 17 November, with a 42% chance of a home win, 24% for the draw and 34% for Norway, from projected goals of 1.61 for Denmark and 1.42 for Norway.
The most likely score in Denmark v Norway is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 2-1 at 9% and 1-2 at 8%, from our model's projection of 1.61 goals for Denmark and 1.42 for Norway, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 61% of the outcomes our model gives Denmark v Norway, making yes the likelier answer, with Denmark keeping a clean sheet 24% of the time and Norway 20%, from projected goals of 1.61 and 1.42.
Our model projects 3.04 goals in Denmark v Norway, with over 2.5 goals at 59% and over 3.5 at 36%, and two and three goals the likeliest totals at 22% each.
Our model expects 10.3 corners in Denmark v Norway on Tuesday 17 November, 5.5 for Denmark and 4.8 for Norway, putting over 9.5 corners at 58% and over 10.5 at 46%.
Our model expects 3.0 yellow cards in Denmark v Norway on Tuesday 17 November, 1.5 for Denmark and 1.5 for Norway, putting over 2.5 cards at 58% and over 3.5 at 36%.
The Denmark v Norway simulation turns our projections of 1.61 goals for Denmark and 1.42 for Norway into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.