Win, draw and score chances for Vitória v Bragantino, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Vitória win | 30.6% |
| Draw | 28.5% |
| Bragantino win | 40.8% |
| Vitória or draw (1X) | 59.2% |
| Bragantino or draw (X2) | 69.4% |
| Vitória or Bragantino (12) | 71.5% |
| Both teams to score | 54.4% |
| Vitória clean sheet | 24.1% |
| Bragantino clean sheet | 30.0% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Vitória 1-1 Bragantino | 13.6% |
| Vitória 0-1 Bragantino | 9.1% |
| Vitória 1-2 Bragantino | 8.8% |
| Vitória 0-0 Bragantino | 8.5% |
| Vitória 1-0 Bragantino | 7.5% |
| Vitória 2-1 Bragantino | 7.5% |
| Vitória 0-2 Bragantino | 7.3% |
| Vitória 2-2 Bragantino | 5.3% |
| Stat | Vitória | Bragantino | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 | 1.42 | 2.63 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 4.8 | 10.3 |
| Shots | 14.3 | 14.6 | 28.8 |
| Shots on target | 4.7 | 4.8 | 9.4 |
| Yellow cards | 1.9 | 2.6 | 4.5 |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 15.3 | 27.1 |
| Tackles | 15.1 | 14.2 | 29.2 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 91.5% | 8.5% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 48.8% | 51.2% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 12.6% | 87.4% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 80.3% | 19.7% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 69.6% | 30.4% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 33.4% | 66.6% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 23.4% | 76.6% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 97.9% | 2.1% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 94.6% | 5.4% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 88.4% | 11.6% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 78.7% | 21.3% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 65.9% | 34.1% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 82.9% | 17.1% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 72.3% | 27.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 59.8% | 40.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 46.8% | 53.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 34.5% | 65.5% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 82.8% | 17.2% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 66.0% | 34.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 47.1% | 53.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 29.9% | 70.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 17.1% | 82.9% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 93.3% | 6.7% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 86.0% | 14.0% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 74.9% | 25.1% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 60.8% | 39.2% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.4% | 0.6% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 98.2% | 1.8% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 95.3% | 4.7% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 89.7% | 10.3% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 80.7% | 19.4% |
Our model makes Bragantino favourites in Vitória v Bragantino on Thursday 19 November, with a 41% chance of an away win, 28% for the draw and 31% for Vitória, from projected goals of 1.42 for Bragantino and 1.20 for Vitória.
The most likely score in Vitória v Bragantino is 1-1 at 14%, ahead of 0-1 at 9% and 1-2 at 9%, from our model's projection of 1.20 goals for Vitória and 1.42 for Bragantino, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 54% of the outcomes our model gives Vitória v Bragantino, making yes the likelier answer, with Vitória keeping a clean sheet 24% of the time and Bragantino 30%, from projected goals of 1.20 and 1.42.
Our model projects 2.63 goals in Vitória v Bragantino, with over 2.5 goals at 49% and over 3.5 at 27%, and two goals the likeliest total at 26%.
Our model expects 10.3 corners in Vitória v Bragantino on Thursday 19 November, 5.5 for Vitória and 4.8 for Bragantino, putting over 9.5 corners at 57% and over 10.5 at 45%.
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards in Vitória v Bragantino on Thursday 19 November, 1.9 for Vitória and 2.6 for Bragantino, putting over 4.5 cards at 47% and over 5.5 at 30%.
The Vitória v Bragantino simulation turns our projections of 1.20 goals for Vitória and 1.42 for Bragantino into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.