Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 10.9% |
| 2-1 | Denmark win | 9.0% |
| 1-0 | Denmark win | 7.8% |
| 1-2 | Norway win | 7.7% |
| 0-1 | Norway win | 6.6% |
| 2-0 | Denmark win | 6.4% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 6.3% |
| 3-1 | Denmark win | 5.0% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 4.7% |
| 0-2 | Norway win | 4.7% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 61% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% |
| Denmark clean sheet | 25% |
| Norway clean sheet | 19% |
The most likely score in Denmark vs Norway is 1-1, a 11% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 2-1 at 9%. The UEFA Nations League game kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Denmark 1.65 - 1.41 Norway in goals for Denmark vs Norway, with over 2.5 goals 59% likely and both teams to score 61%.
Statz projects 22 players for Denmark vs Norway on Tuesday 17 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 19:45 UK time kick-off.
Denmark host Norway at Parken, København on 17 November 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Denmark's last five results: L W L W W (3 wins and 2 losses). Norway's last five: W L L L W (2 wins and 3 losses). In their last 2 meetings, Denmark have won 1, Norway 1, with 0 draws.
Denmark vs Norway kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Parken, København. Parken holds 38,065 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 19:45.
Denmark vs Norway is being played at Parken in København on Tuesday 17 November 2026, the home ground of Denmark, which holds 38,065 people. Kick-off is at 19:45 UK time, and the match is part of the UEFA Nations League.
Denmark have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 8, with results reading L W L W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 4-1 win away to Portugal in the UEFA Nations League on 14 November.
Norway have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 9, with results reading W L L L W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 3-1 win at home to Wales in the UEFA Nations League on 14 November.
Across the last 2 meetings Denmark have won 1, Norway have won 1 and 0 were drawn, with Denmark scoring 5 goals to Norway's 4. The most recent was Norway 3-2 Denmark on 24 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Rasmus Højlund leads Denmark with 6 goals across their last 10 games, 0.6 a game, the most of any Denmark player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Denmark player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Erling Haaland leads Norway with 9 goals across their last 10 games, 0.9 a game, the most of any Norway player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Norway player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Until the team news for Denmark vs Norway is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Denmark's XI from their 4-1 win at Portugal on Sat 14 Nov 2026, and Norway's XI from their 3-1 win v Wales at home on Sat 14 Nov 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Denmark the favourite with a 43% chance of winning, against 33% for Norway and 24% for the draw. Projected goals are Denmark 1.7 - 1.4 Norway.
The most likely score in Denmark vs Norway is 1-1, a draw, at 11%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 61% likely and over 2.5 goals 59%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Denmark vs Norway, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Norway vs Denmark | 3-2 |
| 8 Jun 2024 | Friendly International | Denmark vs Norway | 3-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Denmark 1.7 - 1.4 Norway in goals. It gives Denmark a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Norway 33%. Both teams to score is 61% likely, over 1.5 goals 81% and over 2.5 goals 59%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 0-1 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 2-1 | Denmark win | 9% |
| 1-0 | Denmark win | 8% |
| 1-2 | Norway win | 8% |
| 0-1 | Norway win | 7% |
Predicted lineups for Denmark vs Norway are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Denmark's XI from their 4-1 win at Portugal on Sat 14 Nov 2026, and Norway's XI from their 3-1 win v Wales at home on Sat 14 Nov 2026.
| # | Denmark | Fouls committed | Norway | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Andersen | 10 | S. Berge | 9 |
| 2 | R. Højlund | 9 | D. Wolfe | 8 |
| 3 | R. Kristensen | 8 | J. Ryerson | 8 |
| 4 | M. Hjulmand | 8 | P. Berg | 8 |
| 5 | G. Isaksen | 7 | M. Ødegaard | 7 |
| # | Denmark | Shots | Norway | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Højlund | 34 | E. Haaland | 35 |
| 2 | G. Isaksen | 20 | M. Ødegaard | 17 |
| 3 | P. Højbjerg | 17 | A. Nusa | 16 |
| 4 | M. Hjulmand | 11 | A. Schjelderup | 11 |
| 5 | J. Maehle | 11 | P. Berg | 7 |
| # | Denmark | Shots on target | Norway | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Højlund | 13 | E. Haaland | 20 |
| 2 | G. Isaksen | 7 | M. Ødegaard | 6 |
| 3 | P. Højbjerg | 4 | A. Nusa | 5 |
| 4 | J. Maehle | 3 | A. Schjelderup | 5 |
| 5 | V. Froholdt | 3 | O. Bobb | 4 |
| # | Denmark | Goals | Norway | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Højlund | 6 | E. Haaland | 9 |
| 2 | G. Isaksen | 3 | A. Nusa | 2 |
| 3 | M. Damsgaard | 3 | A. Schjelderup | 2 |
| 4 | J. Andersen | 2 | O. Bobb | 2 |
| 5 | P. Dorgu | 1 | T. Aasgaard | 1 |
| # | Denmark | Yellow cards | Norway | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Andersen | 2 | K. Ajer | 2 |
| 2 | R. Kristensen | 2 | A. Nusa | 1 |
| 3 | V. Nelsson | 1 | P. Berg | 1 |
| 4 | M. Hermansen | 1 | M. Ødegaard | 1 |
| 5 | M. Daramy | 1 | F. Aursnes | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.2 | 8 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1.6 | 40 of 54 |
| Shots | 15 | 15 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 4.8 | 21 of 54 |
| Fouls | 7.8 | 53 of 54 |
| Tackles | 13.8 | 29 of 54 |
| Passes | 503.4 | 19 of 54 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 28 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.8 | 17 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1.8 | 43 of 54 |
| Shots | 14.2 | 22 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 5.2 | 15 of 54 |
| Fouls | 9 | 49 of 54 |
| Tackles | 12.2 | 44 of 54 |
| Passes | 510.8 | 15 of 54 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 16 of 54 |